Masculine-Charlatan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.5%

Resolved

Trades

864

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-24 00:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

59% — —

Crypto

27% 53% $-7

Other

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	11	$3.1K	1,726	1,726	+0	open	—	02-28 22:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	26	$2.0K	1,677	1,677	+0	open	—	03-04 07:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	12	$1.7K	983	983	+0	open	—	03-01 08:45
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	17	$899	526	596	-70	open	—	02-28 14:13
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	5	$723	753	0	+753	open	—	03-04 19:09
will iran strike israel on march 4	21	$667	692	350	+342	open	—	03-06 00:56
2026 us senate election republican odds under 50 by march 31	36	$665	810	627	+182	open	—	03-13 23:27
btc updown 15m 1774816200	49	$328	412	406	+6	open	—	03-29 20:32
will iran strike israel on march 6	6	$291	318	100	+218	open	—	03-06 17:21
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$220	140	140	+0	open	—	02-28 09:04
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	20	$190	220	220	+0	open	—	03-31 11:44
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	11	$179	438	700	-262	open	—	03-05 15:00
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	03-21 20:32
2026 us senate election democrats flip republicans by march 31	9	$152	112	112	-0	open	—	03-13 23:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	3	$130	80	80	+0	open	—	03-01 08:58
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	8	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 10:04
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	5	$116	190	190	+0	open	—	03-22 16:37
2026 us senate election republican odds under 40 by march 31	17	$105	834	806	+28	open	—	03-16 07:33
will iran strike israel on march 3	9	$105	105	65	+40	open	—	03-07 17:18
btc updown 15m 1784375100	12	$96	57	57	+0	open	—	07-18 11:57
btc updown 15m 1775160000	10	$92	54	54	+1	open	—	04-02 20:08
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	3	$84	100	100	+0	open	—	03-04 17:39
odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 20 on friday 575	3	$84	91	0	+91	open	—	02-20 08:35
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	2	$71	100	0	+100	open	—	03-06 13:57
btc updown 15m 1784296800	2	$71	46	46	+0	open	—	07-17 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	8	$68	65	49	+17	open	—	04-26 20:14
btc updown 15m 1781037000	3	$64	44	44	+0	open	—	06-09 20:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	28	$61	240	40	+200	open	—	03-05 21:54
khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	2	$59	64	0	+64	open	—	02-28 22:23
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$56	35	35	+0	open	—	03-11 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 06:04:58	btc updown 15m 1784872800	Down	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x51d4ce…
07-24 06:04:42	btc updown 15m 1784872800	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x3211c7…
07-24 05:59:07	btc updown 15m 1784871900	Up	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x541b04…
07-24 05:56:37	btc updown 15m 1784871900	Up	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x4088b8…
07-24 05:35:01	btc updown 15m 1784871000	Down	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0x764e0b…
07-24 05:34:28	btc updown 15m 1784871000	Down	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0xf784f5…
07-24 05:16:06	btc updown 15m 1784870100	Down	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x856e47…
07-24 05:15:19	btc updown 15m 1784870100	Down	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xde3498…
07-24 04:59:58	btc updown 15m 1784868300	Down	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc53bf3…
07-24 04:56:04	btc updown 15m 1784868300	Down	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xad4358…
07-24 04:51:37	btc updown 15m 1784868300	Down	SELL	19	72¢	$14	0x9c5b25…
07-24 04:51:04	btc updown 15m 1784868300	Down	BUY	19	55¢	$11	0x4ff8b1…
07-24 04:29:58	btc updown 15m 1784866500	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x28b7f3…
07-24 04:28:24	btc updown 15m 1784866500	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x1ae645…
07-24 04:14:58	btc updown 15m 1784865600	Down	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x29aab4…
07-24 04:09:37	btc updown 15m 1784865600	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$14	0x1665bf…
07-24 04:09:37	btc updown 15m 1784865600	Up	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x0b1d15…
07-24 04:00:48	btc updown 15m 1784865600	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x8f7d0f…
07-24 03:59:58	btc updown 15m 1784864700	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x96acb3…
07-24 03:57:00	btc updown 15m 1784864700	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xcec9a9…
07-24 03:29:58	btc updown 15m 1784862900	Up	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xa924c7…
07-24 03:27:15	btc updown 15m 1784862900	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8d896a…
07-24 03:14:58	btc updown 15m 1784862000	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x37edf2…
07-24 03:08:00	btc updown 15m 1784862000	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xd2fbec…
07-24 02:29:58	btc updown 15m 1784859300	Down	SELL	17	91¢	$16	0xd78f94…
07-24 02:19:34	btc updown 15m 1784859300	Down	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x1cde07…
07-24 02:10:55	btc updown 15m 1784858400	Down	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x3004a1…
07-24 02:03:42	btc updown 15m 1784858400	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5bc80f…
07-24 01:30:00	btc updown 15m 1784855700	Up	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x58fc3e…
07-24 01:26:55	btc updown 15m 1784855700	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xdadd4a…
07-24 01:16:24	btc updown 15m 1784855700	Down	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0xef1d10…
07-24 01:15:54	btc updown 15m 1784855700	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0c703c…
07-24 01:15:52	btc updown 15m 1784855700	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0594b3…
07-24 01:14:58	btc updown 15m 1784854800	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xce311f…
07-24 01:08:16	btc updown 15m 1784854800	Up	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x914c52…
07-24 01:07:15	btc updown 15m 1784854800	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x45c753…
