Monstrous-Aftershock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$203

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-10 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

73% 50% +$14

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-6	$-1	20¢	$-1	$-0	06-10 22:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$46	27	27	+0	open	—	02-14 12:26
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	2	$34	27	27	+0	Under	+$14	05-06 20:36
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	02-20 17:27
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	2	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	02-13 13:39
will israel strike gaza on february 14 2026	1	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	02-14 12:49
will kiss all the time disco occasionally harry styles debut week album sales be at least 550k	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	02-20 21:13
bitcoin above 70k on february 14	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	02-14 12:47
will bernie sanders say corruption during the fighting oligarchy rally	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	02-13 13:07
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$5	56	56	+0	open	—	02-20 21:17
howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	2	$5	22	22	+0	open	—	02-20 20:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-06 10:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	02-28 17:59
Will Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	05-23 10:30
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	2	$4	3	3	+0	Over	+$2	05-06 21:01
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	02-22 19:02
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	2	$3	8	8	+0	Under	$-1	05-06 20:17
will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	13	0	+13	open	—	02-20 17:54
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	1	$2	18	0	+18	open	—	05-12 23:04
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-09 13:29
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-05 19:37
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	1	$1	6	0	+6	Under	$-1	05-05 19:39
will sinners win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	02-20 17:58
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	1	$1	59	0	+59	open	—	05-23 15:01
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 21:23
btc updown 5m 1771572000	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	02-20 07:21
will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win between 200 and 249 seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	1	$1	32	0	+32	open	—	02-13 13:17
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-12 23:57
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	0	6	-6	open	—	06-10 22:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 22:20:09	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x37b103…
05-23 15:01:15	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x2ed002…
05-23 10:30:00	Will Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?	No	BUY	13	34¢	$5	0xb28559…
05-12 23:57:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0c988c…
05-12 23:04:46	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x73ab20…
05-09 13:29:47	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0a577e…
05-06 21:01:21	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x575da1…
05-06 20:49:48	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x00ce1c…
05-06 20:36:25	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0x35dd10…
05-06 20:17:22	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x377760…
05-06 19:18:13	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x1deb89…
05-06 10:34:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xed47a6…
05-05 19:39:20	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x0bfe05…
05-05 19:37:32	Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x44821c…
05-04 21:36:24	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x98bfde…
05-04 21:28:20	Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdd84d9…
05-04 21:23:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x77fc01…
05-03 23:20:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5af825…
02-28 17:59:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x913d6b…
02-22 19:02:10	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xe70757…
02-20 21:17:00	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0x3c76a2…
02-20 21:13:30	will kiss all the time disco occasionally harry styles debut week album sales be at least 550k	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x8ad197…
02-20 20:54:50	howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	Yes	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x00968f…
02-20 17:58:14	will sinners win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x03c7f7…
02-20 17:54:46	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x4b3a6f…
02-20 17:29:56	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x57c14a…
02-20 17:27:54	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3ccfa8…
02-20 07:35:16	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x47a826…
02-20 07:21:44	btc updown 5m 1771572000	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9ffcb2…
02-14 12:49:03	will israel strike gaza on february 14 2026	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x59d783…
02-14 12:47:55	bitcoin above 70k on february 14	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x1b3aa7…
02-14 12:26:15	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xd0027a…
02-13 13:39:49	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x01fbf4…
02-13 13:32:19	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x348245…
02-13 13:30:57	howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x8e7efb…
02-13 13:17:33	will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win between 200 and 249 seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x7ae00d…
02-13 13:13:35	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x589b2f…
02-13 13:07:11	will bernie sanders say corruption during the fighting oligarchy rally	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa5ca65…