Complex-Lyre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-07 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$0

Politics

43% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	22	$416	6,520	6,520	+0	open	—	02-14 16:32
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	02-16 23:39
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	02-16 02:52
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-12 13:11
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-11 11:58
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-10 14:37
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-09 08:34
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-07 12:49
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-05 23:19
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-03 12:40
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-01 13:01
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-31 14:21
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-30 08:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-29 09:06
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-27 14:03
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-26 01:39
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-25 06:42
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-23 10:16
ethereum above 2300 on march 22	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-22 11:49
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-21 14:37
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-20 14:15
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-19 14:25
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-16 09:34
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-15 17:54
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-03 08:49
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	02-21 03:36
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	02-23 04:05
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	02-22 03:22
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	03-01 16:03
bitcoin above 60k on march 13	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-13 00:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf79ac9…
06-04 13:39:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x091be4…
06-02 09:56:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2d99ed…
05-30 08:04:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x22a6c0…
05-27 14:36:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7964f9…
05-22 13:55:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe89aca…
05-21 10:30:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xbb5e86…
05-20 14:34:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc98ce4…
05-15 12:47:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x34154b…
05-14 10:06:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7e9629…
05-13 11:55:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7b6bcf…
05-11 12:54:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6563bb…
05-10 13:46:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x6e1ad3…
05-05 14:33:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d4b5e…
05-04 12:38:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x89e5a4…
04-27 14:06:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa57d68…
04-23 11:57:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x825abd…
04-22 12:51:16	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe05117…
04-20 14:17:46	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x876688…
04-19 14:14:16	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbd9035…
04-17 15:18:24	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x084c93…
04-16 13:11:58	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x357904…
04-15 08:48:10	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x0cbdfa…
04-14 13:32:21	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcee92e…
04-13 12:55:01	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb71d4e…
04-12 13:11:57	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8887f8…
04-11 11:58:41	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x899161…
04-10 14:37:05	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbc66ff…
04-09 08:34:07	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x73cea7…
04-07 12:49:49	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x526ade…
04-05 23:19:45	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xee0ef0…
04-03 12:40:01	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x37c92b…
04-01 13:01:53	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa08115…
03-31 14:21:29	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa10d4e…
03-30 08:54:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xff7116…
03-29 09:06:16	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd1e526…
03-27 14:03:39	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x144da0…
03-26 01:39:19	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xde62ff…
03-25 06:42:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4e22ef…
03-23 10:16:19	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa0281d…
03-22 11:49:49	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb78d73…
03-21 14:37:19	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfef690…
03-20 14:15:29	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6cfa6e…
03-19 14:25:11	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcece2b…
03-18 02:45:49	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x881d29…
03-17 10:13:07	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x153385…
03-16 09:34:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x54c51d…
03-15 17:54:15	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe076c6…
03-13 00:11:27	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3b743b…
03-11 09:46:41	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x804de8…
03-03 08:49:11	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xab6d85…
03-01 16:03:37	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x41018b…
02-28 18:56:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd7c4a2…
02-23 04:05:20	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2ec0b3…
02-22 03:22:36	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x344abf…
02-21 03:36:46	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe8c65c…
02-16 23:39:47	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x38b99a…
02-16 02:52:59	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc35699…
02-14 16:32:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,500	3¢	$72	0x0abcd2…
02-14 16:08:09	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,500	3¢	$72	0x18f67d…
02-14 16:06:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3,000	3¢	$87	0xabb097…
02-14 16:00:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,000	3¢	$87	0x5ce610…
02-13 05:22:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$6	0xe79bfd…
02-13 03:53:51	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x047b63…
02-12 16:57:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	400	5¢	$19	0x4ad3ba…
02-12 16:38:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$19	0xa552d4…
02-12 15:44:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	420	5¢	$20	0xcb7e16…
02-12 15:02:27	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	420	5¢	$20	0x1433e3…
02-12 14:49:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x37424a…
02-12 14:48:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x4209e3…
02-12 14:48:17	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xcb3ab9…
02-12 14:48:09	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x94f7c1…
02-12 14:48:03	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	67	5¢	$3	0x80277e…
02-12 14:47:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x55789e…
02-12 14:44:23	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x2a025e…
02-12 14:44:17	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbec946…
02-12 14:43:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x411412…
02-12 14:43:15	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xea4866…
02-12 14:42:45	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x24e2af…
02-12 14:30:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	90	5¢	$4	0xa2bf2d…
02-12 14:30:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x0ac639…
02-12 14:19:07	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x98de75…
02-12 12:33:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0xd0a94e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Cooked-Hallway 0x16d9…1d4e	57	$1.41K	67	06-07 08:33
Rural-Winter 0x8d10…eece	56	$1.34K	68	06-07 08:33
Wee-Flight 0xda19…571a	55	$1.49K	95	06-07 08:33
Wry-Codepage 0x6cc0…ebd5	55	$1.30K	73	06-07 08:33
Sour-Birdbath 0x6cc7…371b	55	$1.21K	78	06-02 10:22
Relieved-Dollop 0xfde3…f33b	55	$1.12K	63	06-04 16:42
Damp-Sherry 0xdeb0…8c9e	54	$1.41K	86	06-07 08:33
Gray-Chicken 0x2a9e…4a01	54	$1.32K	101	06-04 14:45