Thoughtful-Separation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$6.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-10 01:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

72% 0% $-34

Politics

18% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $-21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	2	$1.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-29 16:57
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	2	$1.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-27 23:19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	3	$483	500	500	+0	open	—	03-25 22:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$277	1,707	1,707	+0	open	—	03-29 13:10
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$240	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 06:54
Will Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?	2	$217	100	200	-100	open	—	05-23 06:28
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	2	$204	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 00:08
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	3	$184	312	312	+0	open	—	02-20 01:06
will hotstuff launch a token by december 31 2026	3	$180	120	120	+0	open	—	06-09 11:28
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	3	$176	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 14:01
hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	3	$170	120	120	+0	open	—	06-10 01:03
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	2	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	06-08 07:18
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	6	$117	117	117	+0	open	—	05-25 21:41
andrew tate of tweets march 10 march 17 2026 0 99	2	$100	75	75	+0	open	—	03-15 03:35
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	5	$82	500	500	+0	open	—	03-25 06:09
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $204 in May?	3	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	05-25 21:54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	2	$75	80	80	+0	open	—	04-22 04:29
Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$74	50	50	+0	No	$-0	05-02 07:34
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	4	$65	41	41	+0	open	—	05-19 15:19
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?	2	$60	35	35	+0	open	—	04-20 21:30
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	2	$60	35	35	+0	open	—	05-05 01:47
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$50	67	0	+67	open	—	01-29 08:53
Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	7	$47	28	40	-12	open	—	05-22 14:27
Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	04-22 01:15
Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	3	$38	20	60	-40	Yes	$-21	05-04 12:34
Will Chappell Roan be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	1	$34	100	0	+100	No	$-34	05-04 23:39
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	04-22 01:34
Will Bernie say "Trumpism" in Maine?	3	$30	18	18	+0	open	—	05-23 08:36
infinex fdv above 200m one day after launch 274	1	$30	41	0	+41	open	—	01-31 08:16
Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	3	$24	18	9	+9	open	—	05-23 00:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:03:28	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	117	68¢	$80	0x3b35a1…
06-09 23:53:04	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xa660da…
06-09 17:02:27	will tori launch a token by september 30 2027	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x5f3ebf…
06-09 15:14:21	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	120	74¢	$89	0x7336dd…
06-09 11:28:00	will hotstuff launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	113	69¢	$78	0x0939fd…
06-09 11:27:15	will hotstuff launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x13ad20…
06-09 10:48:57	will hotstuff launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	120	81¢	$97	0x4e9fe0…
06-08 07:18:30	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x149449…
06-06 20:25:27	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x6f6760…
05-29 14:01:25	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	SELL	173	36¢	$62	0xba904a…
05-29 07:56:08	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	SELL	27	36¢	$10	0xbbb002…
05-29 07:18:57	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x3a6ef8…
05-25 21:54:41	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $204 in May?	No	SELL	42	71¢	$30	0xfb6575…
05-25 21:41:25	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xda52fa…
05-25 21:38:09	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $204 in May?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x0b7ef9…
05-25 18:05:30	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $204 in May?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x5ec292…
05-25 14:08:52	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x34bd6e…
05-25 13:43:43	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	76	45¢	$34	0xec8314…
05-25 13:40:12	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0xba6799…
05-25 13:38:39	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x51c035…
05-25 12:02:59	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x01dfd0…
05-24 00:08:12	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xee4a0b…
05-24 00:05:37	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xc02a11…
05-23 08:36:09	Will Bernie say "Trumpism" in Maine?	No	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0xf4a911…
05-23 06:40:08	Will Bernie say "Trumpism" in Maine?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xd8c7db…
05-23 06:31:21	Will Bernie say "Trumpism" in Maine?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x299634…
05-23 06:28:30	Will Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$139	0xcead3c…
05-23 04:57:52	Will Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xc67148…
05-23 00:08:29	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x9444ad…
05-23 00:05:34	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x400391…
05-22 23:54:06	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x6bdee4…
05-22 14:27:57	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	SELL	35	67¢	$24	0x6be454…
05-22 13:20:54	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x08ee42…
