Simplistic-Cardigan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,568

lifetime

Volume

$47.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-22 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% $-28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772357700	5	$1.2K	909	896	+12	open	—	03-01 09:38
btc updown 15m 1772431200	2	$921	516	514	+3	open	—	03-02 06:09
btc updown 5m 1772354100	7	$820	516	512	+4	open	—	03-01 08:39
btc updown 5m 1772361600	2	$775	480	474	+6	open	—	03-01 10:44
btc updown 15m 1772430300	4	$676	461	457	+5	open	—	03-02 05:54
btc updown 5m 1772427900	4	$658	438	434	+4	open	—	03-02 05:08
btc updown 5m 1772353800	6	$626	491	449	+42	open	—	03-01 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$613	512	512	+0	open	—	05-21 02:40
btc updown 5m 1772355900	3	$602	530	277	+253	open	—	03-01 09:09
btc updown 5m 1772341800	4	$599	410	407	+3	open	—	03-01 05:14
btc updown 5m 1772404200	6	$556	461	456	+5	open	—	03-01 22:34
btc updown 5m 1772356800	4	$553	732	404	+328	open	—	03-01 09:24
btc updown 5m 1772362200	5	$513	975	107	+868	open	—	03-01 10:54
btc updown 5m 1772430300	2	$484	304	303	+1	open	—	03-02 05:46
btc updown 5m 1772403600	7	$477	396	309	+87	open	—	03-01 22:24
btc updown 5m 1772429400	2	$463	260	258	+2	open	—	03-02 05:34
btc updown 5m 1772339700	2	$463	252	251	+1	open	—	03-01 04:39
btc updown 5m 1772344500	3	$450	560	291	+269	open	—	03-01 05:59
btc updown 5m 1772501100	2	$443	230	230	+0	open	—	03-03 01:29
btc updown 15m 1772500500	2	$432	220	220	+0	open	—	03-03 01:28
btc updown 5m 1772338200	6	$429	301	278	+24	open	—	03-01 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	18	$422	317	247	+70	open	—	05-03 22:33
btc updown 5m 1772346300	7	$421	806	62	+744	open	—	03-01 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	14	$418	238	238	+1	open	—	05-21 02:24
btc updown 5m 1772404500	3	$391	358	202	+156	open	—	03-01 22:38
btc updown 5m 1772345400	6	$386	510	147	+363	open	—	03-01 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	24	$378	253	253	+0	Up	+$103	05-08 05:29
btc updown 5m 1772403300	2	$333	207	204	+3	open	—	03-01 22:19
btc updown 5m 1772503200	2	$333	177	176	+0	open	—	03-03 02:03
btc updown 5m 1772426700	2	$330	179	178	+1	open	—	03-02 04:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 02:50:02	btc updown 5m 1782096600	Up	BUY	174	53¢	$91	0x6b5907…
06-22 02:46:19	btc updown 5m 1782096300	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x08abca…
06-22 02:44:19	btc updown 5m 1782096000	Down	SELL	108	97¢	$105	0x071dec…
06-22 02:42:26	btc updown 5m 1782096000	Down	BUY	108	56¢	$61	0x80c5b5…
06-14 04:13:01	btc updown 5m 1781410200	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xa73517…
06-13 04:35:13	btc updown 5m 1781325300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb43bee…
06-13 04:35:12	btc updown 5m 1781325300	Down	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0xfbd2e3…
06-13 04:35:12	btc updown 5m 1781325300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd6fc2e…
06-13 04:35:12	btc updown 5m 1781325300	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcd884a…
06-13 04:35:12	btc updown 5m 1781325300	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xc4acb6…
06-13 04:35:12	btc updown 5m 1781325300	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbc5d4c…
06-13 04:35:12	btc updown 5m 1781325300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7d060d…
06-13 04:35:12	btc updown 5m 1781325300	Down	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x61eec5…
06-13 04:35:12	btc updown 5m 1781325300	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x305466…
06-13 04:25:01	btc updown 5m 1781324700	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x6046ec…
06-13 04:21:48	btc updown 5m 1781324400	Up	SELL	50	83¢	$41	0x222695…
06-13 04:20:18	btc updown 5m 1781324400	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb85d71…
06-13 04:20:18	btc updown 5m 1781324400	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xb7bb8a…
06-13 04:20:18	btc updown 5m 1781324400	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x846a18…
06-13 04:20:18	btc updown 5m 1781324400	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x657ce5…
06-13 04:20:18	btc updown 5m 1781324400	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x42d6e7…
06-13 04:19:12	btc updown 5m 1781324100	Up	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x456d2e…
06-13 04:16:54	btc updown 5m 1781324100	Up	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0xd36ac7…
06-13 04:14:27	btc updown 5m 1781323800	Up	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x30677d…
06-13 04:10:40	btc updown 5m 1781323800	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x58f97a…
06-13 04:09:06	btc updown 5m 1781323500	Down	SELL	109	95¢	$103	0x1b3a21…
06-13 04:05:39	btc updown 5m 1781323500	Down	BUY	109	74¢	$80	0x24d278…
06-13 04:02:46	btc updown 5m 1781323200	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xbdb3e5…
05-29 04:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x414f50…
05-29 04:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	194	72¢	$140	0xfd61a6…
