Bowed-Sunrise — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

48 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$29

$24.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$514

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-08 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$11

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	05-05 09:21
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No		+1	$1	94¢	$1	$0	05-04 06:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 1450 on july 11	1	$2.0K	2,039	+2,039	No	+$4	07-12 03:37
ethereum above 1900 on july 11 2026	1	$2.0K	2,035	+2,035	No	+$4	07-11 07:30
will ethereum reach 1850 on july 10	1	$2.0K	2,031	+2,031	No	+$4	07-11 02:39
xrp above 1pt3 on july 10 2026	1	$2.0K	2,028	+2,028	No	+$4	07-10 08:32
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 9	1	$2.0K	2,024	+2,024	No	+$4	07-10 02:58
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 9?	1	$2.0K	2,020	+2,020	No	+$4	07-09 07:50
ethereum above 3000 on february 2	1	$1.0K	1,042	+1,042	No	+$1	02-02 01:07
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	1	$1.0K	1,052	+1,052	No	+$12	02-03 07:22
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3300 on february 1	1	$1.0K	1,040	+1,040	No	+$1	02-01 03:18
will the price of xrp be between 2pt30 2pt40 on january 31	1	$1.0K	1,039	+1,039	No	+$1	01-31 04:08
will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 30	1	$1.0K	1,037	+1,037	No	+$2	01-30 02:22
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	1	$1.0K	1,035	+1,035	No	+$1	01-29 01:51
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	1	$1.0K	1,034	+1,034	No	+$1	01-28 02:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 27	1	$1.0K	1,033	+1,033	No	+$2	01-27 02:00
ethereum above 3300 on january 26	1	$1.0K	1,031	+1,031	No	+$1	01-26 01:51
bitcoin above 94k on january 25	1	$1.0K	1,030	+1,030	No	+$2	01-25 03:07
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$1.0K	1,027	+1,027	No	+$3	01-24 03:32
will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	1	$1.0K	1,025	+1,025	No	+$1	01-23 04:06
bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	08-12 05:02
bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	1	$14	14	+14	Yes	+$0	07-30 07:12
bitcoin above 60k on august 8 2026	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	08-07 05:44
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	07-02 08:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 26?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	07-25 03:34
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 6	5	$5	5,181	+5,181	No	-$5	01-06 01:01
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-10 13:14
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	06-21 05:07
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-22 08:20
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-13 06:18
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-21 05:03
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	06-26 06:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 08:28:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x38ba99…
08-12 05:02:45	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe755dc…
08-07 05:44:19	bitcoin above 60k on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4894f0…
07-30 07:12:41	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb2f8f7…
07-25 03:34:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xae99ae…
07-15 02:01:17	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 14	Yes	BUY	2,046	0¢	$4	0x03be04…
07-14 02:16:01	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 13	Yes	BUY	2,034	0¢	$4	0x83f3b4…
07-13 08:01:29	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	2,005	0¢	$4	0x1fd2e8…
07-12 03:37:37	will ethereum dip to 1450 on july 11	No	BUY	2,039	100¢	$2,035	0x0f624f…
07-11 07:30:43	ethereum above 1900 on july 11 2026	No	BUY	2,035	100¢	$2,031	0xccd684…
07-11 02:39:10	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 10	No	BUY	2,031	100¢	$2,027	0xeb2dd4…
07-10 08:32:34	xrp above 1pt3 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	2,028	100¢	$2,024	0xd9ebf3…
07-10 02:58:07	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 9	No	BUY	2,024	100¢	$2,020	0x4dc578…
07-09 07:50:05	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 9?	No	BUY	2,020	100¢	$2,016	0xb0a2c3…
07-07 08:44:07	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on July 7?	Yes	BUY	2,057	0¢	$4	0xfff3a6…
07-06 02:10:58	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 5	Yes	BUY	2,060	0¢	$4	0xac97f9…
07-02 08:43:46	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb99bc9…
06-26 06:07:31	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97be8c…
06-21 05:07:20	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa24eb0…
05-21 05:03:09	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6f65cb…
05-13 06:18:39	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x94f5d8…
05-05 09:21:34	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9388d6…
05-04 06:31:42	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f85c1…
04-22 08:20:10	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7114a3…
04-10 13:14:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa2634e…
03-17 02:05:51	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$2	0x255c57…
03-07 01:34:33	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	No	BUY	1,071	0¢	$2	0xae2a81…
03-05 02:01:55	xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	Yes	BUY	1,068	0¢	$2	0xd52c41…
02-27 09:37:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,053	0¢	$3	0xcef2c8…
02-23 04:13:16	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 23	Yes	BUY	1,083	0¢	$2	0xe24fc0…
02-13 02:32:13	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,058	0¢	$4	0xf329db…
02-03 07:22:54	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	No	BUY	1,052	99¢	$1,040	0xaaf5c4…
02-02 01:07:42	ethereum above 3000 on february 2	No	BUY	1,042	100¢	$1,040	0xcaf218…
02-01 03:18:18	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3300 on february 1	No	BUY	1,040	100¢	$1,039	0x53fcb0…
01-31 04:08:30	will the price of xrp be between 2pt30 2pt40 on january 31	No	BUY	1,039	100¢	$1,038	0x772e99…
01-30 02:22:08	will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 30	No	BUY	1,037	100¢	$1,035	0xfa51ce…
01-29 01:51:22	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	No	BUY	1,035	100¢	$1,034	0x1ad250…
01-28 02:41:33	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,034	100¢	$1,033	0xff959a…
01-27 02:00:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 27	No	BUY	1,033	100¢	$1,031	0x857dda…
01-26 01:51:16	ethereum above 3300 on january 26	No	BUY	1,031	100¢	$1,030	0x9c62c2…
01-25 03:07:38	bitcoin above 94k on january 25	No	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,028	0xfc3168…
01-24 03:32:12	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	No	BUY	1,027	100¢	$1,024	0x1f0ec5…
01-23 04:06:14	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	No	BUY	1,025	100¢	$1,024	0x712d5c…
01-06 01:01:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,037	0¢	$1	0xc0d575…
01-06 01:00:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,036	0¢	$1	0x08421c…
01-06 00:58:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,036	0¢	$1	0x1397dc…
01-06 00:57:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,036	0¢	$1	0x7ff12a…
01-06 00:54:51	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,037	0¢	$1	0xdfa18a…