Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.51K

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved

185

Trades

1,298

lifetime

Volume

$135.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$54

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-10 03:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

57% 66% +$11,423

Other

34% 59% +$898

Crypto

9% 49% +$167

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	+40	$32	99¢	$40	+$7	11-04 09:40
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.54ºC in November 2026?	Yes	+20	$14	57¢	$12	-$2	11-07 14:19
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+302	$83	1¢	$2	-$81	11-07 23:55
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	+133	$1,207	0¢	$0	-$1,207	11-04 09:55
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	+0	$226	1¢	$0	-$226	11-06 23:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$27.9K	31,319	0	+31,319	No	+$3,445	09-16 15:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	30	$22.6K	16,157	13,570	+2,587	Yes	+$2,959	10-25 23:26
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	21	$13.1K	9,681	9,681	+0	Yes	+$5,124	10-04 21:35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	26	$7.1K	6,104	5,140	+965	No	+$1,053	10-25 23:10
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	32	$4.3K	3,870	2,681	+1,189	Yes	+$897	10-28 01:54
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$2.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$1,105	11-02 05:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	18	$2.7K	1,846	1,846	+0	open	—	11-10 03:25
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	24	$2.5K	2,146	834	+1,312	Yes	+$244	10-23 10:26
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	146	$2.4K	3,250	3,117	+133	open	—	11-04 09:55
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	19	$2.4K	2,282	1,980	+302	open	—	11-07 23:55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	12	$2.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	11-04 07:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2.0K	1,118	1,118	+0	Yes	+$17	04-07 23:11
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	9	$1.9K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$550	11-03 17:46
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	11	$1.7K	1,900	475	+1,425	Yes	+$384	11-03 23:34
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$1.6K	986	986	+0	Yes	+$237	04-12 18:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.6K	1,779	0	+1,779	Yes	+$196	09-15 08:57
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$1.5K	1,253	1,253	+0	Yes	-$205	10-27 20:02
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	12	$1.4K	2,050	1,896	+154	No	-$868	11-04 02:19
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$10	10-21 04:18
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	53	$1.2K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$358	11-03 04:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	+$380	11-03 08:34
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	13	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$96	11-03 05:36
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	5	$1.1K	1,410	130	+1,280	No	+$150	10-27 16:27
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	62	$1.1K	6,874	685	+6,189	No	-$904	10-28 02:17
bitcoin above 86k on january 16	4	$1.0K	547	547	+0	Yes	+$45	01-14 22:00
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	2	$844	440	440	+0	Yes	+$34	01-19 04:22
bitcoin above 98k on january 19	2	$843	440	440	+0	No	+$33	01-19 02:15
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	19	$812	1,090	1,050	+40	open	—	11-06 23:19
Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	1	$728	800	0	+800	No	+$72	11-03 01:34
Blue wave in 2026?	5	$728	800	0	+800	Yes	+$72	11-03 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 03:25:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	923	75¢	$691	0xddc98e…
11-09 20:12:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	191	78¢	$149	0x9ffe0e…
11-09 19:36:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	41	78¢	$32	0x795f6e…
11-09 19:28:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	335	78¢	$262	0xdef35d…
11-09 18:46:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	82	78¢	$64	0xfeaa57…
11-09 18:35:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	238	78¢	$186	0xf01981…
11-08 16:10:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0xbdc39d…
11-07 23:55:21	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	2¢	$5	0xc4fa71…
11-07 14:19:57	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.54ºC in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x16a1a0…
11-07 13:40:58	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.54ºC in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xce40ee…
11-07 13:39:28	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.54ºC in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x8f2558…
11-07 13:38:49	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.54ºC in November 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x33d269…
11-07 13:38:31	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.54ºC in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7b6640…
11-07 13:32:54	Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x88aa2c…
11-06 23:19:24	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x1d19f2…
11-06 23:06:31	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	340	21¢	$71	0x7e2313…
11-06 23:06:31	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x651214…
11-06 23:05:31	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xb39cee…
11-06 23:05:13	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x5d854f…
11-06 23:05:00	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xb7a538…
11-06 23:04:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x6ec566…
11-04 09:55:34	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x58011f…
11-04 09:55:31	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x9a3293…
