Soggy-Raffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$545

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

2,693

Trades

8,588

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 11-04 13:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 73% -$536

Other

2% 47% -$9

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:15 UTC	13	$129	69	69	+0	Up	+$7	07-11 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:50 UTC	11	$120	65	65	+0	Up	+$8	07-11 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:25 UTC	11	$113	65	57	+8	Up	+$1	07-11 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:40 UTC	11	$104	53	53	+0	Up	+$2	07-07 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:35 UTC	10	$94	57	54	+3	Down	+$12	07-07 19:40
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$90	52	51	+1	Up	+$11	04-27 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:30 UTC	9	$89	48	48	+0	Down	+$7	07-11 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:30 UTC	8	$81	48	48	+0	Down	+$15	07-12 00:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 21:30 UTC	11	$80	49	49	+0	Up	+$6	07-08 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:15 UTC	11	$72	41	41	+0	Up	+$10	07-11 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:20 UTC	8	$70	38	38	+0	Down	+$6	07-08 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:15 UTC	8	$69	39	39	+0	Down	+$7	07-07 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:25 UTC	10	$69	36	36	+0	Down	+$3	07-09 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:35 UTC	8	$69	40	38	+2	Down	+$7	07-09 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 23:25 UTC	9	$68	37	37	+0	Up	+$4	07-10 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:40 UTC	7	$68	42	42	+0	Up	+$8	07-12 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 23:25 UTC	8	$67	37	36	+1	Down	+$5	07-09 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:00 UTC	6	$66	42	41	+2	Up	+$14	07-11 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:45 UTC	9	$66	34	34	+0	Up	+$2	07-09 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 11:30 UTC	7	$66	35	35	+0	Down	+$4	07-07 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:45 UTC	7	$65	34	34	+0	Down	+$3	07-09 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:25 UTC	7	$64	50	50	+0	Up	+$4	07-07 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 23:40 UTC	10	$63	34	34	+0	Up	+$5	07-09 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:05 UTC	6	$63	34	32	+1	Up	+$1	07-11 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:55 UTC	7	$61	57	25	+31	Up	-$11	07-09 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:00 UTC	9	$61	34	34	+0	Up	+$7	07-09 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 20:45 UTC	10	$60	31	31	+0	Up	+$2	07-08 20:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:20 UTC	8	$59	33	33	+0	Up	+$5	07-09 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:10 UTC	7	$59	39	39	+0	Down	-$1	07-09 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	7	$58	35	29	+6	Up	-$2	07-08 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 13:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x5efb9b…
11-04 13:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xaa36b9…
11-04 13:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb69c08…
11-04 13:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x87c736…
11-04 13:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa390f5…
11-04 13:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xb1b103…
11-04 13:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc560a7…
11-04 13:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd73442…
11-04 13:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2336ae…
11-04 13:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf3dabe…
11-04 13:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa188f2…
11-04 13:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xb9252b…
11-04 13:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2a0199…
11-04 13:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc64f85…
11-04 13:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8c3afb…
11-04 13:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf0226c…
11-04 12:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb9f52a…
11-04 12:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe36a92…
11-04 12:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x07e36b…
11-04 12:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x34bb98…
11-04 12:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa00054…
11-04 11:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5cf82d…
11-04 11:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x76c749…
11-04 11:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x78ef6b…
11-04 11:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4ce0c5…
11-04 11:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x532fac…
11-04 11:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x10b56e…
11-04 11:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xd7944c…
11-04 11:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7e60d8…
11-04 11:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4a90bb…
11-04 11:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x6b8bca…
11-04 11:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x44e8ac…
11-04 11:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0xa28426…
11-04 11:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x68fda0…
11-04 11:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x594084…
11-04 11:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x906bc2…
11-04 11:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe3fcee…
11-04 11:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x6e3faf…
11-04 11:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcd163f…
11-04 11:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x153036…
11-04 11:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xd43004…
11-04 11:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5f0f7d…
11-04 11:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c1c27…
11-04 11:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x196ef6…
10-26 04:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6ddb4a…
10-26 04:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x42836d…
10-26 04:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7ba040…
10-26 04:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x37103f…
10-26 04:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x614871…
10-26 04:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xee4ffd…
10-26 04:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1b638e…
10-26 04:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0c1e9c…
10-26 04:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x210fb0…
10-26 04:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x38dcbf…
10-26 04:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd1d939…
10-26 04:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0baead…
10-26 04:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8b5276…
10-26 04:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdd0b91…
10-26 04:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x57da38…
10-26 04:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5ec21d…
10-26 03:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb3a6dc…
10-26 03:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5f3a68…
10-26 03:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x2f0f46…
10-26 03:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x37a8d8…
10-26 03:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xeb689b…
10-26 03:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf95022…
10-26 02:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x910d10…
10-26 02:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe9c024…
10-26 02:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xcd255f…
10-26 02:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x95a7ee…
10-26 02:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7a6858…
10-26 02:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2054a2…
10-26 02:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x83530a…
10-26 02:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x20d36b…
10-26 02:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe77984…
10-26 02:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x543c34…
10-26 01:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb2858c…
10-26 01:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xca424d…
10-26 01:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb69f17…
10-26 01:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x32270a…
10-26 01:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x6d6c25…
10-26 01:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x59ef0b…
10-26 01:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xab4944…
10-26 01:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4c4920…
10-26 01:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8541c1…
10-26 01:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4368fb…
10-26 01:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x75672f…
10-25 17:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd45ced…
10-25 17:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x70175c…
10-25 17:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe8d660…
10-25 17:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5182a1…
10-25 17:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcad80b…
10-25 17:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3c3911…
10-25 17:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4b0d9b…
10-25 17:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4e2559…
10-25 17:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf37d48…
10-25 17:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9868df…
10-25 17:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xae9354…
10-25 17:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x837dfa…
10-25 17:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x8a6916…