Simplistic-Cardigan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,540

lifetime

Volume

$46.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 05-29 04:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% $-28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772357700	5	$1.2K	909	896	+12	open	—	03-01 09:38
btc updown 15m 1772431200	2	$921	516	514	+3	open	—	03-02 06:09
btc updown 5m 1772354100	7	$820	516	512	+4	open	—	03-01 08:39
btc updown 5m 1772361600	2	$775	480	474	+6	open	—	03-01 10:44
btc updown 15m 1772430300	4	$676	461	457	+5	open	—	03-02 05:54
btc updown 5m 1772427900	4	$658	438	434	+4	open	—	03-02 05:08
btc updown 5m 1772353800	6	$626	491	449	+42	open	—	03-01 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$613	512	512	+0	open	—	05-21 02:40
btc updown 5m 1772355900	3	$602	530	277	+253	open	—	03-01 09:09
btc updown 5m 1772341800	4	$599	410	407	+3	open	—	03-01 05:14
btc updown 5m 1772404200	6	$556	461	456	+5	open	—	03-01 22:34
btc updown 5m 1772356800	4	$553	732	404	+328	open	—	03-01 09:24
btc updown 5m 1772362200	5	$513	975	107	+868	open	—	03-01 10:54
btc updown 5m 1772430300	2	$484	304	303	+1	open	—	03-02 05:46
btc updown 5m 1772403600	7	$477	396	309	+87	open	—	03-01 22:24
btc updown 5m 1772429400	2	$463	260	258	+2	open	—	03-02 05:34
btc updown 5m 1772339700	2	$463	252	251	+1	open	—	03-01 04:39
btc updown 5m 1772344500	3	$450	560	291	+269	open	—	03-01 05:59
btc updown 5m 1772501100	2	$443	230	230	+0	open	—	03-03 01:29
btc updown 15m 1772500500	2	$432	220	220	+0	open	—	03-03 01:28
btc updown 5m 1772338200	6	$429	301	278	+24	open	—	03-01 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	18	$422	317	247	+70	open	—	05-03 22:33
btc updown 5m 1772346300	7	$421	806	62	+744	open	—	03-01 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	14	$418	238	238	+1	open	—	05-21 02:24
btc updown 5m 1772404500	3	$391	358	202	+156	open	—	03-01 22:38
btc updown 5m 1772345400	6	$386	510	147	+363	open	—	03-01 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	24	$378	253	253	+0	Up	+$103	05-08 05:29
btc updown 5m 1772403300	2	$333	207	204	+3	open	—	03-01 22:19
btc updown 5m 1772503200	2	$333	177	176	+0	open	—	03-03 02:03
btc updown 5m 1772426700	2	$330	179	178	+1	open	—	03-02 04:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 04:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x414f50…
05-29 04:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	194	72¢	$140	0xfd61a6…
05-29 04:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	194	37¢	$72	0x3ad61a…
05-29 04:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd4f028…
05-29 04:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x6bfc70…
05-29 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa51f99…
05-29 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9bb48f…
05-29 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8c4737…
05-29 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x739aa3…
05-29 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x71b076…
05-29 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5147b5…
05-29 04:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	98	84¢	$82	0xfe7a0c…
05-29 04:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x442af1…
05-29 04:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x32c312…
05-29 04:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x9e81b8…
05-29 04:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x4e671f…
05-29 04:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x23c851…
05-29 04:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x489a7e…
05-29 04:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	31	87¢	$27	0xe31ad6…
05-29 04:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xdf9f13…
05-29 03:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdc03ef…
05-29 03:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x51e0cd…
05-29 03:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xb169ba…
05-29 03:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xeac569…
05-29 03:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xb1225e…
05-29 03:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x98abc6…
05-27 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	46	57¢	$26	0xea1d3e…
05-27 03:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	93¢	$27	0xb1f583…
05-27 03:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x2d3143…
05-27 03:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0a2382…
05-22 02:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x2b6bae…
05-22 02:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x9706ec…
05-22 02:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	54	73¢	$40	0xb81a71…
05-22 02:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xb5b418…
05-22 02:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	120	67¢	$80	0xb5ac10…
05-22 02:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x8e01fd…
05-22 02:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x533b11…
05-22 02:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xded31f…
05-22 02:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa0107b…
05-22 02:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xb77b6d…
05-22 02:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x57536e…
05-22 01:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	49	69¢	$34	0xd61f5e…
05-22 01:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	114	69¢	$78	0x1173de…
05-22 01:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x28a704…
05-21 02:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	222	97¢	$215	0x49ed4d…
05-21 02:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	61	57¢	$35	0xa950ea…
05-21 02:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xf85ad8…
05-21 02:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xe2a0a6…
05-21 02:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	234	95¢	$223	0x9e30dd…
05-21 02:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	234	53¢	$125	0x82e07f…
05-21 02:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	278	48¢	$134	0xeac836…
05-21 02:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	278	47¢	$131	0x13f5d9…
05-21 02:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	232	59¢	$137	0x769fc5…
05-21 02:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	232	68¢	$158	0x3dd77c…
05-21 02:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0x4bb6f1…
05-21 02:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x253ee1…
05-21 02:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe9075f…
05-21 02:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	159	98¢	$156	0xfe6025…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xef8c5f…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$0	0xc18bdc…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xc05f93…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xb48dda…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xad56ec…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xa3a31a…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x9bd0e5…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x99be0d…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x62e326…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x26135a…
05-21 02:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0x8edda3…
05-21 02:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xf6288f…
05-21 02:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x6d069e…
05-21 02:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	132	99¢	$131	0x54894b…
05-21 02:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	132	87¢	$115	0xc5c3e6…
05-21 02:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	119	98¢	$117	0x11c80e…
05-21 02:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	93	84¢	$78	0xb1be61…
05-21 02:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x00a714…
05-21 02:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	107	94¢	$101	0x97ec8e…
05-21 02:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	107	63¢	$67	0x074b60…
05-21 02:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x35e712…
05-21 01:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	116	70¢	$81	0x3cd6f1…
05-21 01:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0xcfacb9…
05-21 01:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xc14d3f…
05-21 00:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xd2b634…
05-18 01:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x734436…
05-18 00:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x76cb1a…
05-18 00:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	70¢	$18	0x21bdf2…
05-18 00:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	91¢	$19	0xd83f0e…
05-18 00:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$13	0xe918c4…
05-16 23:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	425	55¢	$232	0x34ef0b…
05-16 23:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	97	57¢	$55	0xced05f…
05-16 23:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	99	56¢	$55	0x99b0e5…
05-16 22:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x4b3ed1…
05-16 22:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	127	29¢	$36	0x3999f4…
05-16 22:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x2c8866…
05-16 22:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x1b40c0…
05-15 04:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	98	80¢	$78	0x910847…
05-15 04:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x2ac848…
05-15 04:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xae75ed…
05-14 22:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	201	50¢	$102	0x93ab82…
05-14 22:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0xeb25fe…