Female-Estimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.59K

Unrealized P&L

-$81

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

465

Trades

5,686

lifetime

Volume

$389.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$39

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-12 22:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 34% $-3,653

Other

4% 19% +$59

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 371 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-314	$42	12¢	$-39	$-81	06-10 17:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	18	$1.9K	3,238	3,236	+1	open	—	06-10 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	4	$1.7K	1,300	1,300	+0	Down	+$879	05-10 22:07
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	3	$1.7K	1,560	1,560	+0	open	—	06-10 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	3	$1.6K	1,306	1,306	+0	Up	+$715	05-06 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	4	$1.4K	1,107	1,107	+0	open	—	05-22 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET	3	$1.4K	1,875	1,387	+488	open	—	05-27 23:49
btc updown 15m 1781046900	4	$1.3K	1,129	1,129	+0	open	—	06-09 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$1.3K	1,147	1,147	+0	open	—	05-29 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	3	$1.3K	1,087	1,087	+0	open	—	05-14 18:12
btc updown 15m 1781022600	3	$1.2K	1,165	1,165	+0	open	—	06-09 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$1.1K	256	1,237	-981	open	—	05-27 23:22
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 6pm et	7	$1.0K	1,382	987	+395	open	—	06-09 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	5	$1.0K	1,418	1,084	+333	open	—	06-03 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	3	$1.0K	1,593	864	+729	open	—	05-14 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	3	$1.0K	1,142	741	+401	Down	+$85	05-06 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$1.0K	0	1,076	-1,076	open	—	05-22 17:18
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$1.0K	919	919	+0	open	—	06-07 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$995	1,098	1,098	+0	open	—	05-22 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	5	$978	951	951	+0	open	—	05-25 15:14
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești: Both Teams to Score	3	$950	720	1,395	-675	open	—	05-22 19:21
btc updown 15m 1781118000	3	$937	700	700	+0	open	—	06-10 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$900	835	835	+0	open	—	05-23 13:33
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	3	$895	714	714	+0	open	—	06-11 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$886	750	750	+0	open	—	05-22 16:34
btc updown 15m 1781046000	3	$865	796	750	+46	open	—	06-09 23:12
btc updown 15m 1781111700	3	$860	767	767	+0	open	—	06-10 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$860	1,443	673	+770	Down	+$280	05-06 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$825	624	624	+0	open	—	05-14 19:01
btc updown 5m 1781048700	3	$816	593	593	+0	open	—	06-09 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$816	711	711	+0	open	—	05-23 23:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 11:35:27	btc updown 15m 1781350200	Up	BUY	153	24¢	$37	0x4b3638…
06-13 11:30:49	btc updown 5m 1781350200	Up	BUY	192	25¢	$48	0xe611bd…
06-13 11:20:46	btc updown 15m 1781349300	Down	BUY	166	29¢	$48	0xac913c…
06-13 11:15:27	btc updown 5m 1781349300	Down	BUY	187	30¢	$56	0xab2784…
06-13 11:05:24	btc updown 15m 1781348400	Down	BUY	127	41¢	$52	0xdd2a86…
06-12 22:30:25	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	135	12¢	$16	0x38ce6a…
