Vital-Functionality-Proposition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$432

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-12 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 17:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe8e1af…
05-12 17:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x9bfa2b…
05-12 17:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe60816…
05-12 15:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x1f3477…
05-12 13:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x784c21…
05-12 12:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x21b626…
05-12 12:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xab4814…
05-12 12:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x87cc1d…
05-12 12:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2cca33…
05-12 12:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf8d3b5…
05-12 11:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xbeb76d…
05-12 11:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x84ca34…
05-12 11:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe20355…
05-12 11:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8d21e1…
05-12 11:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x68d58e…
05-12 11:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4f322b…
05-12 11:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x4673c3…
05-12 11:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf49e66…
05-12 11:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x909be4…
05-12 11:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1168aa…
05-12 11:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xec8133…
05-12 11:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0cc4a6…
05-12 11:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xcad138…
05-12 11:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaaddb4…
05-12 11:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xeb1274…
05-12 11:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x29384c…
05-12 10:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x002f19…
05-12 10:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd1f79b…
05-12 09:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x513527…
05-12 09:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7a7a4f…
05-12 09:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc0af62…
05-12 08:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9ca71a…
05-12 08:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x996702…
05-12 08:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7a6f00…
05-12 08:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x14990d…
05-12 08:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xade821…
05-12 08:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xeb9982…
05-12 08:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x67f3ba…
05-12 08:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x6db0d4…
05-12 08:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xebce48…
05-12 07:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc6a7f1…
05-12 06:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xaa90e9…
05-12 06:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb4261b…
05-12 04:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x13225b…
05-12 04:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x317780…
05-12 04:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x46806d…
05-12 00:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x71535d…
05-12 00:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x10966f…
05-12 00:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3841fe…
05-12 00:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xf5071e…
05-12 00:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0dc737…
05-12 00:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf513af…
05-12 00:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x79f794…
05-12 00:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x112cc1…
05-11 23:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x948ad2…
05-11 23:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2cb7fb…
05-11 23:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x072fa8…
05-11 23:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x189cdb…
05-11 23:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf74f5f…
05-11 23:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x74b285…
05-11 23:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb6fa98…
05-11 22:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf4d57d…
05-11 22:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6b2f89…
05-11 22:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xef6594…
05-11 22:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf20ac3…
05-11 22:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x65dce9…
05-11 22:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7e2084…
05-11 22:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x32860d…
05-11 22:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xe5cf00…
05-11 22:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9422ae…
05-11 22:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x451894…
05-11 21:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xb0ef83…
05-11 21:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x604f49…
05-11 21:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x01e0d1…
05-11 21:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0833d0…
05-11 21:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x22eda8…
05-11 21:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4a0d0b…
05-11 21:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x58cfe8…
05-11 21:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcbdf70…
05-11 21:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0x4f504d…
05-11 21:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5eaac0…
05-11 20:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x759120…
05-11 20:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc52983…
05-11 20:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xff1fd5…
05-11 20:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x286a09…
05-11 20:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa3de3a…
05-11 20:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe2b941…
05-11 20:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe1e2af…
05-11 20:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x3e5ebb…
05-11 20:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x011db4…
05-11 20:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x320583…
05-11 20:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8ac928…
05-11 20:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa17e53…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	55	$64.0K	1,860	05-12 18:08
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	54	$200.9K	5,582	05-12 18:02
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	53	$109.7K	14,890	05-12 12:29
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	53	$38.2K	601	05-12 12:29
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	53	$19.0K	3,380	05-12 12:29
Outlandish-Dragon-Curler 0x218f…17bc	53	$18.4K	1,228	05-12 12:30
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	53	$16.3K	2,073	05-12 12:29
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	53	$15.6K	499	05-12 12:30