Knowing-Landing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

4,951

Trades

8,967

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-30 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 205 days

Categories

Other

55% 80% -$15

Crypto

45% 66% -$56

Sports

0% 33% -$4

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	6	$49	35	35	+0	Yes	-$4	03-09 08:05
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	6	$45	63	63	+0	Yes	-$3	03-11 03:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 14:30 UTC	14	$42	35	34	+1	Up	-$1	03-11 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 13:45 UTC	12	$40	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	03-12 13:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:30 UTC	10	$39	34	34	+0	Up	-$1	03-13 13:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 12:45 UTC	11	$39	33	33	+0	Down	-$1	03-18 12:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 14:00 UTC	15	$38	35	34	+0	Up	-$2	03-11 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 15:15 UTC	9	$35	31	30	+0	Up	-$2	03-12 15:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 15:15 UTC	12	$35	30	30	+0	Up	-$1	03-11 15:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 12:45 UTC	13	$34	30	30	+0	Up	-$2	03-11 12:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 14:00 UTC	10	$34	27	27	+0	Down	$0	03-18 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 14:15 UTC	7	$30	25	25	+0	Down	+$0	03-12 14:18
andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	5	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	03-09 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 12:15 UTC	10	$28	26	26	+0	Up	-$1	03-12 12:21
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	9	$28	28	29	-1	Yes	+$6	03-06 17:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 12:30 UTC	10	$28	25	20	+5	Down	+$1	03-11 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$28	24	24	+0	Up	+$12	05-04 16:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 13:00 UTC	8	$27	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	03-11 13:11
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	13	$27	24	24	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	+$1	06-01 21:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 07:15 UTC	8	$25	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	03-12 07:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 06:00 UTC	8	$24	20	20	+0	Down	-$1	03-12 06:05
highest temperature in chicago on april 4 2026 57forbelow	5	$24	16	16	+0	Yes	+$8	04-05 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 11:00 UTC	13	$24	25	25	+0	Down	$0	03-11 11:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 09:30 UTC	8	$24	20	20	+0	Up	-$1	03-11 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 04:15 UTC	8	$23	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	03-12 04:25
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	8	$23	75	78	-3	No	-$12	03-05 10:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 13:15 UTC	8	$23	20	20	+0	Up	$0	03-11 13:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:00 UTC	6	$23	20	20	+0	Up	-$1	03-13 13:12
highest temperature in tokyo on april 8 2026 17c	6	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	04-08 06:19
highest temperature in chicago on april 7 2026 38 39f	7	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$8	04-07 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7a9460…
10-28 18:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1b2a01…
10-27 13:56:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc051f8…
10-26 06:07:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa0cd2b…
10-25 17:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5f1641…
10-24 19:27:53	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on October 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2b8639…
10-23 10:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x69fdb2…
10-23 10:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xbb315f…
10-22 16:06:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2757f1…
10-22 15:57:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5ebfb5…
10-22 15:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 22?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x853910…
10-22 14:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 22?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc68951…
10-22 14:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 22?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0d85b4…
10-22 13:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 22?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x468e79…
10-22 10:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe07c1c…
10-22 10:36:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb6ddb4…
10-22 10:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 22?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe28a5a…
10-22 10:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 22?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7e3f85…
10-22 09:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa1102…
10-22 08:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 22?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xedacb6…
10-22 08:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 22?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d06df…
10-22 08:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb27f47…
10-22 08:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xabc2a7…
10-22 07:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 22?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe4f0d3…
10-22 06:06:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 21?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa56e83…
10-22 03:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 22?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x01565a…
10-22 03:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x569561…
10-22 03:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2f3cbd…
10-22 03:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1475bd…
10-22 03:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfc61f4…
10-22 03:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe900ab…
10-22 02:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 22?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1a203d…
10-22 02:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa0c0de…
10-22 01:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 21?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc485c7…
10-22 01:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x807242…
10-22 01:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe7dd2d…
10-22 00:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or higher on October 22?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x147128…
10-22 00:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1d4720…
10-21 23:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 21?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8f7e87…
10-21 23:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 21?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfd10de…
10-21 23:07:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 21?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6d7249…
10-21 21:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3bb79d…
10-21 21:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8d2df3…
10-21 16:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 21?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x4c9138…
10-21 15:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 21?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd39741…
10-21 14:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C or below on October 20?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5b6cc2…
10-21 09:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 21?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x420978…
10-21 09:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeeef42…
10-21 08:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfe7050…
10-21 07:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 21?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xd692c1…
10-21 07:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 21?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x89a389…
10-21 07:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 21?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x98fe4b…
10-21 07:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x834c31…
10-21 06:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x58cf75…
10-21 05:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9dc9ef…
10-21 05:34:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 72°F or higher on October 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2e99a4…
10-21 05:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 21?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xe0f75d…
10-21 05:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe6ec1b…
10-21 04:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf1a79…
10-21 04:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xef1b92…
10-21 03:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x89c132…
10-21 03:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 20?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2277c8…
10-21 02:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc9032b…
10-21 01:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 20?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb6425e…
10-21 00:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xc10721…
10-21 00:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 21?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa6678e…
10-20 22:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 20?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf81678…
10-20 21:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on October 20?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5919f4…
10-20 21:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4af13a…
10-20 21:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x229fee…
10-20 20:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x32d9e7…
10-20 20:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 20?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1c4a90…
10-20 18:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 20?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae0384…
10-20 18:30:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 72°F or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x25d034…
10-20 18:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 20?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x304f4c…
10-20 18:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 20?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x79c879…
10-20 18:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5bc692…
10-20 15:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e618e…
10-20 15:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe520f9…
10-20 09:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa4f75b…
10-20 09:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x418cec…
10-20 07:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa239b2…
10-20 07:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcec933…
10-20 03:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7d2eec…
10-20 03:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 20?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x06f1b3…
10-20 03:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x267367…
10-20 03:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on October 20?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8ef57f…
10-20 03:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd01d49…
10-20 03:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1912c3…
10-20 03:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x448deb…
10-20 03:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 20?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc52948…
10-20 03:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdf1570…
10-20 03:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdde190…
10-20 03:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfe8d13…
10-20 02:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 20?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa3f25f…
10-20 00:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 20?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb2bd23…
10-20 00:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 20?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x6cb72f…
10-19 23:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 19?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x58836a…
10-19 22:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6d2609…
10-19 21:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 19?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x20ba04…