Mountainous-Communion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

174

Trades

310

lifetime

Volume

$2.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 11-14 00:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 81% +$16

Politics

12% 17% -$14

Other

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	7	$147	150	0	+150	Down	+$3	05-26 12:09
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	5	$131	50	150	-100	No	-$13	05-23 03:10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	4	$108	55	55	+0	No	$0	04-22 13:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	6	$78	82	0	+82	Up	+$4	05-25 07:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	6	$78	80	0	+80	Up	+$2	05-25 11:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$78	80	0	+80	Up	+$3	05-25 14:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	4	$67	70	0	+70	Up	+$3	05-25 16:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	4	$67	69	0	+69	Down	+$2	05-26 00:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	4	$67	69	0	+69	Down	+$2	05-25 22:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$67	69	0	+69	Up	+$2	05-26 13:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$67	69	0	+69	Down	+$2	05-25 19:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	5	$62	64	0	+64	Down	+$3	05-28 01:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$59	62	0	+62	Up	-$59	05-28 14:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	6	$52	54	0	+54	Up	+$2	05-27 22:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	5	$52	55	0	+55	Down	+$3	05-28 13:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	7	$52	56	0	+56	Up	+$4	05-28 06:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$51	56	0	+56	Down	+$5	05-27 04:20
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	3	$50	0	100	-100	No	$0	04-20 04:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	5	$48	49	0	+49	Up	+$1	05-24 22:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	5	$47	51	0	+51	Down	+$4	05-24 20:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$46	55	0	+55	Down	+$9	05-28 10:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	4	$44	47	0	+47	Up	+$3	05-26 05:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	4	$42	43	0	+43	Down	+$1	05-28 03:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$38	39	0	+39	Down	+$1	05-24 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$37	38	0	+38	Down	+$2	05-28 13:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	4	$37	40	0	+40	Down	+$3	05-28 06:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$36	37	0	+37	Up	+$1	05-27 12:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	4	$28	29	0	+29	Down	+$1	05-24 12:20
will trump say iran or oil 13 times during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	3	$26	55	44	+11	No	$0	04-21 11:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	05-24 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 00:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x14b189…
11-10 06:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc1113c…
11-08 09:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe746e4…
11-08 06:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x166441…
11-07 16:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x56fde4…
11-07 10:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2df9b2…
11-07 09:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x10936f…
11-07 01:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x328128…
11-03 22:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc08982…
11-01 15:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x324554…
10-30 03:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x233498…
10-29 14:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf7d215…
10-27 23:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x09c187…
10-27 00:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc8b174…
10-25 17:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x44cf95…
10-25 17:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x62f00f…
10-25 05:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x700e16…
10-25 04:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x38a0b5…
10-24 12:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xdc971d…
10-24 06:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x353099…
10-24 02:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5e2d77…
10-23 18:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x139c1a…
10-23 01:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe4c46a…
10-23 00:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6b28a0…
10-21 22:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x77d4d5…
10-20 23:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa4a048…
10-18 19:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe169f1…
10-18 18:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2be6b8…
10-12 09:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x140569…
10-12 08:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7650b7…
10-12 06:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf0eced…
10-12 05:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x11bf72…
10-12 05:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x17b7bb…
10-12 04:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x44136e…
10-12 03:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x17851e…
10-12 01:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xab965d…
09-16 10:54:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa8e630…
09-16 09:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x03dc1a…
09-16 08:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x580b38…
09-16 05:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe3587c…
09-16 04:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd6c927…
09-16 03:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd96e5d…
09-16 02:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1eec3f…
09-15 23:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x224c3d…
09-15 23:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdca263…
09-15 22:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x34562a…
09-15 22:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x533986…
09-15 21:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x59ad87…
09-15 18:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x07f5df…
09-15 15:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1ea314…
09-15 10:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd8547a…
09-15 06:51:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xaeb9d2…
09-15 06:21:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdbf9c3…
09-15 06:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x322828…
09-15 05:52:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x881b7d…
09-14 05:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb4225c…
09-13 21:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8e2fdb…
09-13 20:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x85975a…
09-13 20:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7f266c…
09-13 19:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5423c8…
09-13 17:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x300008…
09-13 12:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xaad9e3…
09-13 05:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xec9cbb…
09-13 00:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x640c6a…
09-12 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x9764b0…
09-12 20:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2c1d3f…
09-12 12:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb1cbfa…
09-12 11:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc73255…
09-12 10:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x68d1fb…
09-12 10:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x835308…
09-12 08:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbe329c…
09-12 08:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x29dd99…
09-12 04:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x698649…
09-12 04:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf3e05e…
09-12 03:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x20bab4…
09-12 03:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x47381f…
09-12 02:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdd2d9d…
09-11 23:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc24247…
09-11 21:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x46ee43…
09-11 09:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf87dfe…
09-11 07:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf5c85b…
09-11 06:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xac7ff2…
09-11 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9ab127…
09-11 04:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcec364…
09-10 22:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe09a34…
09-10 10:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x91a6b0…
09-10 07:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x120548…
09-10 02:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4e4f07…
09-10 00:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0322cf…
09-09 21:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x033bba…
09-09 14:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa6183e…
09-09 12:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xaa5f26…
09-09 09:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc8b83e…
09-09 01:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xfa9aee…
09-09 00:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5c1a44…
09-08 22:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf6005f…
09-08 21:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8c2af1…
09-08 14:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdb1ed2…
09-08 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x30565f…
09-08 09:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd26120…