Pricey-Equation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.1%

Resolved

196

Trades

841

lifetime

Volume

$378

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-31 04:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

66% 13% +$4

Politics

26% 28% -$8

Sports

3% 0% -$7

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$5

Tech

2% 33% +$0

Crypto

1% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	3	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	07-15 05:40
Will Malvinas Gaming win LRS 2026 Split 1?	6	$11	84	84	+0	No	+$9	05-11 01:55
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-02 16:20
will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-02 06:00
will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-02 09:00
Will Bogdan-Daniel Deac win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	07-03 15:20
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	07-23 06:10
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?	12	$8	273	273	+0	No	+$2	06-04 19:36
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	07-07 05:20
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	07-23 23:54
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-23 23:54
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-23 23:54
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	07-15 22:00
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	-$1	07-10 13:00
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	7	$6	62	62	+0	No	+$4	05-28 13:50
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	8	$5	97	94	+3	No	+$2	06-05 01:31
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$5	34	34	+0	No	+$3	05-28 13:40
Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	5	$4	59	59	+0	No	+$2	05-22 06:40
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	5	$4	50	50	+0	No	+$2	06-11 21:40
GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?	5	$4	59	59	+0	No	+$2	05-11 09:20
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?	16	$4	282	263	+19	No	-$2	06-07 10:11
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	5	$4	77	77	+0	No	+$2	05-23 23:10
fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 team total home 2pt5	6	$4	84	84	+0	Under	-$1	06-13 17:10
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$3	46	35	+11	No	+$1	05-23 17:11
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30?	15	$3	273	179	+94	No	-$3	06-29 14:51
googl above 450 on june 30 2026	31	$3	429	428	+1	No	-$2	06-24 14:31
Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	13	$3	177	166	+11	No	-$3	06-07 19:43
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in May?	13	$3	231	231	+0	No	-$2	06-08 18:21
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	21	$3	288	287	+1	No	-$3	06-13 21:51
will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 738	11	$3	177	177	+0	No	-$3	06-26 14:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 04:33:24	Will Tim Cywinski be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x2be5e9…
07-31 02:09:33	Will Tim Cywinski be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xec297f…
07-31 02:08:57	Will Tim Cywinski be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x262dab…
07-29 11:59:15	Will Phoenix Flames finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xe6183b…
07-29 11:58:36	Will Phoenix Flames finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x165f0b…
07-29 10:24:39	Will Tim Cywinski be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x12acbc…
07-29 09:55:54	Will Tim Cywinski be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x24dd23…
07-29 04:35:50	Will Chainlink dip to $2 in July?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$1	0x98d4dd…
07-28 23:31:58	Will Betsy McCaughey win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x77c456…
07-28 23:31:56	Will Phoenix Flames finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x237c86…
07-28 23:31:55	Will Chainlink dip to $2 in July?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$0	0x24a5aa…
07-28 14:36:41	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x356c07…
07-28 14:32:53	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x01cb24…
07-28 14:27:34	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa38870…
07-28 14:23:41	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x8d2228…
07-28 14:16:05	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x2812a8…
07-28 14:11:35	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4558cf…
07-28 14:02:55	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb49c9f…
07-28 13:55:53	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xdeb234…
07-28 13:48:16	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa0bd6c…
07-28 13:43:08	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc01b82…
07-28 13:39:43	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb83ca1…
07-28 13:33:07	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x47383d…
07-28 13:26:38	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x310a84…
07-28 13:20:14	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x74baa1…
07-28 13:19:10	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6fb03c…
07-28 13:09:07	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5a85fa…
07-28 13:07:40	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x093160…
07-28 13:02:58	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x90b092…
07-28 12:56:14	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6ca436…
07-28 12:47:26	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb2ad93…
07-28 12:42:50	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xfd46a6…
07-28 12:22:32	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa1b1f2…
07-28 01:23:24	Will Las Vegas Night Owls finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x12436e…
07-27 23:26:27	Will Las Vegas Night Owls finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x63805b…
07-27 23:26:25	Will Tim Cywinski be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x61b347…
07-27 23:26:24	Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x1df6f6…
07-27 06:25:48	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by july 31 2026 20260709012217843	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x21f290…
07-26 23:36:09	will carmen black advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014637	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x9a2ae0…
07-26 23:36:07	Will Neuralink have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x798d72…
07-26 23:36:06	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x13f493…
07-25 23:56:27	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb777d4…
07-25 23:56:25	Will Lambda have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4aa9f2…
07-25 23:56:24	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x38dbc2…
07-25 00:11:51	Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x33b865…
07-25 00:11:48	Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x65e4d3…
07-25 00:11:46	Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x419d6c…
07-25 00:11:45	Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6cae86…
07-25 00:11:42	Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa498c5…
07-25 00:11:31	Will Hannah Spencer win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8dd3c0…
07-25 00:11:27	Will Hannah Spencer win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd52a55…
07-25 00:11:25	Will Hannah Spencer win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe9bab0…
07-25 00:11:22	Will Hannah Spencer win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x5f0a20…
07-25 00:11:21	Will Hannah Spencer win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x00e437…
07-25 00:09:48	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xd854a5…
07-25 00:09:45	Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5c1b62…
07-25 00:09:45	Will Hannah Spencer win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x476ba5…
07-25 00:09:43	Will Hannah Spencer win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x138c2f…
07-24 00:00:57	Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x1044d1…
07-24 00:00:54	Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe60ee7…
07-24 00:00:52	Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xeae9c9…
07-24 00:00:49	Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xddfc03…
07-24 00:00:46	Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x35c93b…
07-23 23:56:36	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xebca51…
07-23 23:55:27	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by july 31 2026 20260709012217843	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x824dd7…
07-23 23:55:25	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by july 31 2026 20260709012217843	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x81adae…
07-23 23:55:22	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by july 31 2026 20260709012217843	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x389174…
07-23 23:55:19	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by july 31 2026 20260709012217843	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x78d3a9…
07-23 23:55:18	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by july 31 2026 20260709012217843	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x02c2a2…
07-23 23:55:13	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by july 31 2026 20260709012217843	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xac79ff…
07-23 23:55:12	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xb8b0c7…
07-23 23:55:10	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x08bda7…
07-23 23:55:06	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x69c8f1…
07-23 23:55:04	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x4b1856…
07-23 23:55:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xdc145d…
07-23 23:54:45	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x9cea28…
07-23 23:54:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd881e0…
07-23 23:54:40	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x0d7de3…
07-23 23:51:09	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x876286…
07-23 23:40:22	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by july 31 2026 20260709012217843	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x054bb6…
07-23 23:40:21	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe74966…
07-23 23:40:19	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xed9dc7…
07-23 06:10:30	Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc9bd5b…
07-17 22:52:57	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1f0b88…
07-17 22:52:54	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb16689…
07-16 22:28:13	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9c96be…
07-15 22:00:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xad31f7…
07-15 05:40:16	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x84dc87…
07-11 22:19:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xa0c615…
07-10 22:26:20	Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xca3fbd…
07-10 13:00:20	Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x8a2827…
07-07 05:20:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8645ec…
07-06 22:09:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xec1ec8…
07-05 22:12:01	Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb8f9f2…
07-03 22:18:41	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xb203cd…
07-03 15:20:17	Will Bogdan-Daniel Deac win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9a2c8b…
07-02 22:26:46	Will Bogdan-Daniel Deac win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xdb7170…
07-02 22:26:46	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x072599…
07-02 16:20:16	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9f230b…
07-02 09:00:16	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x760062…