Live-Hardship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.8%

Resolved

382

Trades

1,428

lifetime

Volume

$49.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 08-16 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 74% +$97

Other

1% 79% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	7	$2.8K	1,901	900	+1,001	No	+$2	03-22 13:08
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	5	$2.4K	1,202	1,202	+0	No	+$0	05-16 12:52
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	5	$2.1K	1,115	1,005	+110	No	+$2	04-17 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 08:45 UTC	5	$2.0K	1,004	982	+22	Up	+$3	02-27 08:49
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 11pm et	10	$1.9K	972	972	+0	Down	+$0	03-17 03:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	5	$1.8K	1,248	576	+672	No	+$5	04-17 15:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	10	$1.8K	910	910	+0	No	+$4	05-29 00:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 04:15 UTC	23	$1.6K	928	927	+1	Down	+$10	03-17 04:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	2	$1.5K	751	751	+0	No	+$1	04-17 15:46
bitcoin above 64k on february 27	7	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Yes	-$1	02-27 11:23
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	3	$1.1K	300	800	-500	No	-$13	02-27 07:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	9	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$4	05-29 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 09:50 UTC	6	$1.0K	1,038	15	+1,023	Down	+$10	02-27 09:54
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	4	$1000	501	501	+0	No	+$1	07-16 10:35
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$976	500	500	+0	No	+$2	02-27 07:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 12:45 UTC	16	$887	542	539	+3	Down	+$8	03-21 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 05:35 UTC	10	$804	412	412	+0	Down	+$4	03-17 05:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 16:00 UTC	6	$802	407	407	+0	Down	+$6	02-27 16:13
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-27 09:00 UTC	3	$600	301	301	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 12:35
bitcoin above 68k on february 24	15	$599	500	500	+0	No	-$1	02-24 02:13
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$506	254	254	+0	No	$0	02-27 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 14:05 UTC	6	$471	263	260	+2	Down	+$11	03-31 14:08
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	3	$430	434	0	+434	No	+$4	07-25 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 16:45 UTC	17	$420	242	236	+6	Down	+$6	02-27 16:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 05:00 UTC	6	$415	324	320	+4	Up	+$16	03-17 05:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 05:10 UTC	4	$402	208	203	+5	Up	+$0	02-27 05:14
bitcoin up or down on february 23	6	$401	206	206	+0	Down	+$1	02-23 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 03:40 UTC	1	$400	405	0	+405	Down	+$5	03-17 03:42
bitcoin above 66k on february 20	4	$395	200	200	+0	Yes	+$3	02-20 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 04:20 UTC	12	$391	239	180	+59	Down	+$8	02-27 04:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 14:09:55	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x69426a…
08-16 14:09:28	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe92fcb…
08-16 14:09:22	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe7a2e5…
08-16 14:08:57	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc014d1…
08-16 14:08:39	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x623cf6…
08-16 14:08:28	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd0b02f…
07-25 15:53:16	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x69ac26…
07-25 15:52:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0x928bf4…
07-25 15:52:25	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3bb39a…
07-25 15:52:07	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xb7ddc7…
07-25 15:51:55	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x2326d7…
07-25 15:51:22	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb4b362…
07-25 15:51:13	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x98e47a…
07-25 15:51:06	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x528b5f…
07-25 15:50:55	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x066a4c…
07-16 10:35:20	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xdd8afd…
07-16 10:24:43	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x265b48…
07-16 10:19:35	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x368c77…
07-06 09:20:56	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	501	100¢	$499	0x974d46…
07-01 14:24:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4efa46…
07-01 14:24:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4aed72…
07-01 14:23:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd6fdff…
07-01 14:23:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xc3a6eb…
07-01 14:23:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8e0afc…
07-01 14:20:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xb53fd3…
07-01 14:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd44773…
07-01 14:19:13	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xda5c58…
07-01 14:19:04	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x58a40b…
07-01 14:18:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x5a433d…
07-01 14:18:31	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc695b0…
07-01 14:17:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5dd2a4…
07-01 14:16:26	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x523d2e…
07-01 14:16:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x656a57…
07-01 14:15:34	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x53ff71…
07-01 14:14:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xa3b83c…
07-01 14:14:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xfeb9e2…
07-01 14:13:58	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xb417a2…
07-01 14:13:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x2e120c…
07-01 14:12:53	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfbb764…
07-01 14:12:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xee89b1…
07-01 14:12:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd1ffb9…
07-01 14:11:50	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xe5d096…
07-01 14:11:11	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x3ccdc4…
07-01 14:10:26	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x837bc3…
07-01 14:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x035fc5…
07-01 14:04:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x3f6cae…
07-01 14:03:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x54c51f…
07-01 13:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb18d81…
07-01 13:55:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x36565c…
06-16 05:55:09	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x1be097…
06-16 05:55:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xf6a9e8…
06-16 05:54:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xfeebbc…
06-16 05:54:45	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xa2bd64…
06-16 05:54:31	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x8de74c…
06-16 05:54:24	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xde30b1…
06-16 05:54:18	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd50bbb…
06-16 05:53:58	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xadd767…
06-16 05:53:22	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x241f7e…
06-16 05:53:06	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x47f13a…
06-16 05:52:55	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x974252…
06-16 05:52:48	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x689c4c…
06-16 05:52:39	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8ecada…
06-16 02:53:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xa18fdd…
06-16 02:53:25	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0xba27e9…
06-16 02:53:12	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x288b52…
06-16 02:53:04	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	22	92¢	$21	0x5e1da0…
06-16 02:52:52	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xfbf71b…
06-16 02:52:28	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x697ece…
06-16 02:52:21	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xa6f1b9…
06-16 02:52:07	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x518a3d…
06-16 02:51:39	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x3c85e9…
06-16 02:51:27	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xf0e582…
06-16 02:51:13	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	SELL	121	99¢	$120	0xed284d…
06-16 02:50:43	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x56300b…
06-05 01:37:25	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x848968…
06-05 01:37:12	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe7cbcd…
06-05 01:37:04	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe50dbd…
06-05 01:36:01	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x6945cf…
06-05 01:35:42	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcec907…
06-05 01:35:34	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xcbb193…
06-05 01:35:28	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xbd08e0…
06-05 01:35:19	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x246daa…
06-05 01:35:12	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x010b33…
06-05 01:35:04	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8134a4…
06-05 01:34:57	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9b1877…
06-05 01:34:48	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x59e712…
06-05 01:34:37	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x974cab…
06-05 01:34:28	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xcc62b5…
06-05 01:32:54	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2628a3…
06-05 01:32:46	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb9f45d…
05-29 02:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0xb2627f…
05-29 00:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3f68ee…
05-29 00:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd52ce6…
05-29 00:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x836418…
05-29 00:21:43	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x2b5fe2…
05-29 00:21:31	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfae7e8…
05-29 00:21:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x925996…
05-29 00:21:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xe9f930…
05-29 00:20:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$221	0x9af4a2…
05-29 00:20:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$228	0x49ae53…