Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$184

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

121

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$5.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 03-16 20:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

40% 32% -$332

Crypto

27% 33% +$96

Politics

23% 15% -$33

Sports

9% 100% +$85

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$478	1,330	1,330	+0	No	-$28	03-02 22:09
lol wb tes 2026 03 02	2	$465	267	267	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$64	03-02 13:32
nba mem ind 2026 03 01	2	$386	213	213	+0	Grizzlies	+$40	03-02 00:26
lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	3	$304	398	398	+0	No	-$269	03-02 21:52
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	2	$264	161	161	+0	Yes	+$58	03-01 16:23
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	2	$242	153	153	+0	Yes	+$62	02-28 20:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$203	173	173	+0	Yes	+$143	02-28 07:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:15 UTC	2	$198	137	135	+2	Down	+$71	03-02 22:20
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	2	$190	111	111	+0	Yes	+$30	03-01 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:20 UTC	2	$188	598	594	+4	Up	-$73	03-02 22:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:00 UTC	2	$161	108	107	+2	Down	+$54	03-05 13:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$95	168	168	+0	Yes	-$16	03-07 23:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 22:05 UTC	2	$88	55	54	+1	Down	+$19	02-28 22:10
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	3	$85	4,223	0	+4,223	Yes	-$85	02-27 16:14
ucl psg1 asm1 2026 02 25 psg1	1	$80	229	0	+229	No	-$80	02-25 20:49
nba lal gsw 2026 02 28	2	$80	50	50	+0	Lakers	+$20	03-01 07:25
cbb kenest nmxst 2026 03 07	5	$80	67	67	+0	New Mexico State Aggies	+$14	03-07 23:13
will trump say jesus this week march 8	2	$73	133	133	+0	Yes	+$53	03-09 06:43
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 8	1	$63	181	0	+181	No	-$63	03-07 23:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:30 UTC	1	$60	121	0	+121	Down	-$60	03-02 22:31
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	2	$60	49	49	+0	Yes	$0	03-07 22:54
crint gbr nzl 2026 02 27	2	$58	38	38	+0	England	+$18	02-27 18:03
epl bur bre 2026 02 28 bre	2	$56	36	36	+0	Yes	+$16	02-28 20:10
will iran strike israel on march 6	2	$54	413	413	+0	No	-$11	03-09 07:52
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$52	2,162	2,162	+0	Yes	+$4	03-09 18:54
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	2	$50	35	35	+0	Yes	+$20	03-06 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 08:15 UTC	1	$44	437	0	+437	Down	-$44	03-09 08:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:40 UTC	3	$39	51	25	+25	Up	+$12	03-05 12:45
will the state of the union be 100 minutes or longer	1	$39	112	0	+112	Yes	-$39	02-24 22:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$35	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	02-28 22:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-16 20:07:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x081038…
03-16 20:00:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x78456d…
03-16 18:23:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xd22596…
03-16 18:23:31	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 140 159	Yes	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0xedbe23…
03-10 20:39:07	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 draw	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x44e035…
03-09 18:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x6880d0…
03-09 18:54:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xa932ea…
03-09 18:54:15	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 draw	Yes	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x9b740f…
03-09 18:53:53	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 ata1	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x4059a2…
03-09 08:17:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	437	10¢	$44	0xea6f7a…
03-09 07:52:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	44	49¢	$22	0xbbf8a5…
03-09 07:52:01	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	SELL	413	5¢	$22	0xdc6adb…
03-09 07:50:29	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	413	8¢	$33	0x51d385…
03-09 06:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x8304e9…
03-09 06:51:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd7d26e…
03-09 06:43:57	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	SELL	133	47¢	$63	0xb030c0…
03-08 09:58:15	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 140 159	Yes	BUY	72	21¢	$15	0x33f654…
03-08 09:57:03	will trump say make america great again or maga this week march 8	Yes	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x19f40d…
03-08 09:51:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0xbbfa02…
03-08 09:48:59	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	101	23¢	$23	0x003c91…
03-08 09:46:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x643836…
03-07 23:33:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x877f76…
03-07 23:18:31	nba bkn det 2026 03 07	Nets	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf7e8b4…
03-07 23:15:13	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	60	53¢	$32	0x1a15ef…
03-07 23:13:31	cbb kenest nmxst 2026 03 07	New Mexico State Aggies	SELL	35	77¢	$27	0x3d5165…
03-07 23:12:31	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 8	Yes	BUY	181	35¢	$63	0x74779c…
03-07 23:03:29	will trump say witch hunt this week march 8	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x2d346e…
03-07 23:02:57	will trump say brics this week march 8	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0xc0b8d7…
03-07 23:02:45	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	BUY	133	8¢	$10	0x05469f…
03-07 22:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb7930b…
03-07 22:54:31	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	Yes	SELL	49	60¢	$30	0xc3d1a6…
03-07 22:47:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd402ca…
