Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$889

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$155

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 09-22 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

35% 100% +$485

Crypto

34% 75% -$6

Other

26% 62% -$342

Sports

5% 0% -$1,025

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$7.7K	6,095	5,432	+663	No	+$213	08-22 10:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$4.1K	2,819	2,819	+0	No	-$402	05-07 21:06
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	1	$1.0K	2,699	0	+2,699	No	-$1,025	09-02 17:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$856	506	506	+0	No	+$56	05-06 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$618	422	422	+0	Down	+$218	05-03 15:55
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	3	$426	266	266	+0	Yes	+$26	05-06 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:55 UTC	3	$412	214	214	+0	Up	+$12	03-20 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$345	197	197	+0	Up	+$45	05-03 16:05
sweden parliamentary election v over under 7 percent 20260812172023903	3	$319	591	0	+591	Over	+$272	08-22 10:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:10 UTC	2	$263	167	165	+2	Up	+$66	03-20 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:55 UTC	2	$250	154	152	+2	Down	+$52	03-20 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 00:35 UTC	2	$220	119	118	+0	Down	+$14	03-22 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 17:05 UTC	2	$216	118	117	+0	Down	+$16	03-20 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 11:45 UTC	2	$211	112	112	+0	Down	+$11	03-21 11:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 17:40 UTC	2	$210	110	110	+0	Down	+$10	03-20 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:25 UTC	2	$205	106	106	+0	Up	+$5	03-20 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:05 UTC	2	$204	105	105	+0	Up	+$4	03-20 20:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:05 UTC	2	$202	103	103	+0	Down	+$2	03-20 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:50 UTC	2	$202	103	103	+0	Down	+$2	03-20 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$200	287	0	+287	No	+$87	05-05 15:04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$200	115	115	+0	No	+$0	05-06 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	5	$199	192	83	+108	Down	-$34	05-03 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 11:30 UTC	2	$189	100	100	+0	Down	+$9	03-21 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:50 UTC	2	$175	92	92	+1	Up	+$7	04-15 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 00:20 UTC	2	$175	96	96	+0	Down	+$15	03-22 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 22:15 UTC	2	$163	84	84	+0	Down	+$3	03-19 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:10 UTC	4	$158	106	79	+27	Down	-$2	03-20 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:15 UTC	2	$155	86	85	+1	Up	+$14	04-15 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:10 UTC	2	$143	72	72	+0	Down	+$0	04-15 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:05 UTC	2	$128	73	72	+1	Down	+$16	04-15 17:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 14:24:40	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x84b537…
09-22 14:12:57	Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xfed322…
09-02 17:02:16	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	2,699	38¢	$1,025	0xa0e101…
08-22 10:06:00	sweden parliamentary election v over under 7 percent 20260812172023903	Over	BUY	342	58¢	$200	0x8b2b81…
08-22 10:02:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	312	66¢	$207	0x9e1ffe…
08-22 09:56:34	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	5,120	66¢	$3,405	0x635020…
08-22 08:47:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6,095	67¢	$4,062	0x91f204…
08-21 12:33:46	sweden parliamentary election v over under 7 percent 20260812172023903	Over	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x57b64b…
08-14 17:37:12	sweden parliamentary election v over under 7 percent 20260812172023903	Over	BUY	229	47¢	$108	0xd41211…
07-04 18:09:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x30f8d0…
07-04 17:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x89c473…
07-04 17:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0d394a…
07-04 17:39:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x390062…
07-04 17:39:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xba8eb2…
07-04 17:24:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0xd3758a…
07-04 17:24:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x0f05b2…
07-04 17:24:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x4da3ce…
07-04 17:20:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x0e38ce…
07-04 17:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xff28d1…
05-07 21:06:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	2,819	66¢	$1,849	0x0988b6…
05-06 11:18:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	2,819	80¢	$2,251	0xb74670…
05-06 11:08:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	115	87¢	$100	0x51ecad…
05-06 11:08:26	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	SELL	266	85¢	$226	0xf0c218…
05-06 11:08:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	506	90¢	$456	0x121de0…
05-05 20:17:00	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x2edf92…
05-05 15:04:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	287	70¢	$200	0xac9736…
05-03 16:24:02	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x6fc15f…
05-03 16:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0xaae3f3…
05-03 16:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x39b815…
05-03 16:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x907562…
05-03 16:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x97f1da…
05-03 16:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x4b9e1a…
05-03 16:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x29783a…
05-03 16:12:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xe86c19…
05-03 16:07:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	506	79¢	$400	0xc70072…
05-03 16:06:04	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x909460…
05-03 16:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	197	99¢	$195	0xc5f6ab…
05-03 16:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xd8a61f…
05-03 16:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x161cb5…
05-03 15:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x31bacd…
05-03 15:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	422	99¢	$418	0xc0c6e8…
05-03 15:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	422	47¢	$200	0xf452d4…
05-03 15:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xda530a…
05-03 15:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x149d83…
04-15 19:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	112	81¢	$91	0x0e7391…
04-15 18:55:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:50 UTC	Up	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x51247a…
04-15 18:54:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	92	91¢	$84	0xf5e029…
04-15 18:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xa3eb51…
04-15 18:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	86	83¢	$71	0xfde80c…
04-15 17:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x471bc1…
04-15 17:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xd24e06…
04-15 17:10:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x782e27…
04-15 17:09:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	73	77¢	$56	0xaade9d…
04-12 20:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,885	1¢	$19	0x07e10e…
04-12 15:55:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xcd211b…
04-12 15:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x1ec404…
04-12 15:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xc23c6b…
04-12 14:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x0f4fd2…
04-12 13:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x9c5c25…
04-12 13:06:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x623d1b…
04-12 13:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6f9455…
04-12 12:59:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xda6299…
04-12 12:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x5283b5…
03-22 00:49:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	123	95¢	$117	0x08baef…
03-22 00:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0xb8d494…
03-22 00:38:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	119	87¢	$103	0xcdcc31…
03-22 00:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 00:20 UTC	Down	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x138944…
03-22 00:23:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	96	83¢	$80	0xb8037a…
03-21 17:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x2b1c67…
03-21 17:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x27fb9f…
03-21 11:50:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x49b3f7…
03-21 11:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xb39021…
03-21 11:40:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 11:35 UTC	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x272607…
03-21 11:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xdc1be6…
03-21 11:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xa4cd5b…
03-21 11:33:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xb81996…
03-20 22:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xade84d…
03-20 22:13:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x99b941…
03-20 22:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 22:05 UTC	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x431a65…
03-20 22:09:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x4f022e…
03-20 22:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x2782ac…
03-20 21:59:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xc05d3c…
03-20 21:53:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	89	89¢	$80	0xd8c770…
03-20 21:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x87a5cb…
03-20 21:33:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1f2e9e…
03-20 21:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x418d73…
03-20 21:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x467938…
03-20 21:00:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	214	99¢	$212	0x605ca2…
03-20 20:59:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x6b1f77…
03-20 20:59:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xed18bb…
03-20 20:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	165	99¢	$163	0x9ea15b…
03-20 20:14:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xd0b5c6…
03-20 20:11:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x2104d6…
03-20 20:09:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x4eb365…
03-20 19:29:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xc5a94e…
03-20 19:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5fda4e…
03-20 19:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8c7ef2…
03-20 19:10:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:05 UTC	Down	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x27a497…
03-20 19:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x7c77a0…
03-20 18:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 18:10 UTC	Down	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0xc493e2…