05-22 13:16:01	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa92f6e…
05-22 12:59:55	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa6d674…
05-22 12:48:43	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x74f08b…
05-22 11:39:27	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x17a23d…
05-22 11:27:10	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0xcf7d05…
05-19 15:19:40	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0xc57e69…
05-19 15:14:15	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xbbce79…
05-19 06:49:13	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x0bec11…
05-19 06:48:12	Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xdade54…
05-05 01:47:06	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x4e234b…
05-05 01:42:58	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0xf76d7d…
05-04 23:39:18	Will Chappell Roan be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xe02c0b…
05-04 12:34:54	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xa92c98…
05-04 12:18:58	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x8bb291…
05-04 11:35:34	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x1ed06a…
05-03 18:20:32	Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x29c3ab…
05-03 14:41:50	Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x684643…
05-02 07:34:08	Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xf7be77…
05-02 07:16:10	Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xe87a8d…
04-29 04:20:46	Will Drake feature Giveon on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x00a223…
04-28 15:32:26	Will Drake feature Giveon on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x6dbfb0…
04-24 22:43:04	will macroeconomy be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 139	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xb951be…
04-24 22:39:16	will macroeconomy be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 139	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xb93ecb…
04-24 16:27:16	will macroeconomy be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 139	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x1460d5…
04-24 12:37:46	will hillary or clinton be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 526	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xa14096…
04-24 12:36:46	will macroeconomy be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 139	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x120e46…
04-24 11:48:22	will hillary or clinton be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 526	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5e4b94…
04-24 08:34:02	will macroeconomy be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 139	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x3e9bb1…
04-24 08:29:24	will macroeconomy be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 139	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x3f7575…
04-24 08:17:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb3608a…
04-24 08:13:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x34ff3b…
04-22 04:29:36	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	80	46¢	$37	0xfbba4a…
04-22 03:52:42	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	48¢	$38	0x5d99df…
04-22 01:34:44	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x7b7212…
04-22 01:33:00	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x3c107f…
04-22 01:16:32	Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x166cbb…
04-22 01:15:50	Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x1749f9…
04-22 01:06:04	Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb450c2…
04-21 22:54:56	Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x671802…
04-21 16:41:00	Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xff8bef…
04-21 16:33:46	Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8a1442…
04-21 08:29:46	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xded5b0…
04-21 08:26:42	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x43a58e…
04-21 08:20:28	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x8ab9f7…
04-21 08:01:58	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x432669…
04-20 21:30:46	Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	86¢	$30	0x8f42ed…
04-20 20:26:56	Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xc67b5a…
03-29 16:57:58	cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	Tennessee Volunteers	SELL	4,000	22¢	$880	0x431b48…
03-29 16:10:08	cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	Tennessee Volunteers	BUY	4,000	22¢	$880	0x9e2f02…
03-29 13:10:00	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	455	8¢	$36	0x53ba22…
03-29 13:06:24	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,232	8¢	$102	0xd77c72…
03-29 13:04:48	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x05a7cf…
03-29 13:02:44	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	552	8¢	$44	0x3d4804…
03-29 13:02:36	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,155	8¢	$92	0xfda503…
03-27 23:19:07	cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	Alabama Crimson Tide	SELL	3,000	18¢	$540	0xdac452…
03-27 18:34:05	cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	Alabama Crimson Tide	BUY	3,000	19¢	$570	0x2454b8…
03-25 22:09:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	500	46¢	$228	0x5f9de5…
03-25 19:48:57	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xc78df2…
03-25 19:48:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	441	51¢	$225	0x8af908…
03-25 06:09:01	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$22	0x6ff893…
03-25 05:54:51	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0xeb30fa…
03-25 05:54:41	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xbe9496…
03-25 05:54:35	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x24544d…
03-25 05:54:31	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	Yes	BUY	98	12¢	$12	0xd0efd2…
03-16 06:54:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	11¢	$110	0xd17a3d…
03-15 12:36:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x4a75c9…
03-15 03:35:35	andrew tate of tweets march 10 march 17 2026 0 99	Yes	SELL	75	65¢	$49	0x1e6577…