Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$761

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

163

Trades

477

lifetime

Volume

$66.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$140

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-16 04:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

74% 46% +$216

Politics

12% 36% -$40

Sports

7% 55% -$115

Tech

5% 40% -$108

Pop-Culture

1% 50% -$148

Crypto

1% 0% -$568

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes		-15	-$3	48¢	$-7	-$4	06-16 04:55
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes		-5	-$2	4¢	$-0	+$1	06-15 16:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	5	$2.1K	1,311	1,311	+0	Yes	+$13	02-05 09:21
will jessie buckley hamnet win best actress drama at the 83rd golden globes	5	$1.5K	881	881	+0	Yes	+$0	01-04 18:07
nothing ever happens israel edition	11	$1.5K	1,691	1,691	+0	No	-$28	01-02 21:49
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	5	$1.4K	912	911	+1	Yes	+$18	02-04 18:25
nba 2025 26 spg leader dyson daniels	15	$1.1K	1,609	1,609	+0	No	-$13	02-13 17:58
will keon ellis be traded this season	5	$1.1K	253	1,330	-1,077	Yes	-$69	01-10 13:27
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	9	$1.1K	1,171	1,171	+0	No	+$48	02-25 06:19
will henrique gouveia e melo win between 18 and 20 of votes in the first round	2	$1.1K	676	676	+0	No	+$7	01-10 04:06
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$995	1,103	1,103	+0	Yes	+$7	01-11 05:59
stefon diggs arrested by march 31	7	$964	1,162	1,162	+0	No	-$11	01-30 19:05
will pluribus win best television series drama at the 83rd golden globes 295	2	$962	566	566	+0	No	-$11	01-05 17:41
arg bar ban 2026 03 06 bar	2	$952	690	690	+0	No	-$262	03-18 15:22
will valve will add cache to the map pool by end of january 519	2	$944	674	674	+0	No	+$27	01-04 11:08
will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the united states in 2025	8	$941	929	929	+0	Yes	-$2	01-09 14:31
col1 mif isf 2026 04 11 mif	4	$937	919	919	+0	No	+$55	03-25 16:37
will atalanta advance to the round of 16	2	$932	863	863	+0	Yes	-$35	02-06 05:10
will daniel radcliffe say harry potter on hot ones	3	$918	655	655	+0	No	+$381	02-19 18:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$910	523	523	+0	No	+$0	01-05 00:09
lal ray ovi 2026 02 07 ray	2	$909	891	891	+0	Yes	+$53	02-28 16:19
will the washington wizards win more than 20pt5 regular season games in 202526	4	$894	626	626	+0	No	-$59	01-06 04:26
spl qad ett 2025 12 19 qad	3	$892	719	719	+0	Yes	+$288	02-03 21:11
nba 2025 26 rpg leader victor wembanyama	1	$890	0	1,099	-1,099	No	-$209	01-02 06:29
will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	9	$884	912	912	+0	Yes	+$9	01-05 14:29
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	4	$880	1,024	1,024	+0	Yes	-$83	02-06 06:34
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?	2	$876	495	495	+0	No	-$5	01-09 04:19
will hannah einbinder hacks win best supporting actress television at the 83rd golden globes	2	$794	512	512	+0	No	-$5	01-09 02:29
scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 mot	5	$789	1,154	484	+670	No	-$296	03-07 06:40
will the 20252026 edition of dick clarks new years rockin eve have between 17pt5 million and 20 million viewers	3	$780	500	500	+0	Yes	-$20	01-02 09:30
will progressive bulgaria pb win between 85 89 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$748	603	603	+0	No	+$0	03-30 15:45
will leavitt say china during the next white house press briefing 222	2	$741	449	449	+0	No	-$13	02-27 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 04:55:10	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x5d3669…
06-15 16:11:36	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x8f8496…
04-11 00:49:35	ahl mil gra 2026 03 13	Milwaukee Admirals	BUY	304	75¢	$228	0x68d479…
04-09 11:24:53	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	348	28¢	$97	0xe5421a…
04-09 11:24:39	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	468	28¢	$131	0xe7b459…
03-31 14:21:59	Major solar storm by April 30?	No	SELL	285	87¢	$248	0x5db4ae…
03-31 14:16:27	Major solar storm by April 30?	No	BUY	285	89¢	$254	0x911c63…
03-30 15:45:43	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 85 89 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	603	62¢	$374	0x6bc523…
03-30 07:04:28	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	382	33¢	$126	0xf2aa41…
03-30 07:04:08	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	434	33¢	$143	0x0505a9…
03-30 05:14:58	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 85 89 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	603	62¢	$374	0x48ef05…
