Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$699

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

21.2%

Resolved

187

Trades

865

lifetime

Volume

$9.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$60

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-13

last 10-20 11:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

72% 29% -$460

Politics

23% 10% -$210

Tech

3% 12% -$11

Crypto

1% 0% -$10

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes		+60	$17	56¢	$34	+$17	08-31 13:36
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No		+60	$45	44¢	$26	-$18	08-31 10:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	13	$297	372	252	+120	No	-$2	08-27 16:26
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	21	$226	366	206	+160	No	-$15	08-25 16:41
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	8	$212	219	169	+50	open	—	08-23 18:49
will alibaba be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230551	6	$200	131	131	+0	open	—	08-18 18:33
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	5	$195	118	118	+0	open	—	09-14 11:37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	9	$137	86	84	+2	No	+$6	08-20 21:30
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	9	$129	197	37	+160	open	—	08-23 23:02
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	6	$129	160	50	+110	Yes	+$0	09-01 07:35
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	4	$128	100	100	+0	No	-$7	10-06 15:52
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?	6	$127	80	80	+0	Yes	-$4	09-02 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 23?	6	$116	119	69	+50	No	-$4	08-21 09:30
Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?	6	$112	83	83	+0	No	-$4	08-23 19:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?	8	$105	82	82	+0	No	-$4	08-19 00:01
will qatar join the mecca agreement by december 31 2026	10	$103	245	125	+120	open	—	08-28 08:47
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	3	$102	80	80	+0	Yes	-$3	08-26 11:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?	4	$100	115	67	+48	Yes	-$6	08-17 23:21
will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on september 2	7	$98	120	40	+80	No	-$3	08-29 12:39
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	5	$95	100	60	+40	No	-$8	08-28 17:18
next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	3	$90	62	62	+0	Yes	+$0	08-31 15:56
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	9	$90	120	80	+40	No	-$7	09-19 12:05
Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	7	$89	165	0	+165	No	-$6	08-23 15:51
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	2	$86	70	70	+0	Yes	-$4	08-24 13:25
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	5	$86	100	100	+0	No	-$4	10-06 14:49
will pltr dip to 168 by august 17 2026	5	$83	77	77	+0	No	-$7	08-17 19:39
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on August 23?	5	$81	64	64	+0	No	-$8	08-21 13:56
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 21?	2	$77	138	0	+138	No	-$8	08-19 18:42
will rklb dip to 76 by august 17 2026	5	$75	75	71	+4	Yes	+$1	08-18 09:01
Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	3	$75	75	75	+0	No	-$5	08-26 11:59
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	4	$75	167	59	+108	No	-$2	08-24 13:25
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$74	100	20	+80	Yes	-$1	08-29 00:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 11:03:33	Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x87fd2b…
10-20 11:03:27	Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xd4d890…
10-20 11:03:23	Will Trevor Lawrence have 25.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xc67aec…
10-20 11:03:20	Will Iowa have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x0ec835…
10-20 11:03:14	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x7e2108…
10-08 07:36:58	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x5af8a4…
10-08 07:28:10	Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x370930…
10-08 07:27:39	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x8cf693…
10-08 06:41:33	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x897704…
10-06 15:52:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xecebe3…
10-06 14:49:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xeb3493…
10-06 14:39:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xdd9d5d…
10-06 13:36:01	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xbe036f…
10-06 07:17:45	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 in October?	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x6e8e99…
10-06 06:15:34	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 in October?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x6fac17…
10-05 18:25:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x478b0f…
10-05 18:01:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xab7b51…
10-05 17:58:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x38d5a2…
10-05 17:23:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x35c9e1…
10-05 16:41:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x946805…
09-29 17:09:30	will msft reach 510 in september 2026 from september 29	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x009546…
09-29 17:05:38	will nvda reach 232 in september 2026 from september 29	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xee70a1…
09-29 17:05:36	will tsla reach 360 in september 2026 from september 29	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xecaf25…
09-29 17:05:35	will aapl reach 336 in september 2026 from september 29	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd54a9b…
09-28 17:11:57	will abnb dip to 156 in september 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x464120…
09-28 16:52:50	will meta dip to 670 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9ba876…
09-23 21:00:23	next gpt sol 6pt1 released by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x1374b8…
09-22 22:44:13	Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x57284e…
09-22 21:47:25	Will skuba have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xe3a0d3…
