Firm-Council — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

1,332

Trades

2,896

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-01 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 54% +$9

Other

3% 51% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	6	$30	20	20	+0	Up	$0	09-18 21:14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	8	$25	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	09-18 15:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:05 UTC	11	$24	18	15	+3	Down	$0	09-29 23:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:15 UTC	2	$24	16	16	+0	Down	+$6	03-11 00:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 00:45 UTC	4	$19	11	10	+1	Down	+$1	09-25 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 09:40 UTC	2	$19	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	03-11 09:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:00 UTC	5	$17	22	8	+14	Up	-$1	09-30 21:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:40 UTC	2	$17	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	03-10 21:44
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$16	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-01 14:40
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:20 UTC	4	$16	13	11	+2	Down	+$4	04-23 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 06:15 UTC	3	$15	16	7	+9	Down	+$5	04-19 06:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:35 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	-$3	03-10 22:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	7	$15	12	12	+0	Down	-$1	09-30 21:43
Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	7	$14	9	9	+0	Down	$0	09-18 21:18
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:15 UTC	8	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	09-20 01:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 09:25 UTC	5	$13	12	3	+9	Up	-$1	04-19 09:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	5	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	10-02 00:22
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 00:15 UTC	5	$12	18	12	+6	Down	-$4	09-15 00:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:45 UTC	2	$12	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	03-11 19:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 01:20 UTC	2	$11	16	0	+16	Down	+$5	03-11 01:23
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$11	0	16	-16	Down	+$3	05-05 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 13:00 UTC	9	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	09-27 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$10	14	0	+14	Down	-$1	10-01 21:29
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	10	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	09-05 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:45 UTC	3	$10	9	8	+1	Down	-$1	03-11 19:49
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$10	0	14	-14	Down	+$4	05-06 07:14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	6	$9	8	4	+4	Up	-$1	09-18 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$9	0	16	-16	Up	+$1	05-03 23:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:20 UTC	2	$9	13	13	+0	Up	-$7	03-11 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:50 UTC	1	$9	16	0	+16	Down	+$7	03-10 22:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 23:23:57	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x117652…
11-01 23:22:39	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2f0654…
11-01 23:02:04	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xdd662e…
11-01 23:00:27	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf349d5…
11-01 22:48:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xe6944f…
11-01 22:48:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x49b5f7…
11-01 22:47:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd7f043…
11-01 22:47:06	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x4e7dba…
11-01 22:46:46	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x2ee722…
11-01 22:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc6df24…
11-01 22:43:09	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xfe2909…
11-01 22:42:49	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x7a1731…
11-01 22:42:18	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdd465b…
11-01 22:41:34	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x5cea67…
11-01 22:41:13	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa47745…
11-01 22:39:57	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5fa1a6…
11-01 21:12:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xfa798f…
11-01 21:11:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xac7a7b…
11-01 21:11:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd0c040…
11-01 20:57:51	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0b2890…
11-01 20:05:52	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x1165b8…
11-01 20:05:46	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x5a00dc…
11-01 20:05:28	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7dabb0…
11-01 20:02:31	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfec947…
11-01 19:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7589ac…
11-01 19:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x6634f3…
11-01 19:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x66f85d…
11-01 19:19:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$0	0x80f92a…
11-01 19:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x791bb4…
11-01 19:17:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xb534bb…
11-01 19:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x2d5e20…
11-01 19:16:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x4988d3…
11-01 19:15:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf7ca44…
11-01 19:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3b1302…
11-01 19:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x67733a…
11-01 19:10:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdd2bd3…
11-01 18:47:49	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xcf39b4…
11-01 18:47:25	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xc02d09…
11-01 18:45:01	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaf0449…
11-01 18:44:36	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb219b0…
11-01 18:42:45	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xeb7c5a…
11-01 18:26:37	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7c5147…
11-01 18:21:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xc1e5a0…
11-01 18:20:15	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6f22d4…
11-01 18:11:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xe35174…
11-01 18:11:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x68a70d…
11-01 18:10:22	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x004c65…
11-01 18:09:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x99ede3…
11-01 18:07:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x17720d…
11-01 18:07:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xfc2170…
11-01 18:05:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xd23fbe…
11-01 18:03:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x4bba9b…
10-02 00:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbd6ee9…
10-02 00:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x773467…
10-02 00:22:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x4cf5cb…
10-02 00:21:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0x434250…
10-02 00:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1fd49e…
10-02 00:21:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7e5eb6…
10-02 00:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x710c7d…
10-02 00:19:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xb1ab65…
10-02 00:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xfabd51…
10-02 00:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb59840…
10-02 00:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x43526d…
10-02 00:15:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfe0775…
10-01 23:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x09b4fb…
10-01 23:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xba47dc…
10-01 23:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x8ee2aa…
10-01 23:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2c3eb8…
10-01 23:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x267df7…
10-01 21:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x124298…
10-01 21:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x81db6a…
10-01 21:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x682dde…
10-01 21:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x03c039…
10-01 21:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xde1612…
10-01 21:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x76a7da…
10-01 21:33:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2cb272…
10-01 21:33:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0203a8…
10-01 21:33:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8b2a85…
10-01 21:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcb9a67…
10-01 21:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x3ec689…
10-01 21:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x99c4ca…
10-01 21:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb8ff6d…
10-01 21:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc7a3d7…
10-01 21:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x137012…
10-01 21:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1faa50…
09-30 21:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xcb190e…
09-30 21:52:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xceb93f…
09-30 21:50:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xecc3fa…
09-30 21:50:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xccd888…
09-30 21:49:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xce1668…
09-30 21:49:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x481c20…
09-30 21:48:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x718a77…
09-30 21:48:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xeef0d9…
09-30 21:47:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x8b5609…
09-30 21:47:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xc1f10a…
09-30 21:47:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x131e4f…
09-30 21:46:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2cbcfa…
09-30 21:43:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd28d84…
09-30 21:43:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x50a312…
09-30 21:43:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5dff3e…