Starchy-Cereal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.14K

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,819

lifetime

Volume

$634.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$349

Open exposure

$34.8K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 08-05 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

71% 43% -$50,554

Crypto

23% 100% +$14,790

Other

6% 64% +$6,018

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes		-35,941	-$33,630	97¢	$-34773	-$1,143	08-05 14:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	276	$176.2K	101,757	146,695	-44,938	Yes	-$28,563	06-08 21:13
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	109	$70.7K	119,705	99,649	+20,056	No	-$6,689	06-08 19:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	78	$70.0K	79,139	0	+79,139	No	+$9,097	04-19 15:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	5	$57.0K	30,512	28,805	+1,707	No	+$1,973	05-31 22:21
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	24	$40.4K	58,086	3,774	+54,312	No	+$20,829	04-12 17:39
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	30	$33.6K	0	35,941	-35,941	open	—	08-05 14:56
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	93	$25.5K	22,000	12,000	+10,000	Yes	+$6,340	04-12 17:39
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	185	$23.9K	67,019	63,836	+3,183	Yes	+$2,341	04-21 23:17
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	23	$18.6K	34,263	0	+34,263	Yes	-$18,581	04-08 21:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	30	$16.3K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$3,700	05-07 21:59
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	22	$13.5K	10,220	8,412	+1,808	Yes	+$218	04-15 15:16
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	42	$11.8K	15,000	0	+15,000	Yes	+$3,250	06-01 02:20
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	13	$8.0K	6,000	4,192	+1,808	No	+$562	04-17 23:33
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	8	$6.2K	9,144	0	+9,144	Yes	-$6,232	04-08 16:54
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	40	$5.7K	30,060	0	+30,060	Yes	-$5,651	04-08 19:49
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	56	$4.8K	25,469	0	+25,469	No	-$4,824	04-08 20:23
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	2	$4.8K	3,610	3,523	+87	Yes	+$1,994	04-23 04:54
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	22	$4.3K	5,107	0	+5,107	No	+$717	06-09 01:11
will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass	1	$4.0K	4,689	0	+4,689	No	+$658	04-21 23:09
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	21	$4.0K	25,000	25,000	+0	No	-$3,975	04-23 22:11
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	15	$4.0K	5,714	0	+5,714	No	+$474	04-23 18:00
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	2	$3.7K	5,239	0	+5,239	Yes	-$3,712	04-08 17:38
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	13	$3.4K	4,500	0	+4,500	Yes	+$1,067	04-23 15:09
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	20	$2.8K	3,332	0	+3,332	Yes	+$533	06-09 01:48
will tisza win at least 130 seats	4	$2.7K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	-$2,720	04-08 17:37
will tisza win 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$2.4K	3,211	0	+3,211	No	+$830	04-08 18:48
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$1.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	-$1,860	04-10 17:44
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	249	$1.6K	16,843	0	+16,843	No	-$1,589	04-08 21:05
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	17	$1.5K	5,826	0	+5,826	No	-$1,485	04-13 00:44
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	8	$1.1K	3,639	0	+3,639	Yes	+$2,500	04-14 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 14:56:35	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12,095	94¢	$11,369	0x6d0528…
08-05 14:55:39	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,067	94¢	$2,874	0x6ae3d9…
08-02 23:04:53	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	642	94¢	$600	0x3798c4…
08-02 21:06:42	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x6c1539…
08-02 17:04:57	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x81845b…
08-02 12:19:32	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x40633c…
08-02 12:04:56	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xb8bbfa…
08-02 12:02:03	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xd2c5b0…
08-01 20:50:23	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6be236…
08-01 17:38:50	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x9d900e…
08-01 13:06:09	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5712f7…
08-01 12:03:09	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xc0bdf3…
08-01 10:42:32	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1128e9…
08-01 07:05:51	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x3df05e…
08-01 03:10:29	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0xd73d0a…
08-01 01:18:32	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x9999f2…
08-01 00:39:57	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	94¢	$39	0x300495…
08-01 00:38:14	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xd67b8e…
07-31 22:47:17	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x37f7cd…
07-31 22:14:50	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x0d54db…
07-31 22:14:26	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	348	94¢	$325	0x807f22…
07-31 21:48:45	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0xba54a8…
07-31 20:36:35	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$187	0xfdbeb4…
07-31 19:36:12	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x720d54…
07-31 18:27:33	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0xb5d64d…
07-31 18:10:44	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	311	94¢	$291	0xac2979…
07-31 18:08:42	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	261	94¢	$244	0x5d3a59…
07-31 18:08:20	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,918	94¢	$7,403	0x4bea8e…
07-30 00:38:53	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x1c2387…