03-25 17:21:25	will trump say tariff or tax 20 times during national agriculture day events	No	SELL	253	58¢	$147	0x4e0c1d…
03-25 16:37:41	col1 mif isf 2026 04 11 mif	Yes	SELL	757	54¢	$409	0xacab03…
03-25 16:37:27	col1 mif isf 2026 04 11 mif	Yes	SELL	162	54¢	$87	0x8d5441…
03-25 05:34:47	will trump say tariff or tax 20 times during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	253	59¢	$149	0x87ae84…
03-25 04:21:39	col1 mif isf 2026 04 11 mif	Yes	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x986f02…
03-25 04:21:21	col1 mif isf 2026 04 11 mif	Yes	BUY	896	48¢	$430	0x0340e1…
03-24 05:08:33	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	900	21¢	$189	0xaaa675…
03-23 00:10:49	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	140	16¢	$22	0xa358e5…
03-23 00:10:39	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	760	16¢	$122	0xb4beed…
03-18 15:22:23	arg bar ban 2026 03 06 bar	No	SELL	690	50¢	$345	0x16943d…
03-17 02:41:31	arg bar ban 2026 03 06 bar	No	BUY	690	88¢	$607	0x1e7c74…
03-16 11:07:37	will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	Yes	SELL	136	92¢	$125	0xd80b50…
03-14 11:16:49	will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	Yes	BUY	136	89¢	$121	0xc22f01…
03-12 09:33:03	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 14 516	Yes	SELL	101	54¢	$55	0x2c832b…
03-12 09:09:13	will marty supreme win exactly 1 award at the oscars	Yes	SELL	238	45¢	$107	0x7aaa40…
03-11 04:53:17	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	56¢	$129	0x716a01…
03-07 06:40:27	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 mot	Yes	SELL	272	51¢	$139	0x0aec72…
03-07 06:40:13	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 mot	Yes	SELL	212	51¢	$108	0x69a613…
03-06 10:07:25	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 mot	Yes	BUY	201	47¢	$94	0x6cccce…
03-06 10:07:11	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 mot	Yes	BUY	473	47¢	$222	0xee959e…
03-06 10:06:57	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 mot	Yes	BUY	480	47¢	$226	0xe18ced…
03-06 09:51:13	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	228	65¢	$149	0xc87f1b…
03-06 09:22:43	will khamenei tweet again by march 7 216	Yes	BUY	284	42¢	$119	0x55f68e…
03-06 09:11:51	will peaky blinders the immortal man score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x0364de…
03-06 09:11:41	will peaky blinders the immortal man score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	304	32¢	$97	0xc2d2e9…
03-06 08:15:13	will marty supreme win exactly 1 award at the oscars	Yes	BUY	152	43¢	$65	0xbb7eec…
03-06 08:15:05	will marty supreme win exactly 1 award at the oscars	Yes	BUY	86	43¢	$37	0x453f83…
03-06 07:30:33	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 14 516	Yes	BUY	101	41¢	$41	0x4f2185…
02-28 16:19:45	lal ray ovi 2026 02 07 ray	Yes	SELL	891	54¢	$481	0x634517…
02-28 11:59:11	lal ray ovi 2026 02 07 ray	Yes	BUY	891	48¢	$428	0x255fc7…
02-28 11:01:37	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	SELL	424	50¢	$212	0x6b939c…
02-28 07:44:01	cbb mtnst jaxst 2026 01 24	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	BUY	562	15¢	$85	0x779dc3…
02-28 05:36:11	will asa buck be the republican nominee for nc 01	Yes	SELL	1,078	12¢	$129	0x58d944…
02-28 04:41:21	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	424	58¢	$246	0x687046…
02-28 04:37:39	will asa buck be the republican nominee for nc 01	Yes	BUY	1,078	11¢	$119	0x6e714f…
02-28 03:27:31	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	SELL	402	13¢	$52	0xfc76bd…
02-28 03:15:07	will donald trump endorse john cornyn for the texas republican senate primary by march 2 2026	No	SELL	334	69¢	$230	0xfaa3c3…
02-28 03:07:23	will trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 8	Yes	SELL	88	82¢	$72	0x530997…
02-28 03:07:15	will trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 8	Yes	SELL	38	82¢	$31	0x547fac…
02-28 01:32:35	will donald trump endorse john cornyn for the texas republican senate primary by march 2 2026	No	BUY	334	85¢	$284	0x771031…
02-28 01:22:57	will trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 8	Yes	BUY	126	66¢	$83	0x900db2…
02-28 01:16:55	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	402	12¢	$48	0x161976…
02-28 00:24:53	Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	378	42¢	$159	0xcadfad…
02-27 14:37:57	will starmer say labour during the next prime ministers questions 567	Yes	SELL	362	89¢	$322	0xcbd16e…
02-27 11:49:29	Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	378	50¢	$189	0x7f6162…
02-27 11:46:57	nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x046622…
