Realized P&L
+$442
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
97.5%
Resolved
489
Trades
987
lifetime
Volume
$14.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.57K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-25
last 09-20 14:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
65% 84% +$436
Sports
17% 81% +$6
Politics
16% 88% +$3
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$0
Tech
0% 57% -$1
Crypto
0% 67% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will VfB Stuttgart be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +134 $133 100¢ $134 +$1 09-12 15:47
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +111 $111 100¢ $111 +$0 09-04 10:12
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +91 $89 100¢ $91 +$2 09-08 23:15
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +89 $86 100¢ $89 +$4 09-13 17:35
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +83 $81 100¢ $83 +$2 09-09 15:43
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +79 $76 94¢ $74 -$2 09-18 01:03
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +63 $62 100¢ $62 +$0 08-26 21:10
Will Schalke 04 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $59 100¢ $59 +$0 09-08 12:47
Will TSG Hoffenheim be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $58 100¢ $59 +$0 09-09 23:15
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +56 $56 100¢ $56 +$0 09-14 03:23
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +61 $58 90¢ $55 -$3 09-14 02:57
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +53 $46 94¢ $50 +$4 09-14 02:57
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 +$0 09-13 17:35
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 +$0 09-14 01:10
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 +$0 09-07 23:27
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 99¢ $48 $0 09-09 13:11
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 09-13 00:50
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $39 98¢ $39 +$0 09-18 01:02
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $38 97¢ $38 +$0 09-18 01:02
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +37 $37 99¢ $37 $0 09-13 17:35
Will FC Augsburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +34 $34 99¢ $34 $0 09-08 16:06
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +34 $33 96¢ $33 +$0 09-09 13:11
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $31 100¢ $32 +$1 09-02 17:31
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 09-13 21:16
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 99¢ $32 +$0 09-07 23:11
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $31 98¢ $32 +$1 08-30 20:16
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $31 95¢ $31 $0 09-13 17:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +31 $26 88¢ $28 +$2 09-01 18:03
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 $0 08-30 21:17
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 +$0 09-13 21:14