Primary-Dory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$495

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.1%

Resolved

Trades

419

lifetime

Volume

$7.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-20 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

61% 17% -$377

Sports

23% 20% -$43

Politics

14% 0% -$61

Tech

1% 50% -$7

Crypto

0% 25% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	41	$1.3K	1,463	1,464	-1	Yes	-$26	04-05 02:23
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	21	$964	977	977	+0	No	-$69	04-04 08:23
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	27	$798	829	829	+0	Yes	-$21	04-04 06:39
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	9	$414	402	402	+0	Yes	-$3	04-03 23:05
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	27	$348	348	398	-50	No	-$22	04-07 14:48
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$291	237	375	-138	No	-$72	04-03 22:10
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	17	$234	287	287	+0	Yes	-$15	04-07 00:14
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	9	$221	412	412	+0	No	-$12	04-05 02:05
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$215	200	200	+0	No	-$17	04-09 08:54
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	22	$204	230	230	+0	Yes	-$12	04-07 14:26
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt4	8	$100	107	103	+4	No	-$2	04-03 02:25
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	7	$96	125	125	+0	No	-$11	04-17 15:34
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	6	$90	86	86	+0	No	+$4	05-06 11:53
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	7	$88	155	155	+0	Yes	-$3	04-14 12:48
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	2	$72	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	04-16 02:25
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?	2	$68	50	50	+0	No	$0	05-05 22:18
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	3	$65	135	135	+0	No	-$3	04-07 23:42
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$55	49	49	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 22:02
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	4	$53	39	39	+0	Yes	-$1	04-17 15:44
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$53	104	104	+0	Yes	-$1	04-08 19:22
will arvell reese be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	5	$51	67	67	+0	No	$0	04-18 01:57
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	3	$50	38	38	+0	No	-$1	05-07 12:28
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 in May?	2	$46	50	50	+0	No	-$2	05-04 13:32
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$46	104	104	+0	No	+$0	04-09 08:12
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	4	$41	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	05-05 20:13
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	5	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	05-04 11:41
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	5	$37	40	40	+0	open	—	05-04 11:23
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	2	$37	117	117	+0	Yes	-$23	04-16 03:15
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	4	$37	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 09:32
Kash Patel out by May 31?	4	$35	40	40	+0	No	+$1	04-28 03:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 01:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xcf7aa4…
05-20 01:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x88f192…
05-08 16:04:19	Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x990e48…
05-07 23:00:31	Will Mantova achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0xe52ec2…
05-07 21:18:42	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0xb52ca4…
05-07 20:48:31	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x266028…
05-07 14:07:25	Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xb593df…
05-07 14:02:01	Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1fec83…
05-07 13:12:15	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?	Yes	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0xd4d908…
05-07 13:02:45	Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xe3f756…
05-07 12:47:03	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$7	0x61fae5…
05-07 12:44:24	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xd6b2f9…
05-07 12:43:46	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x33b66b…
05-07 12:34:59	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?	Yes	BUY	17	38¢	$7	0xb983ab…
05-07 12:28:29	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	No	SELL	38	65¢	$24	0xa20dc6…
05-07 12:04:25	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xa3f45f…
05-07 12:04:00	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x713e69…
05-07 11:21:01	Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x364564…
05-07 09:32:06	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	Yes	SELL	42	37¢	$15	0x75fc87…
05-07 09:32:06	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x6b2e29…
05-07 09:32:01	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xbd4f0f…
05-07 09:31:58	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x19a3d3…
05-07 03:21:05	Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x04e158…
05-07 03:18:27	Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x63610f…
05-07 03:18:11	Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x8549e8…
05-06 21:02:17	Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xfe2994…
05-06 20:57:02	Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x0d9485…
05-06 16:42:13	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	10¢	$5	0xdbb477…
05-06 13:27:18	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x885e92…
05-06 12:22:02	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xb1d753…
05-06 12:14:38	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	No	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x073fd5…
05-06 11:53:10	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x6eebc1…
05-06 11:53:08	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x92c3bc…
05-06 11:37:04	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xf04437…
05-06 11:33:34	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xbefc08…
05-06 07:21:24	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0xe6cdd5…
05-06 06:50:54	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xfac206…
05-06 06:34:04	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x3cc192…
05-06 06:20:38	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xce55de…
05-06 06:03:42	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x84bad9…
05-05 23:38:12	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0xaa6cc8…
05-05 22:56:56	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	36	73¢	$26	0x233988…
05-05 22:55:16	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe92300…
05-05 22:43:06	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 6?	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x36f735…
05-05 22:43:00	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 6?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$7	0x16a0eb…
05-05 22:18:28	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x1bf739…
05-05 21:58:30	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x8f4699…
05-05 21:48:00	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x2e9004…
05-05 21:44:46	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x114bd6…
05-05 20:13:38	Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x654fef…
05-05 20:01:36	Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x72fd92…
05-05 19:22:12	Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x27ee3f…
05-05 19:22:04	Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x538a84…
05-05 12:21:22	Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xfe43cf…
05-05 12:11:50	Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa1d29a…
05-05 03:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x09c024…
05-05 03:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd867b9…
05-05 03:09:14	Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xa62987…
05-05 03:09:06	Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x887331…
05-05 03:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x282e89…
05-05 01:28:36	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x3fb0d5…
05-05 00:14:38	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x9b65fc…
05-05 00:00:26	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0xa4ef5a…
05-04 23:33:58	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x2992fc…
05-04 23:12:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x996b66…
05-04 23:09:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xea6d1a…
05-04 22:54:42	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xc9d462…
05-04 22:54:26	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x43505e…
05-04 22:54:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x0fa69c…
05-04 19:40:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0x438d12…
05-04 19:34:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x7fa7d8…
05-04 13:32:56	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 in May?	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x0fe690…
05-04 13:32:14	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 in May?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xb41cb1…
05-04 11:41:28	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	15	76¢	$12	0xfee52e…
05-04 11:41:02	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x8b2c72…
05-04 11:40:40	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xba79e1…
05-04 11:23:50	Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0xfb5f90…
05-04 11:14:34	Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x8d104f…
05-04 11:14:28	Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xeb19b2…
05-04 11:01:08	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xbe2b66…
05-04 11:00:12	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcdb02f…
05-04 10:38:08	Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xc91eb1…
05-04 10:37:36	Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x6988d0…
05-04 10:21:36	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0xdbd2df…
05-04 10:08:40	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xf64cf9…
05-04 10:08:20	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xfe5767…
05-04 07:27:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x94637c…
05-04 06:11:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0x911a0f…
05-04 05:59:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xadb5ed…
05-04 05:17:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x2bc8b1…
05-04 03:29:16	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x170b52…
05-01 23:20:10	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x111dd9…
05-01 21:18:06	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xc0ba5e…
05-01 14:08:50	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xa0bc49…
05-01 10:57:24	Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x797bd6…
05-01 10:56:56	Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x889601…
05-01 04:12:02	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x0ea5af…
05-01 03:19:04	Chirayu Rana divorced?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xc1f21e…
05-01 03:18:56	Chirayu Rana divorced?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x094d55…
05-01 02:39:42	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x6bdbe1…