11-04 09:55:30	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x7915aa…
11-04 09:49:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x58031b…
11-04 09:48:55	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xb034b9…
11-04 09:44:39	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	35	21¢	$7	0x810d91…
11-04 09:43:39	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x31e6bc…
11-04 09:43:31	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xf0db53…
11-04 09:43:28	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x9fa865…
11-04 09:43:24	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xb60a85…
11-04 09:43:24	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x4b2bda…
11-04 09:43:22	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0x399305…
11-04 09:43:22	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x0eae73…
11-04 09:43:19	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x2b21ed…
11-04 09:42:42	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0xf86dce…
11-04 09:42:42	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0xcdc43b…
11-04 09:42:42	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0xb924ca…
11-04 09:42:37	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0xdb77cc…
11-04 09:42:37	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	19¢	$4	0xb7003c…
11-04 09:42:37	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x360e12…
11-04 09:41:10	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x34e955…
11-04 09:41:09	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xad7e10…
11-04 09:40:31	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xc814e4…
11-04 09:40:31	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0x68db90…
11-04 09:40:30	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0xd113a4…
11-04 09:40:30	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0x9f3688…
11-04 09:40:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x376f85…
11-04 09:40:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x210c27…
11-04 09:40:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x210c27…
11-04 09:40:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x196d48…
11-04 09:40:28	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$7	0x94c02d…
11-04 09:40:28	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x51fcf9…
11-04 09:40:28	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x4da779…
11-04 09:40:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x5220e7…
11-04 09:39:03	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x6fa3b1…
11-04 09:38:57	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xa3896e…
11-04 09:38:52	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	31	18¢	$5	0x7bb4cc…
11-04 09:36:55	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x80eee2…
11-04 09:33:30	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x9a7085…
11-04 09:33:24	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x942880…
11-04 09:33:22	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x187b28…
11-04 09:33:01	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x63c4f2…
11-04 09:32:55	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x3bdb28…
11-04 09:31:27	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0xd7e5af…
11-04 09:30:12	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x46eaf0…
11-04 09:30:09	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x1df05d…
11-04 09:30:07	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xe43c43…
11-04 09:27:58	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x25c669…
11-04 09:27:28	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x0b3c31…
11-04 09:27:00	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x34a439…
11-04 09:25:39	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x82984b…
11-04 09:24:18	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xb8340e…
11-04 09:24:07	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x335211…
11-04 09:24:03	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x438dbb…
11-04 09:23:30	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0x61db21…
11-04 09:23:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x57d126…
11-04 09:23:19	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xf27d99…
11-04 09:22:30	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xbeb745…
11-04 09:22:10	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x6e0e8f…
11-04 09:21:52	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x383b6f…
11-04 09:21:39	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x421de5…
11-04 09:21:13	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	38	18¢	$7	0x744d16…
11-04 09:21:07	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x0e1113…
11-04 09:20:58	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xa1fce4…
11-04 09:20:46	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xfcf3b0…
11-04 09:20:33	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x44db9d…
11-04 09:19:31	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xb3ff72…
11-04 09:19:31	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x2da06b…
11-04 09:19:31	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x07eb2a…
11-04 09:19:30	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0x7954be…
11-04 09:19:19	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x7a3462…
11-04 09:19:09	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x231116…
11-04 09:15:46	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x54e20a…
11-04 09:15:37	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x033f80…
11-04 09:12:42	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0xfe722d…
11-04 09:12:33	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0xcbcad6…
11-04 09:05:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xc4cc7f…
11-04 09:05:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x8d4391…
11-04 09:05:22	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x092eb6…