07-24 01:00:25	btc updown 15m 1784854800	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x01d1aa…
07-24 00:45:00	btc updown 15m 1784853000	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x5ab1cf…
07-24 00:40:22	btc updown 15m 1784853000	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x2050c8…
07-24 00:36:13	btc updown 15m 1784853000	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x12f0a8…
07-24 00:33:27	btc updown 15m 1784853000	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x2003e7…
07-24 00:29:58	btc updown 15m 1784852100	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x2ea684…
07-23 23:53:39	btc updown 15m 1784850300	Up	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xde0809…
07-23 23:45:25	btc updown 15m 1784850300	Up	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x0a4c8a…
07-23 23:14:58	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Down	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0xe2cd8d…
07-23 23:10:48	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xbd59f0…
07-23 23:10:27	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Up	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x1031c4…
07-23 23:10:24	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xe362bf…
07-23 23:07:25	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xe2c329…
07-23 23:07:24	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x337573…
07-23 23:04:30	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x524e5b…
07-23 22:59:58	btc updown 15m 1784846700	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x766f4c…
07-23 22:54:07	btc updown 15m 1784846700	Down	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x876740…
07-23 22:39:39	btc updown 15m 1784845800	Down	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xecf019…
07-23 22:30:42	btc updown 15m 1784845800	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x5b1d65…
07-23 22:29:58	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xacb2eb…
07-23 22:18:30	btc updown 15m 1784844900	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x416cb0…
07-23 21:59:58	btc updown 15m 1784843100	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3c01de…
07-23 21:52:07	btc updown 15m 1784843100	Up	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x248e38…
07-23 21:44:58	btc updown 15m 1784842200	Down	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x130de8…
07-23 21:40:39	btc updown 15m 1784842200	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xee48b7…
07-23 21:39:30	btc updown 15m 1784842200	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xc38d73…
07-23 21:29:58	btc updown 15m 1784841300	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa44ef2…
07-23 21:25:55	btc updown 15m 1784841300	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x1b6eed…
07-23 21:11:51	btc updown 15m 1784840400	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x393cbd…
07-23 21:10:16	btc updown 15m 1784840400	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x262276…
07-23 21:09:04	btc updown 15m 1784840400	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x2aeca9…
07-23 21:07:12	btc updown 15m 1784840400	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x492964…
07-23 20:59:58	btc updown 15m 1784839500	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x19a9bf…
07-23 20:55:13	btc updown 15m 1784839500	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x86922e…
07-23 20:44:58	btc updown 15m 1784838600	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x7734a0…
07-23 20:40:25	btc updown 15m 1784838600	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x70956c…
07-23 19:57:13	btc updown 15m 1784835900	Down	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x941f07…
07-23 19:54:57	btc updown 15m 1784835900	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x6b98b0…
07-23 19:52:19	btc updown 15m 1784835900	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x2f4ba0…
07-23 19:16:33	btc updown 15m 1784834100	Up	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xa79eed…
07-23 18:43:49	btc updown 15m 1784831400	Down	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x5470b6…
07-23 18:43:36	btc updown 15m 1784831400	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x03295d…
07-23 18:43:34	btc updown 15m 1784831400	Down	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xcba92a…
07-23 18:41:54	btc updown 15m 1784831400	Down	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x5990ce…
07-23 18:41:30	btc updown 15m 1784831400	Down	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x05ab1c…
07-23 18:41:27	btc updown 15m 1784831400	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x28a9e9…
07-23 18:26:51	btc updown 15m 1784830500	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x7b771a…
07-23 18:18:34	btc updown 15m 1784830500	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe708d3…
07-23 18:10:04	btc updown 15m 1784829600	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x912b7d…
07-23 18:06:31	btc updown 15m 1784829600	Up	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0x0c30ea…
07-23 17:59:58	btc updown 15m 1784828700	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb56107…
07-23 17:55:42	btc updown 15m 1784828700	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x5e0ed9…
07-23 17:44:58	btc updown 15m 1784827800	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x82a32e…
07-23 17:30:46	btc updown 15m 1784827800	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x018934…
07-23 17:30:06	btc updown 15m 1784827800	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x712203…
07-23 17:29:58	btc updown 15m 1784826900	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xba277e…
07-23 17:16:13	btc updown 15m 1784826900	Up	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xeaf1a8…
07-23 16:59:58	btc updown 15m 1784825100	Up	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xf85380…
07-23 16:56:43	btc updown 15m 1784825100	Up	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x959cf2…
07-23 16:44:58	btc updown 15m 1784824200	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xecbbff…
07-23 16:40:28	btc updown 15m 1784824200	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x606d5f…
07-23 16:29:58	btc updown 15m 1784823300	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc89323…
07-23 16:24:52	btc updown 15m 1784823300	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x635434…
07-23 16:14:58	btc updown 15m 1784822400	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xdaf92d…