Whopping-Instinct — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.14K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

3,017

Trades

7,141

lifetime

Volume

$122.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 08-24 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 51% -$3,126

Other

1% 16% -$4

Sports

0% 0% -$8

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 03:05 UTC	4	$1.7K	938	935	+3	Down	+$56	03-18 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:50 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,170	1,152	+17	Down	+$355	03-18 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 03:15 UTC	2	$1.5K	768	767	+1	Up	+$35	03-18 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:45 UTC	6	$1.4K	804	803	+2	Down	+$16	03-18 02:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:40 UTC	4	$1.3K	686	685	+1	Up	+$39	03-18 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 03:10 UTC	2	$1.2K	744	733	+11	Down	+$288	03-18 03:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:35 UTC	4	$1.2K	647	644	+2	Down	+$70	03-18 02:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:25 UTC	3	$1.0K	593	556	+38	Down	+$64	03-18 02:30
bitcoin up or down february 2 12am et	4	$915	489	489	+0	Down	+$11	02-02 05:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 05:30 UTC	6	$905	642	635	+7	Up	+$48	02-02 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:20 UTC	3	$818	507	480	+27	Down	+$139	03-18 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:50 UTC	4	$813	474	472	+2	Up	+$57	03-23 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 03:25 UTC	1	$760	1,443	0	+1,443	Up	-$760	03-18 03:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 05:15 UTC	5	$702	429	425	+4	Down	+$77	02-02 05:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 05:00 UTC	6	$678	429	425	+4	Down	+$49	02-02 05:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:10 UTC	2	$654	335	335	+0	Up	+$10	03-23 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 04:50 UTC	4	$650	495	490	+5	Up	+$126	03-23 04:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:15 UTC	2	$607	364	359	+4	Down	+$109	03-18 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$594	621	621	+0	Up	+$401	05-28 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 05:45 UTC	4	$582	718	424	+294	Up	-$247	02-02 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	19	$556	583	583	+0	Up	+$116	05-11 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 01:55 UTC	4	$520	333	329	+3	Up	+$78	03-18 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 02:15 UTC	2	$512	447	429	+18	Down	+$130	04-15 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 21:55 UTC	3	$496	330	325	+5	Down	+$153	03-23 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:10 UTC	3	$460	386	360	+26	Up	+$53	03-18 02:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:45 UTC	2	$450	420	415	+6	Up	+$139	03-23 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 21:25 UTC	4	$442	301	265	+36	Down	+$14	03-23 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:30 UTC	3	$439	257	256	+2	Down	+$28	03-23 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 01:50 UTC	2	$434	238	238	+0	Down	-$6	03-18 01:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 20:40 UTC	3	$425	224	224	+0	Up	+$19	03-23 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 14:32:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xec2a29…
08-24 14:28:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x953799…
08-24 14:28:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xefc102…
08-24 14:28:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x1ccc51…
08-24 14:28:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x1790f2…
08-24 14:27:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x2112f6…
08-24 14:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$4	0xa128a4…
08-24 14:25:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5a3811…
08-24 14:22:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xb075f9…
08-24 14:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf82fb1…
08-24 13:53:10	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x61c074…
08-24 13:53:03	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x457759…
08-24 13:01:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xea7d67…
08-24 12:56:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xd11ef6…
08-24 12:40:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xcb909b…
08-24 11:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?	Down	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xca570f…
08-24 11:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?	Down	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x3806b8…
08-24 11:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xa16fe7…
08-24 11:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?	Down	SELL	7	38¢	$2	0x237443…
08-24 11:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xf6620e…
08-24 10:29:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 24?	No	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x087649…
08-24 10:29:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 24?	No	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xbec4ee…
08-24 10:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 24?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x0b7a3b…
08-24 09:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 24?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb958af…
08-24 03:23:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 24?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6346d5…
08-24 02:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xca7236…
08-24 01:08:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 24?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9c52ee…
08-24 01:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 24?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x42aee5…
08-24 00:43:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 24?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x860439…
08-23 18:56:00	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0xca0bb4…
08-23 18:36:39	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x4ac14a…
08-23 18:30:43	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdd4ba7…
08-23 18:30:43	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x1c3777…
08-21 15:07:40	Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 32 be greater than 0.1?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x53dbc1…
08-21 15:07:40	Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 32 be greater than 0.1?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x41cc32…
08-21 15:07:39	Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 32 be greater than 0.1?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3247d3…
08-21 15:07:39	Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 32 be greater than 0.1?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2bf441…
08-21 15:07:37	Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 32 be greater than 0.1?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf6bf91…
08-21 08:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xc99aef…
08-21 08:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa75d9c…
08-21 08:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe05394…
08-20 20:33:31	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x4d68b3…
08-20 09:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 20?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x43a619…
08-20 08:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x0e914d…
08-20 08:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xaa9a4c…
08-20 06:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa63949…
08-20 06:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x12ad1e…
08-20 06:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1522a6…
08-20 05:56:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 20?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x551ea2…
08-20 05:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 20?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x3adbd8…
08-20 04:54:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0xdd0b19…
08-20 04:50:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xa3c314…
08-20 04:46:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xb80128…
08-20 04:41:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0xfdbcb6…
08-20 04:41:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x7b7504…
08-20 04:41:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x63125f…
08-20 04:41:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0x452b8b…
08-20 04:41:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	40	45¢	$18	0x286c50…
08-20 04:41:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x018086…
08-20 04:39:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	103	16¢	$16	0x60a5ae…
08-20 04:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd5f381…
08-20 04:27:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x85c414…
08-20 04:23:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0x316526…
08-20 04:19:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xdf564b…
08-20 04:05:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc0effc…
08-20 04:00:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x79c18f…
08-20 03:57:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x7bb9b6…
08-20 03:42:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0xcedecc…
08-20 03:42:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x6373ee…
08-20 03:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x8bc524…
08-20 03:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xaa76c2…
08-20 03:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xf18db4…
08-20 03:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x43eb35…
08-20 03:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$5	0x0a990f…
08-20 03:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x97b481…
08-20 03:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x94ace3…
08-20 03:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:25 UTC	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x25e4c1…
08-20 03:25:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:25 UTC	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x1ce8b9…
08-20 03:25:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x508d81…
08-20 03:25:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xa2cb36…
08-20 03:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x2dc422…
08-20 03:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x807961…
08-20 03:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x192379…
08-20 03:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x48845e…
08-20 03:15:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x4dfdd5…
08-20 03:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x7b6e16…
08-20 03:05:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x477988…
08-20 03:05:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x84d708…
08-20 03:05:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x937628…
08-20 03:05:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x709259…
08-20 02:56:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x74df0a…
08-20 02:56:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x55954f…
08-20 02:55:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x90bf0e…
08-20 02:55:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf80164…
08-20 02:55:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x063449…
08-20 02:55:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xe9ad13…
08-20 02:51:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf8e3ba…
08-20 02:45:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xb8e98d…
08-20 02:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa18316…
08-20 02:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc9bfc2…