Sardonic-Elderberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

Trades

510

lifetime

Volume

$2.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-11 23:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 31% +$24

Sports

36% — —

Other

15% 0% $-20

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	5	$97	79	79	+0	open	—	05-27 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	6	$72	162	162	+0	Up	+$52	05-07 17:09
btc updown 15m 1769981400	6	$65	59	55	+4	open	—	02-01 21:44
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	4	$59	41	41	+0	open	—	05-28 14:41
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	05-31 02:50
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	05-28 02:13
btc updown 15m 1770733800	5	$39	147	26	+121	open	—	02-10 14:39
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	8	$39	59	59	+0	open	—	05-28 22:51
btc updown 15m 1770345000	6	$38	221	19	+202	open	—	02-06 02:40
eth updown 15m 1769973300	2	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	02-01 19:27
btc updown 15m 1770344100	6	$36	394	17	+377	open	—	02-06 02:27
will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	7	$36	35	35	+0	open	—	06-12 14:02
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$35	22	22	+0	open	—	05-31 23:13
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	4	$35	56	20	+36	open	—	05-27 23:53
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	2	$33	28	19	+9	open	—	05-27 01:32
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$33	38	38	+0	open	—	05-26 16:22
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik	2	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	05-29 19:09
will lionel messi score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833282	2	$31	25	25	+0	open	—	06-12 13:13
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs	2	$30	49	0	+49	open	—	05-28 13:46
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$30	52	0	+52	open	—	05-28 12:16
ezri konsa 20260609175104680	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	06-12 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$28	26	26	+0	open	—	05-25 13:34
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	3	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	06-03 17:19
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$26	37	27	+9	open	—	05-28 20:21
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	3	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	05-31 01:46
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	4	$25	30	20	+10	open	—	05-28 22:37
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	2	$24	38	19	+19	open	—	05-27 21:47
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	4	$24	36	8	+28	open	—	05-25 21:32
eth updown 15m 1769888700	2	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	01-31 20:01
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	06-02 21:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 15:16:45	btc updown 5m 1781277300	Down	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xa33407…
06-12 15:15:18	btc updown 5m 1781277300	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8f3ef2…
06-12 15:05:49	atp perrica bublik 2026 06 12	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc778d5…
06-12 14:02:30	will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x1b1241…
06-12 14:00:25	will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xa256ec…
06-12 13:57:37	will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x32facf…
06-12 13:47:57	ezri konsa 20260609175104680	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xa01a64…
06-12 13:28:13	will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x450b9a…
06-12 13:28:01	will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa5a71b…
06-12 13:27:34	will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x1dca25…
06-12 13:26:37	ezri konsa 20260609175104680	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xa603ab…
06-12 13:25:55	will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xf975cc…
06-12 13:13:57	will lionel messi score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833282	Yes	SELL	25	61¢	$15	0xcc078b…
06-12 13:12:09	will lionel messi score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833282	Yes	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0xb62c5e…
06-11 23:28:30	btc updown 5m 1781220300	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xa983a7…
06-11 23:24:36	btc updown 5m 1781220000	Up	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0xc39ecf…
06-11 23:22:49	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6ae1cc…
06-11 22:51:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	24	36¢	$8	0x84a1be…
06-11 22:14:21	btc updown 5m 1781215800	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0bfc6e…
06-11 22:10:18	btc updown 5m 1781215800	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x69bae4…
06-11 22:08:22	btc updown 5m 1781215500	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x40c02b…
06-11 22:07:06	btc updown 5m 1781215500	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc5eb95…
06-06 23:18:43	btc updown 5m 1780787700	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xf90ce1…
06-06 23:16:25	btc updown 5m 1780787700	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x4c688b…
06-06 22:59:24	mlb tb mia 2026 06 06	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x599192…
06-06 22:55:07	mlb tb mia 2026 06 06 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9a099c…
06-06 22:54:04	mlb tb mia 2026 06 06	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x45bada…
06-06 22:47:52	btc updown 5m 1780785900	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x15bd35…
06-06 20:24:25	btc updown 5m 1780777200	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa97bd7…
06-06 18:50:52	btc updown 5m 1780771800	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xaea652…
06-06 18:50:01	btc updown 5m 1780771800	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x64ea8a…
06-06 18:47:58	btc updown 5m 1780771500	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x86ac0c…
06-06 18:46:34	btc updown 5m 1780771500	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xbeb422…
06-06 18:43:06	btc updown 5m 1780771200	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xefea34…
06-03 21:25:19	mlb sf mil 2026 06 03	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x394b6d…
06-03 21:25:16	mlb tor atl 2026 06 03	Atlanta Braves	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x0507c6…
06-03 21:17:16	btc updown 5m 1780521300	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd8740e…
06-03 21:16:36	btc updown 5m 1780521300	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe808f1…
06-03 21:12:12	btc updown 5m 1780521000	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xadaf60…
06-03 20:54:40	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0xcce840…
06-03 20:52:49	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x074285…
06-03 20:50:34	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xac5a1e…
06-03 20:21:09	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03	Miami Marlins	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x81c2f9…
06-03 19:38:25	mlb sf mil 2026 06 03	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xccc665…
06-03 19:35:51	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03	Miami Marlins	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xda6029…
06-03 17:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xb5a256…
06-03 17:21:15	San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xeb0c64…
06-03 17:21:09	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x784e62…
06-03 17:19:48	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x38e4eb…
06-03 17:17:30	San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x91e910…
06-03 17:15:57	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x13c3a7…
06-03 17:14:57	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0x227f6a…
06-03 13:39:01	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xe5c88d…
06-03 12:58:41	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5f5b33…
06-02 21:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x7e5f51…
06-02 21:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x72cdfc…
06-02 21:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1127c3…
06-02 21:40:08	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x025a0e…
06-02 21:38:26	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0x4949df…
06-02 21:29:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb44b73…
06-02 21:28:21	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcace57…
06-02 15:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x8bb010…
06-02 15:15:57	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xed2216…
06-02 14:02:15	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	NRG	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa34c8e…
06-02 13:56:32	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x068756…
06-02 00:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xabcb0c…
06-02 00:18:52	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x541cb8…
06-02 00:18:17	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xb01a17…
06-02 00:17:28	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x057784…
05-31 23:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0xcde50b…
05-31 23:43:58	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Chicago Cubs	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x5cf3b9…
05-31 23:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x83eccd…
05-31 23:35:57	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbd3dfa…
05-31 23:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7753a0…
05-31 23:13:29	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Chicago Cubs	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0002a0…
05-31 23:13:12	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x93e7b7…
05-31 22:43:13	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x35d0ff…
05-31 22:26:04	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x506bfb…
05-31 03:21:08	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x9b429e…
05-31 02:53:43	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xdeeab7…
05-31 02:53:27	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x02583e…
05-31 02:50:00	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x527871…
05-31 02:46:02	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x0b0d77…
05-31 02:45:34	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf79493…
05-31 01:47:34	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xfeac6d…
05-31 01:46:59	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc7b766…
05-31 00:45:35	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x6fc236…
05-31 00:45:19	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x9707bc…
05-30 21:44:54	Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Minnesota Twins	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x5b8324…
05-30 21:39:44	Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xb28c6b…
05-30 19:30:54	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x8a8f1c…
05-30 19:26:11	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x626521…
05-30 19:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x2355fc…
05-30 18:50:15	Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9ae2ba…
05-30 12:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x328055…
05-30 12:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x61a529…
05-29 19:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xd53614…
05-29 19:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcd2de6…
05-29 19:13:32	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x01b74c…
05-29 19:11:59	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x114851…