07-18 22:02:46	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,779	93¢	$10,036	0x81d8bb…
06-24 16:20:47	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbd8881…
06-24 14:45:55	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	287	34¢	$97	0xf29a71…
06-24 14:31:50	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	505	2¢	$9	0x1360db…
06-09 01:48:45	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	59	84¢	$49	0x45dfbe…
06-09 01:47:12	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	22	84¢	$19	0x2a0e49…
06-09 01:44:04	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	118	84¢	$99	0x1ddb9a…
06-09 01:35:54	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	151	84¢	$127	0x4b2434…
06-09 01:34:33	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	174	84¢	$146	0xfd153a…
06-09 01:34:33	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	131	84¢	$110	0xf49d81…
06-09 01:34:33	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0x7d45ff…
06-09 01:33:48	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	148	84¢	$124	0x01b087…
06-09 01:33:46	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	340	84¢	$286	0xf78b14…
06-09 01:33:46	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	174	84¢	$146	0xf4311d…
06-09 01:33:46	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	41	84¢	$35	0xf0422b…
06-09 01:33:46	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0xb0dd42…
06-09 01:33:46	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	412	84¢	$346	0xa4abfd…
06-09 01:33:46	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	861	84¢	$723	0x3ac3fa…
06-09 01:31:57	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xd47d7d…
06-09 01:31:55	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	90	84¢	$76	0xf27051…
06-09 01:31:42	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$6	0x4cb8d8…
06-09 01:31:31	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	110	84¢	$92	0xa55fb4…
06-09 01:23:16	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0xdebc28…
06-09 01:11:58	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	763	85¢	$648	0xeb5a27…
06-09 01:10:31	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0xc5f1ee…
06-09 01:02:51	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	84	85¢	$71	0x7978ac…
06-09 00:54:10	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x4b3734…
06-09 00:35:55	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	111	85¢	$95	0x35429f…
06-09 00:29:16	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x723d16…
06-09 00:28:24	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xd2f4eb…
06-09 00:24:52	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	170	85¢	$145	0xd019dd…
06-09 00:14:43	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	128	85¢	$109	0x08b90f…
06-09 00:11:09	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	166	85¢	$141	0xabb028…
06-08 21:33:10	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	233	85¢	$198	0x91804e…
06-08 21:32:45	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	75	85¢	$64	0x66f2a0…
06-08 21:26:33	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	177	85¢	$151	0xa6a5f4…
06-08 21:22:49	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xae45b6…
06-08 21:20:57	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x3ec86b…
06-08 21:20:12	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0xc1c5c6…
06-08 21:19:15	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	1,422	85¢	$1,208	0x0d550b…
06-08 21:17:57	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x718486…
06-08 21:13:09	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,891	84¢	$3,268	0xe8ba89…
06-08 20:28:55	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	652	85¢	$554	0x462e69…
06-08 20:22:57	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x98df08…
06-08 20:22:42	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	136	84¢	$114	0x588476…
06-08 20:15:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	147	84¢	$124	0x6f28e1…
06-08 20:15:36	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,507	84¢	$2,946	0x8de73b…
06-08 20:14:18	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,171	85¢	$995	0xd1f248…
06-08 20:13:55	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xa18865…
06-08 20:12:16	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2b9181…
06-08 20:12:06	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0xf2954b…
06-08 20:12:04	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xead526…
06-08 20:12:03	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16,237	85¢	$13,802	0xa15542…
06-08 20:11:52	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	375	84¢	$315	0xa3ad50…
06-08 20:11:03	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	35	84¢	$29	0xdafd26…
06-08 20:11:00	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0xc36933…
06-08 20:11:00	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa7f617…
06-08 20:10:52	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x57feda…
06-08 20:08:06	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x890cbb…
06-08 20:07:15	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x131f73…
06-08 20:07:06	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	450	84¢	$378	0xa7864f…
06-08 20:05:52	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	84¢	$19	0x5035f7…
06-08 20:05:49	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	576	84¢	$484	0x9d8947…
06-08 20:04:42	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	125	84¢	$105	0xe90d7b…
06-08 20:04:36	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6ea547…
06-08 20:04:19	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	312	84¢	$262	0x58d9c0…
06-08 20:02:16	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	122	84¢	$102	0x27a17c…
06-08 20:02:12	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	312	84¢	$262	0xf03322…
06-08 20:01:37	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x4b706b…
06-08 19:59:31	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	787	16¢	$122	0xa946aa…
06-08 19:59:30	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,408	15¢	$218	0xd78938…