Masculine-Charlatan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.5%

Resolved

Trades

636

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-09 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

69% — —

Other

17% — —

Crypto

14% 53% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	11	$3.1K	1,726	1,726	+0	open	—	02-28 22:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	26	$2.0K	1,677	1,677	+0	open	—	03-04 07:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	12	$1.7K	983	983	+0	open	—	03-01 08:45
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	17	$899	526	596	-70	open	—	02-28 14:13
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	5	$723	753	0	+753	open	—	03-04 19:09
will iran strike israel on march 4	21	$667	692	350	+342	open	—	03-06 00:56
2026 us senate election republican odds under 50 by march 31	36	$665	810	627	+182	open	—	03-13 23:27
btc updown 15m 1774816200	49	$328	412	406	+6	open	—	03-29 20:32
will iran strike israel on march 6	6	$291	318	100	+218	open	—	03-06 17:21
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$220	140	140	+0	open	—	02-28 09:04
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	20	$190	220	220	+0	open	—	03-31 11:44
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	11	$179	438	700	-262	open	—	03-05 15:00
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	03-21 20:32
2026 us senate election democrats flip republicans by march 31	9	$152	112	112	-0	open	—	03-13 23:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	3	$130	80	80	+0	open	—	03-01 08:58
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	8	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 10:04
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	5	$116	190	190	+0	open	—	03-22 16:37
2026 us senate election republican odds under 40 by march 31	17	$105	834	806	+28	open	—	03-16 07:33
will iran strike israel on march 3	9	$105	105	65	+40	open	—	03-07 17:18
btc updown 15m 1775160000	10	$92	54	54	+1	open	—	04-02 20:08
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	3	$84	100	100	+0	open	—	03-04 17:39
odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 20 on friday 575	3	$84	91	0	+91	open	—	02-20 08:35
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	2	$71	100	0	+100	open	—	03-06 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	8	$68	65	49	+17	open	—	04-26 20:14
btc updown 15m 1781037000	3	$64	44	44	+0	open	—	06-09 20:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	28	$61	240	40	+200	open	—	03-05 21:54
khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	2	$59	64	0	+64	open	—	02-28 22:23
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$56	35	35	+0	open	—	03-11 22:21
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$50	45	45	+0	open	—	02-22 21:35
btc updown 15m 1781033400	3	$49	43	43	+0	open	—	06-09 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:59:30	btc updown 15m 1781037900	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xeedaf7…
06-09 20:59:22	btc updown 15m 1781037900	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x147913…
06-09 20:44:25	btc updown 15m 1781037000	Up	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xa0b3be…
06-09 20:39:43	btc updown 15m 1781037000	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x280902…
06-09 20:39:31	btc updown 15m 1781037000	Up	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0xe0fd7e…
06-09 20:15:45	btc updown 15m 1781036100	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x54c4cc…
06-09 20:15:43	btc updown 15m 1781036100	Up	BUY	34	49¢	$16	0xf823f3…
06-09 19:52:54	btc updown 15m 1781034300	Up	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x07d98d…
06-09 19:50:25	btc updown 15m 1781034300	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x03ae22…
06-09 19:44:24	btc updown 15m 1781033400	Up	SELL	43	58¢	$25	0x84562f…
06-09 19:39:33	btc updown 15m 1781033400	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xaa185b…
06-09 19:39:13	btc updown 15m 1781033400	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xd2ba3d…
06-09 18:54:34	btc updown 15m 1781030700	Down	SELL	34	10¢	$3	0xa5f4f0…
06-09 18:51:25	btc updown 15m 1781030700	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xaf8e08…
06-09 18:51:24	btc updown 15m 1781030700	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x928990…
06-09 18:51:24	btc updown 15m 1781030700	Down	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x4cae66…
06-07 20:29:58	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xefe191…
06-07 20:25:13	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xfe1459…
06-07 20:25:12	btc updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf2d5c7…
05-09 21:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x911c53…
05-09 21:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x5f86d6…
05-09 21:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x9144fa…
05-09 21:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd8cc5f…
05-09 21:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x092fc6…
05-09 20:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xaad9d7…
05-09 20:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x16c523…
05-09 20:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x906835…
05-09 20:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0x5da79d…
05-09 20:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbb5750…
05-09 20:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3659be…
05-09 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xe38eba…
05-09 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x8e6716…
05-09 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x003581…
05-07 20:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd7f591…
05-07 20:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x3767e7…
05-07 20:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x74ca8c…
05-07 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x4dfb37…
05-07 19:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa895e4…
05-07 19:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x33e993…
05-07 19:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0x00849f…
05-07 19:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0xc97bd3…
05-07 19:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x37c7d8…
05-07 19:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x116268…
05-07 19:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xc719d1…
05-06 21:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x518075…
05-06 21:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x6d97fd…
05-06 21:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xff3cf1…
05-06 21:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xdb7943…
05-06 21:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xd5d04b…
05-06 19:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xb93832…
05-06 19:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0xc87ec5…
05-06 19:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xd0a82f…
05-06 19:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x594283…
05-06 18:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x8098ef…
05-06 18:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xee5e2b…
05-06 18:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x05e76d…
05-06 18:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	73¢	$13	0xff599e…
05-04 17:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x3a331f…
05-04 17:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x06cf0a…
05-03 20:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xa7eac5…
05-03 20:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xadafc4…
05-03 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x88d030…
05-03 20:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x2473ec…
04-26 20:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x65cd10…
04-26 20:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xd3b97b…
04-26 20:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x7c01c5…
04-26 20:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	39	27¢	$10	0x319a4e…
04-26 20:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x5049fa…
04-26 20:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x870e93…
04-26 20:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf72365…
04-26 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1b2fd4…
04-26 19:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xeed98f…
04-26 19:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1339b2…
04-26 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x6b6210…
04-26 19:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xdde611…
04-26 19:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xdee065…
04-26 19:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xaca35b…
04-26 19:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xbc2437…
04-25 18:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xc0d036…
04-25 18:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x9a36e4…
04-25 18:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xec3a4a…
04-25 18:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x682dc7…
04-25 18:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x3400d4…
04-25 18:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xf93599…
04-08 20:34:07	btc updown 15m 1775680200	Down	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xd11448…
04-08 20:29:47	btc updown 15m 1775679300	Up	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xd8d93b…
04-08 20:16:29	btc updown 15m 1775679300	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x89ea0c…
04-08 15:44:35	btc updown 15m 1775662200	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x637e7b…
04-08 15:32:15	btc updown 15m 1775662200	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb7256a…
04-08 15:24:59	btc updown 15m 1775661300	Up	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x8b6326…
04-08 14:49:19	btc updown 15m 1775659500	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x75c9f7…
04-08 12:45:39	btc updown 15m 1775652300	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xe812dd…
04-08 12:36:57	btc updown 15m 1775651400	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x5b7a16…
04-08 12:33:43	btc updown 15m 1775651400	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xe6cfc2…
04-08 11:04:47	btc updown 15m 1775646000	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x818b3e…
04-08 10:48:09	btc updown 15m 1775645100	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x570323…
04-08 10:18:31	btc updown 15m 1775643300	Down	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xbe3017…
04-08 10:18:25	btc updown 15m 1775643300	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xd38cb0…
04-07 18:45:55	btc updown 15m 1775587500	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x21e8e7…
04-07 18:29:31	btc updown 15m 1775585700	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xe66683…