Absolute-Harmonica — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,516

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-30 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:16:43	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe59bb3…
06-30 18:00:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b7b8d…
06-30 10:12:46	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccee52…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa636c7…
06-30 04:16:11	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1636fd…
06-30 01:50:29	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 spread home 2pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2896e7…
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe937a5…
06-29 19:48:44	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14105b…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94aba9…
06-29 16:24:08	val jl bar 2026 06 29 game1	Barça eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fe994…
06-29 16:05:04	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b438c…
06-29 13:52:41	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f461e…
06-28 20:53:40	mlb phi nym 2026 06 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fb0bc…
06-28 17:22:32	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba0275…
06-28 11:34:50	wta doubles dabrste malesko 2026 06 27	Dabrowski/Stefani	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01a993…
06-28 04:01:44	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c5a59…
06-28 03:01:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ba06f…
06-27 18:41:01	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27 win by submission	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x090655…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39f029…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe3ba4…
06-27 02:05:16	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72bfbf…
06-26 11:53:59	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x114a30…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34553f…
06-25 22:21:04	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 shots leroy sane gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x139e93…
06-25 22:16:16	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x444735…
06-25 02:00:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7b1258…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44c0d6…
06-25 00:06:40	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa45820…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87daf4…
06-24 16:58:17	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3c3dc…
06-24 12:53:23	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43f65d…
06-24 09:08:34	cs2 mana1 hon1 2026 06 24 game1	ex-MANA eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83e8cf…
06-24 03:58:49	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfddaee…
06-23 22:03:08	Arcium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a0c24…
06-23 21:04:41	wti closes above 73 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba8cbc…
06-23 20:00:55	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3eb2e0…
06-23 18:25:05	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6af7b4…
06-23 18:10:41	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b9287…
06-23 02:04:25	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x709195…
06-23 01:00:32	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a67f7…
06-23 00:54:55	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fad7d…
06-21 18:13:07	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e07a8…
06-21 18:12:55	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce8957…
06-20 05:14:14	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa42913…
06-20 02:33:19	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f038e…
06-20 01:49:01	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x021abe…
06-19 15:45:29	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa84485…
06-19 00:04:23	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa06dc6…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d832f…
06-17 19:17:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcab20b…
06-17 19:04:13	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13bc17…
06-17 16:10:02	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21f1dd…
06-17 16:07:44	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc13f41…
06-17 16:06:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71063a…
06-17 12:19:13	cs2 tdk nem 2026 06 17 game1	Team Nemesis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebe487…
06-17 06:19:01	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20a5e0…
06-17 00:03:32	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb17ed…
06-16 14:06:22	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e9ecc…
06-16 12:37:37	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x228a88…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc83bea…
06-15 21:08:51	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb3dd1…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54e3bb…
06-15 12:41:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fa382…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36e0f3…
06-14 19:32:24	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4bf32f…
06-14 19:02:25	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a194a…
06-14 17:38:04	cs2 bb3 vit 2026 06 14 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c99b5…
06-13 11:58:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x046ebe…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf797e6…
06-12 21:03:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2011ed…
06-12 20:26:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x313ac7…
06-12 20:19:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72a648…
06-12 20:17:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60e83d…
06-12 13:30:10	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3cbcec…
06-11 22:13:42	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae71cb…
06-11 21:14:46	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b473a…
06-11 16:53:28	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd405fe…
06-11 16:05:16	will next claude mythos debut on the text arena leaderboard at 1480	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ff107…
06-10 20:16:55	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a67f0…
06-10 20:05:12	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c55ce…
06-10 08:29:34	mlbb dewa geek 2026 06 10	Geek Fam ID	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x078be3…
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x973a49…
06-08 23:26:33	cs2 xi clutch 2026 06 08	XI Esport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8acee2…
06-08 21:37:04	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeeed03…
06-08 12:03:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a09d3…
06-08 04:48:36	pll arc whp 2026 05 30	Maryland Whipsnakes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x520292…
06-07 21:58:13	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92a50c…
06-07 21:09:33	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa618b9…
06-07 19:10:43	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x781609…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd310e8…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8930fd…
06-06 23:10:01	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x074d8e…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37410a…
06-06 13:35:54	pll arc whp 2026 05 30	Maryland Whipsnakes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf80677…
06-06 12:06:03	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c3257…
06-06 11:32:28	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf33b2b…
06-06 11:32:27	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7405ac…
06-06 03:31:18	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 16pt5	Knicks	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5ae7d8…
06-05 20:59:31	mlb sf chc 2026 06 05 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc75c5…
06-05 17:03:39	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbab671…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:10
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 17:41
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
pll arc whp 2026 05 30	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-08 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 03:21
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:55
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:14
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 21:42
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)	3	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 04:33
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:11
cs2 mouz fut 2026 03 13	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-13 22:03
atp schwaer samuel 2026 04 10 first set winner Schwaerzler vs Samuel	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 11:28
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 21:14
highest temperature in chengdu on april 11 2026 25c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 06:07
will canada win the 2026 world baseball classic	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-14 04:28
Kawasaki Frontale vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 12:27
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 17:14