Crafty-Macrofauna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

830

Trades

2,462

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 08-14 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

92% 62% -$1,250

Crypto

7% 47% -$226

Politics

0% 67% +$3

Sports

0% 100% +$6

Tech

0% 0% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in hong kong on april 12 2026 29c	24	$382	229	227	+2	No	+$51	04-12 05:19
highest temperature in hong kong on april 11 2026 29c	18	$355	204	220	-16	No	+$69	04-11 13:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 19c	11	$304	173	172	+1	No	+$40	04-13 02:34
highest temperature in singapore on april 13 2026 32c	13	$292	179	176	+3	No	+$62	04-13 05:05
highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 29c	42	$286	331	327	+4	Yes	-$103	04-13 04:58
highest temperature in los angeles on april 10 2026 68 69f	25	$283	132	212	-80	No	+$45	04-10 22:12
highest temperature in singapore on april 12 2026 32c	24	$277	174	172	+2	No	+$57	04-12 05:18
highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 54 55f	63	$275	343	340	+3	Yes	-$189	04-12 17:39
highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 18c	7	$266	152	151	+2	No	+$29	04-12 06:35
highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 29c	11	$236	110	177	-67	No	+$49	04-10 14:59
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 56 57f	17	$235	145	147	-2	No	+$57	04-12 04:57
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	32	$234	261	261	+0	Yes	-$44	04-16 00:15
highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 17c	14	$232	241	239	+2	No	-$137	04-12 05:59
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 58 59f	40	$207	105	149	-44	No	+$33	04-11 00:23
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	4	$202	203	201	+2	Yes	-$60	04-15 16:28
highest temperature in mexico city on april 20 2026 26corhigher	41	$202	146	146	+0	No	+$84	04-20 23:03
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 15 2026 34c	3	$178	109	107	+2	No	+$38	04-15 11:53
highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 20c	9	$172	108	107	+1	No	+$43	04-18 12:05
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 62 63f	8	$171	97	96	+1	No	+$20	04-14 20:58
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	14	$170	157	156	+1	Yes	-$51	04-13 06:04
highest temperature in chicago on april 17 2026 82 83f	3	$170	106	106	+0	No	+$40	04-17 23:18
highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 16c	9	$167	106	104	+2	No	+$35	04-12 05:49
highest temperature in seattle on april 14 2026 46 47f	19	$166	185	183	+3	Yes	-$86	04-14 21:15
highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 15c	24	$166	214	212	+3	Yes	-$105	04-12 12:35
highest temperature in singapore on april 13 2026 33c	13	$164	162	160	+2	No	-$55	04-13 04:46
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 19c	3	$162	98	97	+1	No	+$33	04-17 04:43
highest temperature in atlanta on april 12 2026 86 87f	8	$161	97	96	+1	No	+$31	04-12 22:03
highest temperature in los angeles on april 11 2026 66 67f	6	$160	102	100	+2	No	+$42	04-11 19:01
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 18c	12	$155	99	98	+2	No	+$42	04-14 00:41
highest temperature in hong kong on april 14 2026 30corhigher	8	$153	91	91	+0	No	+$28	04-14 05:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 18:35:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x5cec40…
08-14 18:35:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x5bf026…
08-14 18:35:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x1aa4aa…
08-14 18:18:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x34fc01…
08-14 18:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xb8d9ab…
08-14 18:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xb3aca3…
08-14 18:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xfbaaef…
08-14 17:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x797fbe…
08-13 21:54:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xd72bc4…
08-13 21:54:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7aae5d…
08-13 20:11:27	Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6e3868…
08-13 18:37:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6bf016…
08-13 18:37:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x91a725…
08-13 17:57:10	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0xcdbe29…
08-13 17:56:49	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0xaf247f…
08-13 17:48:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x850c44…
08-13 17:17:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd8765d…
08-13 14:22:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x74e6b6…
08-13 14:02:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd125eb…
08-13 11:07:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x28f839…
08-13 10:56:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb5304f…
08-13 07:21:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa8ac5d…
08-12 21:53:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5dede8…
08-12 21:50:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc7e234…
08-12 21:35:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe3b284…
08-12 14:12:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7a7268…
08-12 09:41:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe65197…
08-12 03:55:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb9b093…
08-11 16:51:25	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x4dcbb5…
08-11 15:24:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x47d57c…
08-11 13:50:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x468382…
08-11 13:39:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x51d97f…
08-11 13:39:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc30081…
08-11 13:38:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd5e176…
08-11 10:56:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x72b6f9…
08-11 06:38:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0f0599…
08-11 05:08:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8f4c03…
08-11 03:53:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xda8194…
08-11 03:42:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4be7e7…
08-11 02:57:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5e9783…
08-10 23:24:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x450bab…
08-10 21:39:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7e3a03…
08-10 17:50:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x29b8a0…
08-10 17:23:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8eed65…
08-10 16:50:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5f4238…
08-10 13:41:57	ethereum up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x161bdf…
08-10 06:26:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9ab3e3…
08-10 02:15:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc06d25…
08-10 02:11:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xad0e74…
08-10 02:02:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x3a85e6…
08-10 01:58:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x378005…
08-10 01:42:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6f77cf…
08-10 01:42:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe648f9…
08-10 01:30:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xff0c90…
08-10 01:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x630624…
08-10 01:05:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x1be51d…
08-10 01:00:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xeb56f4…
08-10 00:57:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x0c095c…
08-10 00:42:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x46368c…
08-10 00:42:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x086450…
08-10 00:38:01	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x8fc8c4…
08-10 00:02:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6e1088…
08-09 23:52:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xc6b908…
08-09 23:48:36	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe2eb3b…
08-09 23:02:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc5d86d…
08-09 23:01:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd231b9…
08-09 22:53:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe1e74a…
08-09 22:45:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x603ff4…
08-09 22:45:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x11e4c5…
08-09 22:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x10cf3d…
08-09 22:23:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x847d36…
08-09 22:15:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xed2b2c…
08-09 19:26:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1e26f4…
08-09 19:12:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2988c5…
08-09 17:27:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x5f0a17…
08-09 17:06:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x953e49…
08-09 15:09:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6f7d75…
08-09 14:38:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe928e6…
08-09 14:09:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb41ef1…
08-09 13:54:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1cc5ce…
08-09 09:07:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbb520b…
08-09 09:07:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x025b6d…
08-09 07:31:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	29	83¢	$24	0x3ca709…
08-09 06:31:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x731236…
08-08 22:30:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x3698cd…
08-08 18:28:39	lol mkoi gx 2026 08 08 game1	GIANTX	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x626ee5…
08-08 13:27:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x2996e0…
08-08 05:29:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	SELL	28	76¢	$21	0x0464d1…
08-08 04:24:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x6162ea…
08-08 01:23:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x171956…
08-07 05:31:04	xrp up or down august 7 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x16b9b1…
08-07 02:14:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	29	84¢	$25	0x0e8f18…
08-07 01:14:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x082be4…
08-06 16:10:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0x78baa6…
08-06 15:54:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x48f25e…
08-06 15:03:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa04688…
08-06 14:10:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0xee8a2a…
08-06 13:31:14	xrp up or down august 6 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0xc9cbe0…
08-06 13:31:14	solana up or down august 6 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x5a7794…
08-06 13:31:11	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x3694b9…