Grubby-Fertilizer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$46

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-11 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 17% $-15

Other

28% 100% +$1

Politics

7% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-10 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-10 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-04 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-10 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-10 05:16
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	2	$4	51	51	+0	open	—	05-10 07:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$3	136	0	+136	open	—	05-04 10:16
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$2	11	0	+11	No	$-2	05-06 10:41
Will Solana reach $90 in May?	1	$2	36	0	+36	Yes	$-2	05-06 10:42
Will Solana reach $150 in May?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-06 11:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-09 05:26
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	$-1	05-10 07:43
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-10 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 04:18:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xf5cfc1…
05-10 13:19:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd068d7…
05-10 07:47:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x446462…
05-10 07:43:05	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc21fb0…
05-10 07:06:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	Yes	SELL	51	5¢	$2	0x14147d…
05-10 07:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x49ec18…
05-10 06:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x70693d…
05-10 05:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb074d7…
05-10 05:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x428b10…
05-09 05:26:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd09447…
05-06 11:51:48	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ec509…
05-06 10:45:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xd62604…
05-06 10:42:28	Will Solana reach $90 in May?	No	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x9ebca8…
05-06 10:41:54	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x835574…
05-04 10:16:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0x0cc714…
05-04 09:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9a9cd7…