Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$854

Unrealized P&L

-$59

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$279

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-31 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

76% 0% -$603

Other

17% 0% -$184

Tech

6% 0% -$66

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+347	$125	32¢	$109	-$16	10-31 12:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+182	$100	27¢	$49	-$51	10-16 17:15
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	+100	$10	40¢	$40	+$30	10-24 10:53
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+98	$50	34¢	$33	-$17	10-23 16:39
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	+100	$7	21¢	$21	+$14	10-27 21:40
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+102	$15	10¢	$10	-$5	10-23 16:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+42	$20	22¢	$9	-$11	10-28 06:01
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	+40	$10	16¢	$7	-$3	10-24 10:57
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+113	$2	1¢	$1	$0	10-23 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 12:43:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	347	36¢	$125	0x153b4d…
10-31 12:36:00	Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?	No	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xd05399…
10-31 12:34:01	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	SELL	194	66¢	$128	0xed6b08…
10-28 06:01:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x312ce8…
10-27 21:40:38	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x2c043d…
10-27 21:39:42	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	551	5¢	$28	0xdeccd1…
10-24 11:54:44	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xeed1dc…
10-24 11:49:12	Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	0¢	$1	0x4e4823…
10-24 11:47:29	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,935	1¢	$10	0xb67463…
10-24 10:59:47	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	Yes	BUY	211	20¢	$43	0xe6f757…
10-24 10:57:11	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x00d11f…
10-24 10:53:18	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xfb45c7…
10-24 10:43:47	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	BUY	164	18¢	$30	0x60e482…
10-23 16:39:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xc6c2cf…
10-23 16:37:29	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x67822e…
10-23 16:33:38	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?	Yes	BUY	314	3¢	$10	0x0f82da…
10-23 16:22:20	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	15¢	$15	0xdb131d…
10-23 15:59:18	Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$3	0xc44ce0…
10-23 15:58:42	Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0x546c51…
10-23 15:43:38	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0xabdb82…
10-23 15:31:23	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$2	0x602a90…
10-16 17:16:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	25¢	$36	0xd5649d…
10-16 17:16:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	293	27¢	$80	0xa96633…
10-16 17:15:24	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x0e4aab…
10-16 17:14:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xaaf670…
10-16 17:14:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	257	27¢	$70	0xf1e89b…
01-22 17:15:10	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	SELL	4,100	21¢	$851	0xd9b99e…
01-19 11:41:50	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	552	29¢	$160	0x815047…
01-19 11:11:54	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	2,418	9¢	$210	0xc29c92…
01-19 10:36:08	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	3,987	27¢	$1,076	0x078535…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$2.1K	4,539	4,100	+439	No	-$384	01-22 17:15
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$210	2,418	0	+2,418	No	-$210	01-19 11:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$178	551	551	+0	Yes	-$122	10-27 21:39
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	3	$165	194	194	+0	open	—	10-31 12:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$125	347	0	+347	open	—	10-31 12:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	10-16 17:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$66	265	0	+265	No	-$66	10-16 17:16
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$50	98	0	+98	open	—	10-23 16:39
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	1	$43	211	0	+211	No	-$43	10-24 10:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	10-28 06:01
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	1	$15	102	0	+102	open	—	10-23 16:22
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?	1	$10	314	0	+314	open	—	10-23 16:33
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	10-24 10:53
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$10	1,935	0	+1,935	No	-$10	10-24 11:47
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	1	$10	40	0	+40	open	—	10-24 10:57
Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$8	98	0	+98	No	-$8	10-23 15:59
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	1	$7	100	0	+100	open	—	10-27 21:40
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	1	$5	55	0	+55	Yes	-$5	10-23 16:37
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$3	273	0	+273	No	-$3	10-23 15:43
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?	1	$3	70	0	+70	open	—	10-31 12:36
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$2	113	0	+113	open	—	10-23 15:31
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	209	0	+209	No	-$1	10-24 11:49