02-27 10:43:35	will leavitt say china during the next white house press briefing 222	No	SELL	449	81¢	$364	0xf49c22…
02-27 09:54:43	will starmer say labour during the next prime ministers questions 567	Yes	BUY	362	81¢	$293	0x7758f7…
02-27 06:37:22	will leavitt say china during the next white house press briefing 222	No	BUY	449	84¢	$377	0x467145…
02-25 17:02:44	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	Yes	SELL	605	15¢	$91	0x37c04d…
02-25 12:32:38	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x48ed03…
02-25 11:16:30	val slp m80 2026 02 18 game1	M80	BUY	558	48¢	$268	0x7484d9…
02-25 09:06:58	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	Yes	BUY	610	14¢	$85	0x926b17…
02-25 07:19:20	will hillary say wedding during her epstein testimony	Yes	SELL	355	54¢	$192	0xcc796e…
02-25 06:19:48	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	260	23¢	$60	0xb86448…
02-25 05:24:12	will hillary say wedding during her epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	355	13¢	$46	0xde1255…
02-25 05:02:44	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	260	23¢	$60	0xec16e4…
02-25 03:18:02	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	293	32¢	$94	0x25260a…
02-25 00:17:44	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	308	32¢	$99	0xcb2c72…
02-24 17:57:16	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 btts	Yes	SELL	170	52¢	$88	0xbf800b…
02-23 05:02:06	will trump say restaurant this week march 1	No	SELL	412	30¢	$124	0x412fe7…
02-23 00:25:28	will trump say restaurant this week march 1	No	BUY	412	46¢	$190	0x75dc66…
02-20 00:06:08	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-19 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf9a505…
02-20 00:06:08	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-19 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	119	63¢	$75	0xba0bb3…
02-20 00:06:08	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-19 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	63¢	$26	0xb67a0c…
02-20 00:05:48	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-19 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	735	63¢	$463	0x324dee…
02-19 18:51:54	will daniel radcliffe say harry potter on hot ones	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x2875de…
02-19 18:50:08	will daniel radcliffe say harry potter on hot ones	No	SELL	647	99¢	$642	0x8a0c8c…
02-19 18:24:02	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	70	14¢	$10	0xfe2e39…
02-19 18:23:46	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	72	14¢	$10	0xea1658…
02-19 09:22:30	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 460 479	Yes	SELL	238	2¢	$5	0xbe3f1a…
02-19 09:22:16	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 460 479	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0xa01c96…
02-19 07:16:30	will trump say no no no in rome ga on february 19 314	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0xd6a83f…
02-19 06:55:52	spl sha riy 2025 12 20 riy	No	SELL	307	22¢	$68	0x67b1b7…
02-19 01:44:20	will daniel radcliffe say harry potter on hot ones	No	BUY	655	41¢	$269	0x7d3d4b…
02-19 00:30:22	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 460 479	Yes	BUY	192	1¢	$2	0x1f4cb9…
02-19 00:30:04	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 460 479	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x22efc5…
02-19 00:18:52	will trump say no no no in rome ga on february 19 314	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x11cbed…
02-19 00:13:14	will israel strike lebanon on february 23 2026	Yes	BUY	352	39¢	$137	0x9300ce…
02-19 00:05:40	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x877149…
02-19 00:03:56	spl sha riy 2025 12 20 riy	No	BUY	307	78¢	$239	0x12aa76…
02-18 13:12:52	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	SELL	85	94¢	$80	0x9d748b…
02-18 11:01:22	will trump say monroe during the state of the union address 457	Yes	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0xb80b4f…
02-18 10:59:44	will trump say monroe during the state of the union address 457	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x80bf28…
02-18 10:58:20	will trump say monroe during the state of the union address 457	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0xcbe674…
02-18 09:46:36	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	380	73¢	$277	0xa751bc…
02-18 09:38:38	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	96	29¢	$28	0x61d541…
02-18 09:38:14	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	29¢	$14	0x5a8612…
02-18 05:28:52	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 btts	Yes	BUY	170	37¢	$63	0x072d6d…