06-12 22:30:10	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	294	12¢	$35	0x378f26…
06-12 22:19:21	btc updown 15m 1781302500	Down	BUY	220	37¢	$81	0x9a20df…
06-12 22:01:45	btc updown 15m 1781301600	Down	BUY	254	28¢	$70	0xefc2b3…
06-12 21:16:03	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	776	14¢	$110	0xe06605…
06-12 21:06:37	btc updown 5m 1781298300	Down	BUY	176	23¢	$40	0xa76063…
06-12 21:05:49	btc updown 15m 1781298000	Down	BUY	216	33¢	$72	0xc8c64d…
06-12 19:06:06	btc updown 5m 1781291100	Up	BUY	174	31¢	$54	0x1c1cfe…
06-12 18:50:54	btc updown 15m 1781289900	Up	BUY	168	28¢	$47	0x292c1f…
06-12 18:46:16	btc updown 5m 1781289900	Up	BUY	194	49¢	$95	0x358ab8…
06-12 18:39:49	btc updown 15m 1781289000	Up	SELL	185	76¢	$141	0x281a46…
06-12 18:36:07	btc updown 15m 1781289000	Up	BUY	185	39¢	$72	0x63f0df…
06-12 18:20:22	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	292	23¢	$68	0x3114b0…
06-12 18:16:19	btc updown 5m 1781288100	Down	BUY	144	45¢	$65	0x8aad2f…
06-12 17:25:34	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	343	21¢	$72	0xfafe90…
06-12 17:25:13	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x4a88bc…
06-12 17:21:21	btc updown 15m 1781284500	Up	BUY	368	37¢	$136	0x058bf5…
06-12 17:16:40	btc updown 5m 1781284500	Up	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x237716…
06-12 17:12:36	btc updown 15m 1781283600	Down	SELL	366	85¢	$311	0xfb3c96…
06-12 17:05:27	btc updown 15m 1781283600	Down	BUY	366	32¢	$118	0xca7a6c…
06-12 16:58:24	btc updown 5m 1781283600	Down	BUY	99	50¢	$49	0x68aa49…
06-12 16:48:57	btc updown 15m 1781282700	Down	BUY	113	23¢	$26	0x5d68e4…
06-12 16:46:40	btc updown 15m 1781282700	Down	BUY	214	46¢	$98	0xdca56e…
06-12 15:48:25	btc updown 15m 1781279100	Up	BUY	294	24¢	$70	0xf322c0…
06-12 15:47:52	btc updown 5m 1781279100	Down	SELL	83	90¢	$75	0xca42c9…
06-12 15:46:19	btc updown 5m 1781279100	Down	BUY	83	43¢	$36	0xc662d8…
06-12 15:40:18	btc updown 5m 1781278800	Up	BUY	132	41¢	$54	0xca8689…
06-12 15:39:07	btc updown 5m 1781278500	Up	SELL	104	20¢	$21	0x8ae9cc…
06-12 15:38:52	btc updown 5m 1781278500	Up	BUY	104	22¢	$23	0x40c6f1…
06-12 15:37:24	btc updown 15m 1781278200	Up	BUY	180	25¢	$45	0xc14687…
06-12 15:32:10	btc updown 15m 1781278200	Up	BUY	134	34¢	$46	0xc17c64…
06-12 15:31:57	btc updown 15m 1781278200	Up	BUY	190	35¢	$67	0x9056af…
06-12 15:25:51	btc updown 5m 1781277900	Up	BUY	126	60¢	$75	0x338fe3…
06-12 15:22:06	btc updown 5m 1781277600	Up	BUY	77	42¢	$32	0xc40bbf…
06-12 15:21:39	btc updown 15m 1781277300	Up	BUY	314	23¢	$72	0xe57d96…
06-12 15:20:45	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	492	23¢	$115	0x8b866d…
06-12 15:14:07	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	492	18¢	$89	0x1bad86…
06-12 14:50:40	btc updown 5m 1781275800	Down	BUY	453	21¢	$96	0x7b5eef…
06-12 14:46:28	btc updown 15m 1781275500	Down	BUY	238	50¢	$119	0x58bf28…
06-12 14:36:19	btc updown 15m 1781274600	Down	BUY	233	39¢	$91	0x68a1be…
06-12 14:34:45	btc updown 5m 1781274600	Up	SELL	126	89¢	$112	0x0ff2f8…
06-12 14:32:00	btc updown 5m 1781274600	Up	BUY	126	43¢	$54	0x20b0ac…
06-12 14:08:37	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	449	25¢	$110	0xc1fb05…
06-12 13:30:48	btc updown 5m 1781271000	Up	BUY	89	21¢	$19	0xa957dc…
06-12 13:28:30	btc updown 5m 1781270700	Up	BUY	86	21¢	$18	0xe293aa…
06-12 13:24:01	btc updown 15m 1781270100	Up	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x1b8d90…
06-12 13:23:33	btc updown 15m 1781270100	Down	SELL	84	80¢	$67	0x94041e…
06-12 13:19:16	btc updown 15m 1781270100	Down	BUY	84	39¢	$32	0x948b41…
06-12 13:06:01	btc updown 5m 1781269500	Down	BUY	218	39¢	$84	0x549626…
