Outlandish-Eleventh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-09 08:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$65	73	+73	open	—	05-17 09:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	5	$64	88	+88	open	—	05-21 14:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	3	$60	67	+67	open	—	05-21 04:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	4	$57	82	+82	Up	+$11	05-06 08:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$55	57	+57	open	—	05-17 14:30
eth updown 15m 1776099600	3	$54	159	+159	open	—	04-13 17:15
eth updown 15m 1775409300	1	$52	53	+53	open	—	04-05 17:30
eth updown 15m 1776319200	7	$51	95	+95	open	—	04-16 06:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$51	54	+54	open	—	05-16 23:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$43	45	+45	Up	+$2	05-06 19:15
eth updown 15m 1776048300	1	$40	80	+80	open	—	04-13 03:00
eth updown 15m 1776066300	3	$39	108	+108	open	—	04-13 08:00
eth updown 15m 1776547800	10	$39	193	+193	open	—	04-18 21:45
eth updown 15m 1775952900	5	$33	66	+66	open	—	04-12 00:30
eth updown 15m 1775947500	2	$33	71	+71	open	—	04-11 23:00
eth updown 15m 1775593800	7	$32	64	+64	open	—	04-07 20:45
eth updown 15m 1775851200	4	$30	119	+119	open	—	04-10 20:15
eth updown 15m 1776546000	1	$29	69	+69	open	—	04-18 21:15
eth updown 15m 1775826000	2	$27	54	+54	open	—	04-10 13:15
eth updown 15m 1775609100	1	$26	53	+53	open	—	04-08 01:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	6	$25	50	+50	open	—	05-19 11:15
eth updown 15m 1780755300	3	$24	34	+34	open	—	06-06 14:30
eth updown 15m 1775594700	1	$24	48	+48	open	—	04-07 21:00
eth updown 15m 1775532600	1	$24	47	+47	open	—	04-07 03:45
eth updown 15m 1775627100	4	$23	47	+47	open	—	04-08 06:00
eth updown 15m 1775844000	5	$22	78	+78	open	—	04-10 18:15
eth updown 15m 1775451600	3	$21	43	+43	open	—	04-06 05:15
eth updown 15m 1775287800	4	$21	34	+34	open	—	04-04 07:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$20	44	+44	open	—	05-29 06:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$19	38	+38	open	—	05-26 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:30:03	eth updown 15m 1780992900	Down	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x39e664…
06-09 08:30:01	eth updown 15m 1780992900	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xaff284…
06-08 11:45:01	eth updown 15m 1780918200	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xc02dd3…
06-08 09:45:01	eth updown 15m 1780911000	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xbbc4bc…
06-08 05:00:01	eth updown 15m 1780893900	Up	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x89f072…
06-08 03:00:03	eth updown 15m 1780886700	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xeac039…
06-07 20:45:01	eth updown 15m 1780864200	Down	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xa2f1b3…
06-07 17:30:01	eth updown 15m 1780852500	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x4f647c…
06-07 16:15:00	eth updown 15m 1780848000	Up	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xe65db8…
06-07 14:00:03	eth updown 15m 1780839900	Up	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xde9cb3…
06-07 04:00:00	eth updown 15m 1780803900	Up	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xfc9724…
06-06 16:15:00	eth updown 15m 1780761600	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x4d2a6c…
06-06 14:30:01	eth updown 15m 1780755300	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xb9bb2c…
06-06 14:30:01	eth updown 15m 1780755300	Down	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x543abe…
06-06 14:30:01	eth updown 15m 1780755300	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x474314…
06-05 14:15:03	eth updown 15m 1780668000	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xfd58ff…
06-05 14:15:01	eth updown 15m 1780668000	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2d95f9…
06-02 12:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x723dcc…
05-29 06:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x4ea166…
05-29 06:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x25d0f0…
05-27 16:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf4cec9…
05-27 12:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	60¢	$12	0xd7964e…
05-26 18:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xfb957f…
05-26 18:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x86a590…
05-26 18:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1b65b1…
05-26 18:30:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xd49247…
05-26 10:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xf84ec6…
05-26 08:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0x89bff2…
05-25 18:30:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x5bddfd…
05-22 20:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x664fd8…
05-22 20:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x18c431…
05-22 06:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0xc64c2a…
05-22 06:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x675115…
05-21 20:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1a5c66…
05-21 14:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe84934…
05-21 14:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x8b9e6b…
05-21 14:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xede77d…
05-21 14:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x12bff1…
05-21 14:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x1582af…
05-21 04:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x72691d…
05-21 04:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x7b7082…
05-21 04:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x095960…
05-20 17:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa10235…
05-19 11:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x55616b…
05-19 11:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf4551a…
05-19 11:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbc3e9d…
05-19 11:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	39¢	$7	0x510f71…
05-19 11:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2f0206…
05-19 11:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x23bf76…
05-19 09:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xfd102b…
05-18 22:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x0ceaeb…
05-18 22:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0cdfa9…
05-18 16:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x93ff8d…
05-18 16:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7d0e61…
05-18 06:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x051ab6…
05-17 21:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd61fce…
05-17 21:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$9	0x519330…
05-17 18:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x1e2593…
05-17 14:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xbd9a9e…
05-17 09:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x768a07…
05-17 09:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xbef05e…
05-16 23:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0xbfd799…
05-16 05:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xe30990…
05-16 05:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd4fcd4…
05-16 03:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1c016e…
05-16 01:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xa67778…
05-15 21:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5f1902…
05-15 21:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x405906…
05-15 20:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0xcd5e4a…
05-15 20:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x49b1b2…
05-15 20:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x0915d6…
05-13 23:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x9e1fa5…
05-13 23:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x62fa8c…
05-13 17:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x480b63…
05-08 06:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc78d88…
05-08 06:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x8c5e10…
05-08 06:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xbe7eba…
05-07 06:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x995cba…
05-06 19:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xfc0282…
05-06 15:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xf36d92…
05-06 15:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x15eda1…
05-06 10:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x6d2ff9…
05-06 10:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x657fb4…
05-06 08:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xed89ea…
05-06 08:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0x4af44c…
05-06 08:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0x7c7dfc…
05-06 08:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x3a512f…
05-06 03:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x8e1e7b…
05-05 11:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xf9c3a4…
05-04 14:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6f8a0a…
05-04 14:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x459f93…
05-03 03:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x2904d9…
05-02 12:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xe97e62…
05-01 19:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x09d1d7…
05-01 07:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x5a8104…
04-30 17:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa360d9…
04-30 17:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x774899…
04-30 15:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x0777f5…
04-29 09:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x95df7a…
04-29 09:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5866fb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	108	$37.1K	11,700	06-09 08:29
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	108	$17.3K	7,353	06-09 08:29
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	108	$5.43K	1,518	06-09 08:29
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	105	$8.44K	2,563	06-09 08:29
Periodic-Setback 0x8e84…cb71	101	$986	368	06-09 08:30
Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30	94	$31.9K	7,711	05-29 06:29
(anonymous) 0x912a…0f92	94	$8.28K	2,284	06-09 08:23
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	93	$19.6K	1,582	06-02 11:59