09-22 21:02:43	Will valyn have the most kills for G2 Esports at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x4f79a0…
09-22 19:20:10	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb3f4a7…
09-22 19:08:27	VALORANT Champions 2026: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x1d6a6a…
09-22 14:15:00	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flame?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xc113bf…
09-22 11:57:03	VALORANT Champions 2026: Any map to go 13-0?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xb52d4c…
09-22 02:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x82f584…
09-22 02:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xe24609…
09-22 02:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x914f0c…
09-22 02:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x80d864…
09-22 02:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x89f607…
09-22 02:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x5909d4…
09-21 22:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaaa66a…
09-21 22:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xce7bf8…
09-21 22:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x81cebd…
09-21 22:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xda85fe…
09-21 22:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x34589a…
09-21 21:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xcfe83c…
09-21 19:08:00	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xca7426…
09-21 18:54:09	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa78126…
09-21 18:51:10	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xcffe78…
09-21 18:25:31	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x83e8f9…
09-21 18:12:42	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x0c59be…
09-21 18:07:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 52 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdc2dc9…
09-21 16:53:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 52 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x583778…
09-20 12:13:57	Will Trevor Lawrence have 25.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd52da6…
09-20 12:12:19	Will Wales be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x65e07c…
09-20 10:25:06	Will Wales be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x24ed33…
09-20 08:38:39	Will Wales be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1f1fcb…
09-20 06:25:43	Will South Carolina have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xdfed6d…
09-20 06:01:45	Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x5cac8e…
09-20 04:56:01	Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xff1e0c…
09-20 04:55:58	Will South Carolina have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3439f6…
09-20 04:28:37	Will South Carolina have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x217d67…
09-20 03:48:09	Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xc697ae…
09-20 03:28:55	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 9?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x2eb5bb…
09-20 03:28:37	Will South Carolina have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xeecd51…
09-20 02:33:18	Will Iowa have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x60cf5c…
09-20 02:33:16	Will Iowa have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb3ce65…
09-20 02:11:28	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 9?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xc3b60d…
09-20 01:40:12	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xdb33d7…
09-20 01:40:12	Will Catherine Parenteau reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x46b85d…
09-20 01:40:10	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x8d3ebe…
09-19 21:12:03	Will Arizona have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xf2e77d…
09-19 20:12:09	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xfd62bf…
09-19 16:09:59	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x6d0607…
09-19 16:01:45	Will Arizona have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x5bf588…
09-19 13:48:09	Will Catherine Parenteau reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x6dddf4…
09-19 12:05:56	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xbb02a5…
09-19 11:33:03	Will Chelsea qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x2d6810…
09-19 11:07:17	Will Chelsea qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x73fb39…
09-19 01:56:55	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x8a8e74…
09-19 01:02:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xf5ee63…
09-18 23:42:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xd10da7…
09-18 23:01:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x22f4b4…
09-18 09:35:12	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x65bad9…
09-18 07:22:45	Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x37ef21…
09-18 07:21:46	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x8325d3…
09-18 06:22:45	Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x506817…
09-18 03:59:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x2431cd…
09-18 02:59:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xc37394…
09-17 02:59:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbaf70d…
09-17 01:04:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x76d654…
09-15 21:28:51	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xdddc61…
09-15 20:28:51	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x4f6185…
09-15 17:09:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xc3375c…
09-15 16:01:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x50f8e4…
09-15 13:50:25	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xb98c4e…
09-15 12:50:25	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x95f4d1…
09-15 11:32:54	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xdee002…
09-15 10:32:54	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x50086c…
09-15 05:58:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x67c60a…