Imaginary-Margin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,673

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-24 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 42% $-161

Other

7% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 332 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	7	$709	681	681	+0	open	—	05-15 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$500	530	380	+150	open	—	05-15 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	6	$477	357	357	+0	open	—	05-15 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$464	312	312	+0	open	—	05-15 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$437	406	406	+0	open	—	05-15 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$331	307	307	+0	open	—	05-15 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$305	631	140	+491	open	—	05-15 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	7	$286	282	282	+0	open	—	05-17 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	10	$255	178	178	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$254	669	669	+0	open	—	05-15 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	7	$245	262	262	+0	open	—	05-15 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$244	225	225	+0	open	—	05-15 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$242	161	161	+0	open	—	05-15 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$240	187	187	+0	open	—	05-15 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	7	$217	158	143	+15	open	—	05-15 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	8	$211	179	178	+0	open	—	05-17 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	6	$202	173	173	+0	open	—	05-17 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$200	333	0	+333	open	—	05-15 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$200	232	0	+232	open	—	05-15 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	5	$179	144	144	+0	open	—	05-17 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$177	162	132	+30	open	—	05-15 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	6	$170	149	148	+0	open	—	05-16 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	6	$165	93	93	+0	open	—	05-17 04:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	19	$149	673	895	-222	open	—	03-18 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$147	107	107	+0	open	—	05-15 05:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$134	133	79	+54	open	—	06-03 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5PM ET	4	$129	93	93	+0	Up	+$19	05-08 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	6	$125	137	137	+0	open	—	05-17 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	6	$125	87	87	+0	open	—	05-17 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$121	77	77	+0	open	—	05-17 04:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 16:57:07	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x1e42c7…
06-24 16:32:37	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x9a5d84…
06-15 18:30:04	btc updown 5m 1781548200	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa69f76…
06-15 18:25:18	btc updown 5m 1781547900	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xb71da5…
06-15 18:24:33	btc updown 5m 1781547900	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd49a24…
06-15 18:24:33	btc updown 5m 1781547900	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc16c2e…
06-15 18:19:30	btc updown 5m 1781547600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe08a8f…
06-03 21:28:33	btc updown 15m 1780521300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb6a5ea…
06-03 20:13:37	btc updown 15m 1780516800	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8b4faa…
06-03 20:13:33	btc updown 15m 1780516800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xafae68…
06-03 19:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa448fa…
06-03 19:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfb118d…
06-03 18:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1002b9…
06-03 18:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe7d356…
06-03 17:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x5a6a7c…
06-03 17:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xea262b…
06-03 17:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	34	80¢	$27	0x1d901f…
06-03 17:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x67884c…
06-03 17:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	45	71¢	$32	0xafd442…
06-03 17:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x62385f…
06-03 17:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xd1292b…
06-03 17:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	35	68¢	$24	0x76d2b6…
06-03 17:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x2dfdca…
06-03 16:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7d39ca…
06-03 16:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x106fa5…
06-03 15:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf9973b…
06-03 15:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd0ba2…
06-03 14:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd9c9c1…
06-03 14:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3d5432…
06-03 14:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf83786…
06-03 14:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0eaf0f…
06-03 13:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xd15dea…
06-03 10:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf46222…
06-03 10:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1b03e2…
06-03 05:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x17e873…
06-03 05:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb09f63…
06-03 05:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7415f4…
06-03 05:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x823240…
06-02 23:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe2ebfc…
06-02 23:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f2d3a…
06-02 19:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x494303…
06-02 19:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x9af657…
06-02 18:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x44d790…
06-02 18:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeab37e…
06-02 18:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x41b57a…
06-02 18:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5c553…
06-02 14:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2f7357…
06-02 14:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda7ec8…
06-02 13:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf8fb10…
06-02 13:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e43d8…
06-02 13:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x047f35…
06-02 13:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdb4fe9…
06-02 12:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x13982f…
06-02 12:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x6a298f…
06-02 12:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xbdba62…
06-02 12:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	35	86¢	$30	0xe53a37…
06-02 12:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	35	70¢	$25	0x4a9a5e…
06-01 19:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd2ed90…
06-01 19:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfeb62e…
06-01 19:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdf0dea…
06-01 17:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0x189922…
06-01 17:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xbcd219…
06-01 17:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x2f5382…
06-01 14:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xdf7234…
06-01 12:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x32dd62…
05-17 16:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9541b2…
05-17 16:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfbe996…
05-17 16:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2e9bcc…
05-17 16:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf53137…
05-17 16:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x137526…
05-17 16:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc474e8…
05-17 15:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x195369…
05-17 15:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc303d7…
05-17 15:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	17	56¢	$9	0x143c40…
05-17 15:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4d2866…
05-17 15:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0e7cc7…
05-17 15:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x60c58d…
05-17 15:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd635a7…
05-17 15:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x67b552…
05-17 15:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x37d3a4…
05-17 15:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	32	60¢	$19	0xf82f17…
05-17 15:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x43ff19…
05-17 15:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xeacd0a…
05-17 15:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0x3caaea…
05-17 15:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x54fa8b…
05-17 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9ddc3b…
05-17 15:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x3f8622…
05-17 15:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbf86c7…
05-17 15:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7095d0…
05-17 15:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0xfc68ed…
05-17 15:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x406d43…
05-17 15:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xde3174…
05-17 15:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8aa256…
05-17 15:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x4cbfcc…
05-17 15:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4cf363…
05-17 15:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0xe066d1…
05-17 15:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd7498a…
05-17 15:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	14	62¢	$8	0x48863e…
05-17 15:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x62663c…
05-17 15:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8b5d3e…