Fearful-Collectivisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$193

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

1,271

Trades

9,202

lifetime

Volume

$1.90M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$207

Open exposure

$1.65K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-04 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Other

71% 57% -$69,550

Sports

29% 53% +$15,532

Politics

0% 75% +$2,520

Tech

0% 0% -$574

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	Gen.G	+1,514	$849	70¢	$1.1K	+$204	11-04 22:34
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)	T1	+1,000	$630	60¢	$595	-$35	11-04 21:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+0	-$24	98¢	$0	+$24	05-13 06:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	138	$31.6K	28,000	28,000	+0	No	-$4,341	06-07 16:19
lol ly lll 2026 03 17 game2	12	$23.1K	12,980	12,980	+0	LOUD	+$2,853	03-17 17:07
lol dk dnf 2026 02 20 game1	5	$18.0K	9,118	9,118	+0	Dplus KIA	+$215	02-20 10:34
lol hle1 bro2 2026 04 01 game1	11	$16.5K	8,311	8,311	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$98	04-01 08:44
lol gen kt 2026 04 03 game2	18	$15.0K	7,614	7,609	+5	Gen.G	+$204	04-03 09:26
lol dk dnf 2026 02 20 game3	13	$14.1K	7,164	7,164	+0	DN Freecs	+$234	02-20 10:40
lol gen ly 2026 03 19 game handicap away 2pt5	6	$13.3K	14,307	0	+14,307	Gen.G	+$1,018	03-19 15:08
lol t1 kt 2026 04 01 game2	15	$12.9K	8,548	5,274	+3,274	KT Rolster	-$470	04-01 14:31
lol gen dk 2026 02 14 game4	12	$12.8K	12,537	1,989	+10,547	Gen.G	+$1,165	02-14 11:46
lol ns kt 2026 01 30 game2	6	$12.7K	6,574	6,574	+0	Nongshim Red Force	+$194	01-30 10:07
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)	12	$12.4K	8,007	8,007	+0	Dplus KIA	+$3,596	04-25 12:34
lol wb al 2026 04 04 game1	7	$11.5K	6,173	6,163	+10	Anyone's Legend	+$759	04-04 10:00
lol fox1 bro2 2026 04 03 game1	14	$11.1K	5,625	5,622	+3	HANJIN BRION	+$120	04-03 13:07
lol gen dk 2026 02 14 game1	3	$10.9K	10,938	0	+10,938	Gen.G	+$49	02-14 08:32
lol drx bro2 2026 02 06	15	$10.8K	7,852	4,301	+3,550	DRX	-$73	02-06 10:20
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	10	$10.8K	10,184	4,000	+6,184	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$2,634	05-16 15:03
lol drx ns 2026 02 08 game2	13	$10.8K	6,226	5,513	+713	DRX	-$341	02-08 10:18
lol wb al 2026 03 05 game3	7	$10.5K	10,844	0	+10,844	Anyone's Legend	+$295	03-05 11:41
nba min lac 2026 03 11	11	$10.4K	12,385	0	+12,385	Clippers	+$1,982	03-12 04:18
lol sen dig 2026 02 01 game1	11	$10.2K	5,143	5,143	+0	Sentinels	+$59	01-31 23:51
lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18 game1	2	$10.1K	6,600	3,600	+3,000	BNK FEARX	+$128	03-18 17:48
lol t1 hle1 2026 04 04 game1	8	$10.0K	5,049	5,046	+3	T1	+$99	04-04 08:46
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	43	$9.9K	8,091	3,000	+5,091	KT Rolster	+$706	05-14 12:21
lol dk ns 2026 04 02 game1	14	$9.6K	5,592	5,555	+37	Nongshim Red Force	+$1,200	04-02 08:42
lol wb al 2026 03 05 game1	2	$9.5K	4,813	4,813	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$91	03-05 09:51
lol dk drx 2026 02 07 game2	4	$9.2K	4,605	4,605	+0	Dplus KIA	+$14	02-07 09:32
lol drx ns 2026 02 08 game3	4	$8.7K	9,455	1,000	+8,455	DRX	-$170	02-08 10:27
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	37	$8.6K	12,500	0	+12,500	Spurs	+$3,875	05-09 01:50
lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15 game3	13	$8.6K	4,538	4,538	+0	BNK FEARX	+$459	02-15 10:25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner	10	$8.3K	9,881	0	+9,881	Team WE	-$8,315	05-30 13:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:34:24	Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	Gen.G	BUY	147	60¢	$88	0xe790a7…
11-04 22:34:13	Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	Gen.G	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0xa567c6…
11-04 22:33:55	Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	Gen.G	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0xd29794…
11-04 22:33:48	Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	Gen.G	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x050296…
11-04 21:00:07	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)	T1	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0xfafb44…
11-04 20:43:25	Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	Gen.G	BUY	1,000	54¢	$540	0x562827…
10-29 22:59:37	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2,324	71¢	$1,650	0xbd1fa7…
10-29 22:31:22	Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)	Team Liquid	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0xaef4ca…
10-28 21:07:17	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	1,000	33¢	$330	0x89e29f…