05-29 04:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	194	37¢	$72	0x3ad61a…
05-29 04:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd4f028…
05-29 04:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x6bfc70…
05-29 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa51f99…
05-29 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9bb48f…
05-29 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8c4737…
05-29 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x739aa3…
05-29 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x71b076…
05-29 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5147b5…
05-29 04:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	98	84¢	$82	0xfe7a0c…
05-29 04:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x442af1…
05-29 04:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x32c312…
05-29 04:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x9e81b8…
05-29 04:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x4e671f…
05-29 04:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x23c851…
05-29 04:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x489a7e…
05-29 04:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	31	87¢	$27	0xe31ad6…
05-29 04:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xdf9f13…
05-29 03:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdc03ef…
05-29 03:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x51e0cd…
05-29 03:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xb169ba…
05-29 03:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xeac569…
05-29 03:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xb1225e…
05-29 03:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x98abc6…
05-27 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	46	57¢	$26	0xea1d3e…
05-27 03:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	93¢	$27	0xb1f583…
05-27 03:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x2d3143…
05-27 03:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0a2382…
05-22 02:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x2b6bae…
05-22 02:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x9706ec…
05-22 02:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	54	73¢	$40	0xb81a71…
05-22 02:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xb5b418…
05-22 02:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	120	67¢	$80	0xb5ac10…
05-22 02:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x8e01fd…
05-22 02:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x533b11…
05-22 02:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xded31f…
05-22 02:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa0107b…
05-22 02:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xb77b6d…
05-22 02:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x57536e…
05-22 01:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	49	69¢	$34	0xd61f5e…
05-22 01:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	114	69¢	$78	0x1173de…
05-22 01:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x28a704…
05-21 02:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	222	97¢	$215	0x49ed4d…
05-21 02:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	61	57¢	$35	0xa950ea…
05-21 02:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xf85ad8…
05-21 02:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xe2a0a6…
05-21 02:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	234	95¢	$223	0x9e30dd…
05-21 02:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	234	53¢	$125	0x82e07f…
05-21 02:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	278	48¢	$134	0xeac836…
05-21 02:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	278	47¢	$131	0x13f5d9…
05-21 02:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	232	59¢	$137	0x769fc5…
05-21 02:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	232	68¢	$158	0x3dd77c…
05-21 02:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0x4bb6f1…
05-21 02:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x253ee1…
05-21 02:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe9075f…
05-21 02:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	159	98¢	$156	0xfe6025…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xef8c5f…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$0	0xc18bdc…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xc05f93…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xb48dda…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xad56ec…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xa3a31a…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x9bd0e5…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x99be0d…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x62e326…
05-21 02:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x26135a…
05-21 02:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0x8edda3…
05-21 02:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xf6288f…
05-21 02:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x6d069e…
05-21 02:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	132	99¢	$131	0x54894b…