06-12 13:02:09	btc updown 5m 1781269200	Down	SELL	113	79¢	$90	0xb65f7c…
06-12 13:00:39	btc updown 5m 1781269200	Down	BUY	113	41¢	$46	0xda48da…
06-12 12:46:36	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Down	BUY	265	34¢	$90	0x34d22a…
06-12 12:31:39	btc updown 15m 1781267400	Down	BUY	142	29¢	$41	0xe339b4…
06-12 12:30:36	btc updown 5m 1781267400	Down	BUY	195	37¢	$72	0x61c0dd…
06-12 12:21:57	btc updown 15m 1781266500	Up	BUY	187	24¢	$45	0x4d749f…
06-12 12:21:42	btc updown 5m 1781266800	Up	BUY	235	23¢	$54	0xe5e6b0…
06-12 12:21:07	btc updown 15m 1781266500	Down	SELL	164	65¢	$107	0x1cdb2f…
06-12 12:19:46	btc updown 15m 1781266500	Down	BUY	164	32¢	$53	0x690b29…
06-12 12:15:27	btc updown 5m 1781266500	Down	BUY	224	40¢	$90	0x59b740…
06-12 12:13:37	btc updown 5m 1781266200	Up	BUY	238	8¢	$19	0xb5d30b…
06-12 12:01:12	btc updown 15m 1781265600	Up	BUY	336	21¢	$72	0x5e97fc…
06-12 11:59:45	btc updown 15m 1781264700	Down	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0xeec29b…
06-12 11:56:45	btc updown 15m 1781264700	Down	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xe1b13d…
06-12 11:25:42	btc updown 5m 1781263500	Up	BUY	148	45¢	$67	0x3d7352…
06-12 11:20:34	btc updown 15m 1781262900	Up	BUY	146	37¢	$54	0xfb799c…
06-12 11:17:55	btc updown 5m 1781262900	Down	SELL	168	76¢	$127	0x208280…
06-12 11:16:00	btc updown 5m 1781262900	Down	BUY	168	44¢	$74	0x20b806…
06-12 10:55:28	btc updown 5m 1781261700	Up	BUY	88	49¢	$43	0x39f17d…
06-12 10:53:07	btc updown 5m 1781261400	Up	BUY	138	34¢	$47	0xf587e8…
06-12 10:46:03	btc updown 5m 1781261100	Up	BUY	97	57¢	$55	0xdab1a0…
06-12 10:45:19	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	182	20¢	$36	0x4f1aa9…
06-12 10:27:55	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	484	18¢	$88	0xfdf1fe…
06-12 10:21:07	btc updown 15m 1781259300	Up	BUY	319	37¢	$118	0xcd0c4f…
06-12 10:12:19	btc updown 5m 1781259000	Up	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x715371…
06-12 10:12:04	btc updown 15m 1781258400	Up	BUY	133	42¢	$56	0xb5b1e8…
06-12 10:10:16	btc updown 15m 1781258400	Up	SELL	286	90¢	$257	0xa06e12…
06-12 10:06:48	btc updown 15m 1781258400	Up	BUY	286	24¢	$69	0x196027…
06-12 10:00:27	btc updown 5m 1781258400	Up	BUY	235	23¢	$54	0x5d2e9e…
06-12 09:54:18	btc updown 15m 1781257500	Up	BUY	390	10¢	$39	0x67fad1…
06-12 09:53:21	btc updown 5m 1781257800	Up	BUY	144	18¢	$26	0x7a64c1…
06-12 09:52:28	btc updown 5m 1781257800	Down	SELL	152	84¢	$127	0xd79733…
06-12 09:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781257800	Down	BUY	152	45¢	$69	0xbca987…
06-12 09:42:31	btc updown 5m 1781257200	Down	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0x71bf46…
06-12 09:34:54	btc updown 15m 1781256600	Down	BUY	408	13¢	$54	0x38b8a3…
06-12 09:26:21	btc updown 5m 1781256300	Down	BUY	187	41¢	$77	0x11edf5…
06-12 09:22:04	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	403	13¢	$54	0xf19efe…
06-12 09:17:07	btc updown 15m 1781255700	Down	BUY	336	35¢	$118	0x20cd53…
06-12 09:16:04	btc updown 5m 1781255700	Down	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x32142d…
06-12 09:07:55	btc updown 15m 1781254800	Up	SELL	240	87¢	$209	0x4d89f8…
06-12 09:04:54	btc updown 15m 1781254800	Up	BUY	240	38¢	$90	0x4e1417…
06-12 09:04:16	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Down	SELL	218	92¢	$200	0xd20144…
06-12 09:02:37	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Down	BUY	218	17¢	$36	0xd724de…
06-12 08:55:30	btc updown 5m 1781254500	Down	BUY	108	52¢	$56	0x653521…
06-12 08:53:04	btc updown 5m 1781254200	Down	BUY	206	17¢	$35	0x9189bc…
06-12 08:48:57	btc updown 15m 1781253900	Down	BUY	356	27¢	$96	0x503283…