Alienated-Subtitle-Seal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

116

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$489

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 10-15 21:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	10-04 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$9	9,090	0	+9,090	Down	-$9	10-15 21:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 04:00 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-27 04:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 13:15 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	07-24 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-27 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-27 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	-$1	05-27 09:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 13:55 UTC	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	07-10 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:20 UTC	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	07-10 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 13:30 UTC	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	07-10 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 13:50 UTC	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	07-10 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:40 UTC	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	07-10 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 13:00 UTC	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	-$1	06-27 13:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 12:30 UTC	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	-$1	06-27 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	-$1	05-27 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	-$1	05-27 18:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:30 UTC	7	$5	50	0	+50	Down	-$5	08-07 12:33
bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 10am et	2	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	07-28 14:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 02:45 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	-$1	06-27 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	10-04 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	10-06 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	10-08 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	10-08 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	10-03 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	10-03 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	-$5	10-02 22:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:30 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	-$1	06-18 03:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 02:30 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	10-05 02:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 22:15 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	10-04 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	10-06 09:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 21:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9,090	0¢	$9	0x54495d…
10-10 22:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x092421…
10-09 12:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x325637…
10-08 17:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7a04cc…
10-08 17:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x132edd…
10-08 15:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0ca0fa…
10-08 09:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6c04de…
10-08 08:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x9934c2…
10-07 09:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x4a3379…
10-06 10:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x485ad5…
10-06 10:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xf00c58…
10-06 09:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x74d7ae…
10-06 06:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x22e371…
10-06 05:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xc5c6d2…
10-06 04:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x173c42…
10-06 01:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x43d26d…
10-06 00:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xab42ab…
10-05 23:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x622dcb…
10-05 22:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xf243fe…
10-05 20:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xa78e47…
10-05 19:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xd7cec5…
10-05 19:11:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x6182bb…
10-05 18:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xebd45b…
10-05 15:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x0d42d8…
10-05 09:54:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x6cdf8f…
10-05 05:26:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x13f285…
10-05 05:09:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x57f3ea…
10-05 04:55:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xb0d756…
10-05 02:39:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb132e4…
10-05 00:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x405efb…
10-04 22:39:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x793da8…
10-04 22:39:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4a8e97…
10-04 22:28:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6d7670…
10-04 20:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x7269ad…
10-04 20:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcfbb3e…
10-04 19:39:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd7922f…
10-04 18:09:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7ac896…
10-04 15:54:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xbc988e…
10-04 13:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4355a3…
10-04 11:24:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb84c62…
10-04 10:09:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x2cc114…
10-04 08:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x60c72f…
10-04 08:54:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x18c1cc…
10-04 08:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x0f758e…
10-04 07:09:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xefe502…
10-04 06:26:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xa32919…
10-04 05:54:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xce7252…
10-04 02:54:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xebd9f1…
10-04 02:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x5d12b2…
10-04 00:55:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x517efd…
10-04 00:24:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x6e5aba…
10-04 00:09:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2fd14d…
10-03 23:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x6956c5…
10-03 21:39:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8a7593…
10-03 16:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcbd24c…
10-03 15:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xbafc84…
10-03 15:39:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xc3f178…
10-03 10:24:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2060d6…
10-03 10:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x055288…
10-03 09:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf6b759…
10-03 09:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc61402…
10-03 07:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x92338d…
10-03 05:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x446768…
10-03 03:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9f91b2…
10-03 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xb92fb2…
10-03 02:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xae70f9…
10-03 01:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x0b76e9…
10-03 01:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xe5e879…
10-02 22:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcd40aa…
10-02 21:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xe10971…
08-24 22:53:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xba92b2…
08-07 12:33:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xcabcd9…
08-07 12:33:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	49	11¢	$5	0x751b03…
08-07 12:31:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xc75726…
08-07 12:31:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x8c8d5c…
08-07 12:31:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x6f1ed5…
08-07 12:31:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x601150…
08-07 12:31:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xcd17be…
07-28 14:22:07	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x79bee1…
07-28 14:19:07	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x06c834…
07-28 10:03:08	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xab80e4…
07-28 04:04:09	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x95b90b…
07-27 22:45:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x94044e…
07-27 14:30:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xefdd3b…
07-27 13:16:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5ea910…
07-27 13:16:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x4063c2…
07-27 06:15:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x79e210…
07-26 22:48:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xda626e…
07-26 22:48:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xb66362…
07-26 22:46:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xf9d1c9…
07-26 22:46:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xbd3250…
07-26 22:15:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa7ab45…
07-26 21:30:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa635b7…
07-24 15:01:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xfe525a…
07-24 14:00:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc3c673…
07-24 13:18:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x053a23…
07-24 13:15:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x84cd02…
07-23 19:45:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xa69d1b…
07-23 19:45:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x68a418…
07-23 14:15:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x43c6e8…