Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$370

Unrealized P&L

+$38

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

81 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.72K

$1.72K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$428

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-16

last 10-27 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% 67% +$370

Politics

25% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+3,867	$139	5¢	$184	+$45	10-27 02:52
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,630	$188	6¢	$171	-$17	10-27 17:44
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,121	$62	3¢	$73	+$11	10-27 08:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President before 2027?	16	$438	7,103	3,236	+3,867	open	—	10-27 02:52
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	5	$431	473	473	+0	Yes	+$311	10-16 17:25
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	18	$278	2,930	300	+2,630	open	—	10-27 17:44
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	4	$180	132	132	+0	Yes	+$80	10-16 17:51
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	18	$140	2,738	617	+2,121	open	—	10-27 08:38
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	4	$84	1,621	0	+1,621	open	—	10-17 23:26
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	2	$79	265	0	+265	open	—	10-17 09:10
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	3	$33	226	0	+226	open	—	10-17 17:42
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	5	$30	889	889	+0	No	-$20	10-17 23:09
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	1	$20	182	0	+182	open	—	10-17 23:23
Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?	5	$8	160	0	+160	open	—	10-27 13:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 17:44:50	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xc4aea2…
10-27 17:37:39	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	271	7¢	$19	0x21959a…
10-27 16:46:08	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	7¢	$8	0x82f83f…
10-27 15:56:42	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x7e9919…
10-27 14:41:00	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x02eff6…
10-27 13:56:54	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x067e84…
10-27 13:19:44	Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x540d4d…
10-27 12:24:30	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	7¢	$11	0x07c171…
10-27 12:09:21	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	446	7¢	$31	0x2aafd7…
10-27 11:11:59	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xe2f73c…
10-27 09:33:02	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x96311d…
10-27 09:31:23	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x4a885e…
10-27 08:38:08	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0x5eca86…
10-27 02:52:44	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x3afb09…
10-27 01:24:14	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x10c124…
10-27 01:17:48	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x462ebb…
10-27 00:51:18	Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7a16fa…
10-26 21:42:05	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x60be3a…
10-26 17:59:06	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0xa43d74…
10-26 08:42:00	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	15¢	$45	0x94fca0…
10-25 18:16:26	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xc399ca…
10-25 18:16:24	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0x8c5969…
10-25 18:16:24	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x2362cb…
10-25 14:14:02	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xc92cfc…
10-25 12:04:50	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x75d8ff…
10-25 09:05:59	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,856	5¢	$137	0xd17242…
10-24 14:38:08	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x4857ce…
10-24 14:33:57	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xd82d2e…
10-24 12:42:23	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd63270…
10-22 17:56:53	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	115	3¢	$4	0x1d12a1…
10-22 17:56:41	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	130	3¢	$4	0xeebea9…
10-22 17:56:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	130	3¢	$4	0xb4804d…
10-17 23:26:39	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	430	7¢	$30	0x448ae2…
10-17 23:23:39	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	418	5¢	$20	0xfbb1e4…
10-17 23:23:00	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xb57d65…
10-17 23:22:50	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	654	5¢	$30	0x2aed0a…
10-17 23:11:12	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	119	3¢	$4	0x35c4ea…
10-17 23:09:51	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	789	0¢	$3	0x4d6f33…
10-17 19:47:12	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x9522c9…
10-17 17:42:57	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x6b7fef…
10-17 17:30:50	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	488	4¢	$20	0x589c6d…
10-17 16:38:47	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x8e5ac1…
10-17 16:06:09	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	450	4¢	$18	0xfa8458…
10-17 16:03:32	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	769	4¢	$30	0x605aa5…
10-17 15:58:30	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x957ef4…
10-17 15:53:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xb84548…
10-17 15:48:32	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xb44289…
10-17 15:45:26	Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x9e0bdb…
10-17 15:24:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	765	4¢	$30	0x4701a3…
10-17 15:07:59	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	516	4¢	$20	0xe0acdc…
10-17 15:04:26	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0xf18072…
10-17 15:04:15	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	4¢	$10	0xa2e5c0…
10-17 14:30:29	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	3¢	$10	0x9aeaa5…
10-17 14:23:56	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	481	3¢	$15	0xad2f7d…
10-17 14:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x9fc775…
10-17 14:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x447caf…
10-17 09:10:38	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	Yes	BUY	201	30¢	$60	0x38ad61…
10-17 07:30:38	Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6043b5…
10-16 20:10:21	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	Yes	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0x5a132a…
10-16 19:00:08	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	488	4¢	$20	0x8855f1…
10-16 18:59:02	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,439	4¢	$100	0x796eec…
10-16 18:58:37	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	488	4¢	$20	0x9f21be…
10-16 18:57:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	488	4¢	$20	0x6ed40d…
10-16 18:55:32	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	976	4¢	$40	0xcf4f2e…
10-16 17:51:21	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	SELL	132	99¢	$130	0xd3040a…
10-16 17:25:26	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	SELL	266	84¢	$222	0x11948c…
10-16 17:21:45	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	SELL	89	72¢	$64	0x7ad062…
10-16 17:08:12	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	SELL	118	72¢	$85	0x9cb280…
10-16 15:50:43	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x1c5c53…
10-16 15:46:19	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xcb3369…
10-16 15:32:06	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xc47f61…
10-16 14:51:22	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xba905d…
10-16 14:44:01	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xffd046…