03-07 22:46:19	cbb kenest nmxst 2026 03 07	Kennesaw State Owls	SELL	15	56¢	$9	0x4720da…
03-07 22:43:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0x47f48d…
03-07 22:41:07	cbb kenest nmxst 2026 03 07	New Mexico State Aggies	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0xe21bfa…
03-07 22:40:49	cbb kenest nmxst 2026 03 07	Kennesaw State Owls	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x6b6ba2…
03-07 22:38:21	cbb kenest nmxst 2026 03 07	Kennesaw State Owls	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x520ba6…
03-07 22:36:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xa8437f…
03-07 17:49:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0xdf6078…
03-07 16:58:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe74a96…
03-07 15:46:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x4fbd55…
03-07 15:45:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0x799651…
03-07 15:39:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x35605b…
03-07 15:39:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0xc9d761…
03-07 15:35:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2,091	1¢	$27	0xb7145f…
03-06 22:18:33	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x5372d0…
03-06 22:13:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xba7259…
03-06 22:00:41	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x9ce9f3…
03-06 10:49:25	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	Yes	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0x9e38a6…
03-06 10:35:17	bun bay moe 2026 03 06 moe	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x441091…
03-06 10:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x7ee42b…
03-06 10:24:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:20 UTC	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x0884c3…
03-06 10:23:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1e3645…
03-06 10:23:07	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	SELL	105	9¢	$9	0x4a3314…
03-05 20:41:57	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 ata1	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4acd47…
03-05 20:41:51	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x7c01dc…
03-05 20:17:55	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2,091	1¢	$23	0x75eae4…
03-05 20:09:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x824bc9…
03-05 19:56:37	will bitcoin reach 74000 on march 5	Yes	BUY	92	3¢	$3	0x9b9eac…
03-05 19:50:07	epl tot cry 2026 03 05 tot	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x7ed7e8…
03-05 18:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0xa0bafd…
03-05 18:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x340239…
03-05 13:06:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x4034f1…
03-05 13:00:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0x2fbe1c…
03-05 12:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x67c761…
03-05 12:52:41	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x1a92f1…
03-05 12:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x6c1961…
03-05 12:42:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x6cad5b…
03-05 12:41:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0xd2c502…
03-05 12:17:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x83e125…
03-02 22:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	121	50¢	$60	0x18a527…
03-02 22:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:20 UTC	Down	SELL	594	10¢	$57	0x863700…
03-02 22:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	598	22¢	$131	0x906585…
03-02 22:20:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	135	99¢	$133	0xd77a00…
03-02 22:15:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	137	47¢	$64	0xe6d255…
03-02 22:09:15	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	53	15¢	$8	0x11e80a…
03-02 22:09:13	will hillary say president 5 times during her epstein testimony	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x82bd5b…
03-02 22:09:11	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	71	12¢	$9	0x5cd8e0…
03-02 22:09:09	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	17¢	$13	0x6674c4…
03-02 22:09:09	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	1¢	$1	0x3de1e5…
03-02 22:09:05	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	106	23¢	$24	0xf05844…
03-02 22:09:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	108	7¢	$8	0xcbfa0d…
03-02 21:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	59	32¢	$19	0xccb8fd…
03-02 21:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd08d29…
03-02 21:53:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x053d63…
03-02 21:52:51	lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	Yes	SELL	322	3¢	$10	0x9adfcd…
03-02 21:46:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xa998d7…
03-02 21:45:09	lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	Yes	SELL	76	10¢	$7	0xf109b2…
03-02 13:35:55	lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	Yes	BUY	398	72¢	$287	0x0bfe94…
03-02 13:32:29	lol wb tes 2026 03 02	Weibo Gaming	SELL	267	99¢	$265	0xca7866…
03-02 12:52:53	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0xbe147e…
03-02 12:50:17	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	208	3¢	$6	0xa90991…
03-02 12:42:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	128	4¢	$5	0xd55dde…
03-02 12:41:23	will hillary say white house during her epstein testimony	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0x4629fc…
03-02 12:41:21	will hillary say massage during her epstein testimony	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xa4ec88…
03-02 12:41:15	will hillary say trump 5 times during her epstein testimony	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x2df558…
03-02 12:41:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xc5aaeb…
03-02 12:01:31	lol wb tes 2026 03 02	Weibo Gaming	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x7a994e…
03-02 12:00:09	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	1,223	16¢	$200	0x59a1fb…
03-02 11:52:57	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1,237	16¢	$202	0x4d97e4…