10-28 19:17:46	Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	LYON	BUY	46	61¢	$28	0x66ae1c…
10-28 19:08:59	Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	LYON	BUY	500	61¢	$305	0xca9299…
10-28 18:38:13	Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	LYON	BUY	454	61¢	$277	0xba9fd8…
10-23 22:12:32	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	2,166	73¢	$1,581	0x706ec5…
10-23 22:05:00	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	SELL	1,605	100¢	$1,603	0x3cb36d…
10-23 21:18:18	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	1,605	66¢	$1,059	0x45ca3a…
10-23 20:44:54	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	3,000	13¢	$390	0xdfc2d1…
10-23 01:59:17	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	543	77¢	$418	0x8354a0…
10-23 01:47:38	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0x3d4b48…
10-23 01:47:29	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x5e28f3…
10-23 01:45:15	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x6d8beb…
10-23 01:41:56	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x739bc6…
10-23 01:34:11	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x5622f1…
10-23 01:33:38	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	824	77¢	$635	0x665fb9…
10-18 17:49:53	Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)	MVK Esports	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0x8a6553…
10-18 06:15:41	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	1,241	58¢	$720	0xa4d753…
10-18 06:15:17	Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)	LOUD	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x269ee1…
10-18 06:15:11	Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)	LOUD	BUY	446	40¢	$178	0xeea785…
10-18 06:14:57	Map Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	LOUD	BUY	2,604	20¢	$520	0x4f935b…
10-18 06:09:53	Map Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	LOUD	BUY	51	17¢	$9	0x426788…
10-17 16:32:44	lol mvk fur 2026 10 17 game handicap home 1pt5	FURIA Esports	BUY	3,059	45¢	$1,376	0x6f0d29…
10-17 07:24:50	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17	100 Thieves	BUY	695	65¢	$452	0xd172eb…
10-17 05:40:19	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 map handicap home 2pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	880	20¢	$176	0x7c8f76…
10-17 05:26:58	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 map handicap home 2pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	120	20¢	$24	0x637ef7…
10-17 03:15:56	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 map handicap home 1pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	329	46¢	$151	0x5cf178…
10-17 03:04:42	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 map handicap home 1pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0x429c72…
10-17 03:01:35	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 map handicap home 1pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	53	46¢	$24	0xbda269…
10-17 02:45:17	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 map handicap home 1pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xea3c01…
10-17 02:45:17	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 map handicap home 1pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x2cf9e3…
10-17 02:34:05	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 map handicap home 1pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaa0c80…
10-17 02:28:20	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 map handicap home 1pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	93	46¢	$43	0x741174…
10-17 02:13:26	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 map handicap home 1pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	278	46¢	$128	0xaa3481…
10-17 02:04:23	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 map handicap home 1pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	150	46¢	$69	0xe08cf1…
10-17 00:24:21	nba bos phi 2026 10 16 spread home 6pt5	76ers	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x932e85…
10-17 00:16:08	lol fox1 we 2026 10 17	Team WE	BUY	1,000	32¢	$320	0x8a569a…
10-16 23:44:05	lol fur c9 2026 10 16 game4	Cloud9	BUY	2,500	54¢	$1,350	0x60316a…
10-16 22:52:33	lol fur c9 2026 10 16 game3	Cloud9	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0x12c953…
10-16 22:52:11	lol fur c9 2026 10 16 game3	Cloud9	BUY	1,000	57¢	$570	0x177b5e…
10-16 21:55:05	lol fur c9 2026 10 16 game2	Cloud9	BUY	1,000	71¢	$710	0x65c746…
10-16 16:47:00	lol fur c9 2026 10 16 game handicap home 1pt5	Cloud9	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x10d60e…
10-16 14:17:34	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16 game handicap home 2pt5	MVK Esports	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x86a597…
