Mean-Archeology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

3,445

Trades

3,451

lifetime

Volume

$5.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-29 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 96% +$3

Other

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:00 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	-$2	07-14 15:04
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 09:50 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	-$2	06-26 09:54
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 14:30 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	-$2	06-24 14:44
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 09:50 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	-$2	06-26 09:54
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:15 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	-$2	08-20 14:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 14:00 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	-$2	07-07 14:14
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	07-21 02:19
solana up or down july 31 2026 5am et	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	07-31 09:58
solana up or down june 26 2026 8am et	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	06-26 12:57
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 12:45 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	06-26 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 13:45 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	07-10 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 01:00 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	07-09 01:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 15:30 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	06-27 15:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 20:00 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	06-29 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 12:35 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	06-26 12:38
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 13:45 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	07-16 13:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 17:15 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	06-29 17:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 12:45 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	06-26 12:57
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	08-21 15:32
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 15:45 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	06-26 15:58
xrp up or down june 25 2026 7pm et	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	06-25 23:59
Solana Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	07-21 15:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 03:45 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	06-30 03:57
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 06:00 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	06-29 06:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 15:15 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	07-01 15:27
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 16:30 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	06-26 16:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 01:45 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	08-11 01:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 13:15 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	07-08 13:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 21:45 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	07-01 21:58
xrp up or down july 17 2026 10am et	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	07-17 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:07:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe320fb…
10-29 16:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x532651…
10-29 15:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4839ac…
10-29 15:12:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4093dd…
10-29 14:36:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5ccb53…
10-29 14:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa34370…
10-29 14:30:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x43c566…
10-29 14:17:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2de288…
10-29 14:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2db0d3…
10-29 14:03:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1ae951…
10-29 13:55:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5b8e31…
10-29 13:31:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc99eb6…
10-29 13:28:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x690523…
10-29 13:17:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x83b5ca…
10-29 13:01:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9d808c…
10-29 12:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe70521…
10-29 12:31:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4f98e4…
10-29 12:01:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe3365b…
10-29 11:42:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6a9861…
10-29 11:36:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5ce0c2…
10-29 10:56:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x519e26…
10-29 07:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x092717…
10-29 06:12:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf6486c…
10-29 05:06:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xea83ea…
10-29 04:47:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb65792…
10-29 04:36:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xacee4b…
10-29 04:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x997c2b…
10-29 03:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x92ca59…
10-29 03:25:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf99150…
10-29 02:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x821f06…
10-29 02:40:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x786320…
10-29 02:35:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x18cfbf…
10-29 02:31:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3547be…
10-29 02:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x634517…
10-29 02:06:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9306cb…
10-29 02:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8ebe0a…
10-29 01:02:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2c3ab7…
10-29 00:32:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x070763…
10-29 00:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdfee98…
10-29 00:18:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf83759…
10-28 23:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0bfa34…
10-28 22:02:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0b8704…
10-28 21:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x509efe…
10-28 21:20:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x015ab6…
10-28 21:16:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x634384…
10-28 20:51:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5c6ea3…
10-28 20:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaa73da…
10-28 20:01:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x108cee…
10-28 19:56:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfbce0e…
10-28 19:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5bfc40…
10-28 19:22:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x37bafc…
10-28 19:17:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x39d3e7…
10-28 19:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc8bc73…
10-28 19:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x763833…
10-28 19:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb31ad5…
10-28 18:53:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc9c9c8…
10-28 18:46:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x58c8c7…
10-28 18:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8b9703…
10-28 18:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc609ff…
10-28 18:36:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3e6cd4…
10-28 18:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4b5d5c…
10-28 18:26:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x726cce…
10-28 18:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2ec440…
10-28 18:01:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcb0263…
10-28 17:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x810f60…
10-28 17:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd94220…
10-28 17:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcb3f9f…
10-28 16:46:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4c136e…
10-28 16:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4e3597…
10-28 15:21:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x698893…
10-28 15:01:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6a216b…
10-28 14:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5def20…
10-28 14:37:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb4cdb3…
10-28 14:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3b1e0f…
10-28 14:22:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3640b5…
10-28 14:16:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd83bdc…
10-28 14:11:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8021da…
10-28 13:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x918163…
10-28 13:36:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x33e8e6…
10-28 13:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4bff73…
10-28 13:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa82ca3…
10-28 13:30:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x61e1f9…
10-28 13:27:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb589bf…
10-28 13:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x84c42c…
10-28 13:18:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb709fe…
10-28 12:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x43759a…
10-28 12:32:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc9dd68…
10-28 11:06:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x171460…
10-28 10:46:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x22deca…
10-28 09:41:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x004478…
10-28 08:02:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x639599…
10-28 05:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4f7556…
10-28 02:51:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8f069c…
10-28 01:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x08e314…
10-28 01:21:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x03f3a0…
10-28 00:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x207361…
10-27 23:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x27b77a…
10-27 22:16:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaecaff…
10-27 20:52:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcbcc91…
10-27 19:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfb9b34…