10-16 12:41:49	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16	MVK Esports	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0xfdb803…
10-16 11:34:40	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x69a1be…
10-16 11:33:28	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	1,842	39¢	$718	0x8f7d29…
10-16 10:10:45	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x2fd737…
10-16 10:10:42	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	314	37¢	$116	0x24f600…
10-16 10:10:40	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	476	37¢	$176	0xccabf7…
10-16 10:10:39	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	296	37¢	$110	0x928078…
10-16 10:10:36	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xfc70e9…
10-16 10:10:36	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x9ca701…
10-16 10:10:31	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	190	37¢	$70	0x5d72c3…
10-16 10:10:31	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	157	37¢	$58	0x3143d0…
10-16 10:10:30	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	952	37¢	$352	0xfaf63c…
10-16 10:10:30	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	476	37¢	$176	0x3968d1…
10-16 10:10:28	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe7f976…
10-16 10:10:27	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	226	64¢	$145	0x65f0a5…
10-16 10:10:27	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	826	37¢	$306	0x63a127…
10-16 10:10:27	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x56c4f0…
10-16 10:10:25	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	1,219	64¢	$780	0xd01467…
10-16 10:10:25	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	1,500	64¢	$960	0x3ba303…
10-16 09:44:00	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	SELL	5,717	100¢	$5,711	0x6ae303…
10-16 07:22:21	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	BUY	1,500	32¢	$480	0xe28360…
10-16 07:22:21	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	BUY	1,200	32¢	$384	0xd017d3…
10-16 07:22:21	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	BUY	1,500	32¢	$480	0xb6c9c1…
10-16 07:22:21	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	BUY	1,485	32¢	$475	0x8c4b49…
10-16 07:22:21	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x89a4bb…
10-16 07:22:21	val vit loud 2026 10 16	LOUD	BUY	27	32¢	$9	0x73be07…
10-16 03:41:01	Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)	LOUD	BUY	4,959	29¢	$1,438	0x383707…
10-16 03:31:18	Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)	LOUD	BUY	140	29¢	$41	0x5f6470…
10-16 03:30:03	Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)	LOUD	BUY	459	29¢	$133	0x783c20…
10-16 02:15:12	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x3991f3…
10-16 01:03:18	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	496	60¢	$300	0xe2a799…
10-16 00:42:31	Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)	LOUD	SELL	1,036	30¢	$311	0xb9969b…
10-16 00:06:34	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	2,900	71¢	$2,059	0x81ecaa…
10-15 23:26:04	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	779	71¢	$553	0xda3960…
10-15 23:26:03	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf7b647…
10-15 23:26:03	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	836	71¢	$593	0x78bf5b…
10-15 22:32:46	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	1,000	20¢	$204	0x45bd72…
10-15 22:32:27	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	724	30¢	$217	0x4d4a84…
10-15 22:32:27	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	313	30¢	$94	0x4c5da1…
10-15 22:04:57	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	1,000	41¢	$410	0xe70264…
10-15 21:44:44	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner	Cloud9	BUY	1,029	43¢	$443	0x81b521…
10-15 21:40:39	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	1,022	56¢	$573	0x24952e…
10-15 21:32:32	Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)	LOUD	BUY	1,036	30¢	$311	0x5fdf2a…
07-11 10:50:04	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	22¢	$6	0xcfd3cc…
07-11 10:49:40	Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	19¢	$23	0xaecbb4…
06-23 20:15:28	Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	34¢	$42	0xfbd213…
06-19 09:24:28	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$4	0x6a6bbf…
06-18 05:29:01	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xf43c56…
06-08 08:03:27	lol al blg 2026 06 08 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	550	62¢	$341	0xae084e…
06-08 07:46:46	lol al blg 2026 06 08 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0xeee600…