Somber-Thief — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$22.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$296

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 09-09 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% -$11

Other

0% 89% -$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 16	1	$1.1K	1,129	0	+1,129	No	+$2	03-16 07:24
will ethereum dip to 1600 march 9 15	1	$1.1K	1,128	0	+1,128	No	+$2	03-15 01:24
will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 14	1	$1.1K	1,125	0	+1,125	No	+$2	03-14 02:27
ethereum above 2400 on march 13	1	$1.1K	1,123	0	+1,123	No	+$2	03-13 02:14
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	1	$1.1K	1,121	0	+1,121	No	+$3	03-12 02:59
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	1	$1.1K	1,117	0	+1,117	No	+$3	03-11 02:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 10	1	$1.1K	1,114	0	+1,114	No	+$3	03-10 02:01
ethereum above 1700 on march 9	1	$1.1K	1,110	0	+1,110	Yes	+$2	03-09 07:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	1	$1.1K	1,108	0	+1,108	No	+$3	03-08 03:02
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 7	1	$1.1K	1,104	0	+1,104	No	+$2	03-07 03:06
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	1	$1.1K	1,102	0	+1,102	No	+$3	03-06 10:05
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 5	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$3	03-05 04:31
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	1	$1.1K	1,096	0	+1,096	No	+$3	03-04 03:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	1	$1.1K	1,092	0	+1,092	No	+$3	03-03 03:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	1	$1.1K	1,089	0	+1,089	No	+$2	03-02 03:28
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	1	$1.1K	1,087	0	+1,087	No	+$2	03-01 06:52
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 28	1	$1.1K	1,085	0	+1,085	No	+$3	02-28 03:45
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	No	+$4	02-27 03:55
ethereum above 1500 on february 25	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	Yes	+$2	02-25 03:32
bitcoin above 58k on february 24	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	Yes	+$4	02-24 07:16
ethereum above 2400 on february 6	3	$12	1,125	1,125	+0	No	-$1	02-06 02:58
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	1	$12	1,066	0	+1,066	No	-$12	02-03 09:01
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	+$0	01-27 03:50
bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-07 10:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	3	$10	3,339	0	+3,339	No	-$10	02-21 02:36
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	08-06 03:49
bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	08-20 03:37
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	07-13 08:35
bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	07-01 08:47
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	07-24 07:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 03:47:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x971102…
08-20 03:37:03	bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdd4a3…
08-11 05:27:48	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb77e85…
08-06 03:49:08	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ed1e3…
07-30 03:18:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5af84c…
07-24 07:54:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x782b9b…
07-13 08:35:23	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2ef21c…
07-07 10:54:19	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x361915…
07-01 08:47:55	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf75b3e…
06-25 05:46:26	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe18943…
06-20 08:00:07	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x48ad87…
06-12 04:26:07	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x5bb6a1…
06-12 04:26:06	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x823d32…
06-12 04:26:06	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x134572…
06-12 04:26:03	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x52917b…
06-12 04:25:31	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xc94f7c…
06-12 04:25:30	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xcb36e0…
06-12 04:25:30	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3474bf…
06-12 04:25:27	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd84b80…
06-12 04:25:22	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xb91026…
06-12 04:25:21	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xf1ff91…
06-12 04:25:21	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xd37abd…
06-12 04:25:21	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x84b293…
06-12 04:25:19	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6ec426…
06-12 04:25:19	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0x038283…
05-26 12:29:46	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbb8b6c…
05-19 06:38:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7ed533…
05-12 09:29:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x59f636…
05-04 02:43:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb261d1…
04-17 02:36:24	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe0bec7…
03-29 03:04:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	1,102	0¢	$2	0x76c756…
03-26 01:26:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	1,120	0¢	$3	0xccc29a…
03-26 01:26:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6c12f8…
03-24 02:15:47	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	Yes	BUY	1,132	0¢	$2	0x206ff2…
03-22 01:12:49	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	Yes	BUY	1,104	0¢	$2	0xe1b1bf…
03-20 03:05:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	1,115	0¢	$4	0x491908…
03-18 02:17:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 18	Yes	BUY	1,124	0¢	$4	0xdb4d31…
03-16 07:24:25	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 16	No	BUY	1,129	100¢	$1,127	0x914644…
03-15 01:24:45	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 9 15	No	BUY	1,128	100¢	$1,125	0x664f4a…
03-14 02:27:57	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 14	No	BUY	1,125	100¢	$1,123	0x096f2b…
03-13 02:14:55	ethereum above 2400 on march 13	No	BUY	1,123	100¢	$1,121	0xbcfc93…
03-12 02:59:27	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	No	BUY	1,121	100¢	$1,117	0x6ac8ff…
03-11 02:53:43	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	No	BUY	1,117	100¢	$1,114	0xef0604…
03-10 02:01:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 10	No	BUY	1,114	100¢	$1,110	0xe32a52…
03-09 07:21:05	ethereum above 1700 on march 9	Yes	BUY	1,110	100¢	$1,108	0x155742…
03-08 03:02:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	No	BUY	1,108	100¢	$1,104	0x7ef237…
03-07 03:06:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 7	No	BUY	1,104	100¢	$1,102	0x716907…
03-06 10:05:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	No	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,099	0x2af716…
03-05 04:31:01	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 5	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,096	0x1aaa00…
03-04 03:53:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	No	BUY	1,096	100¢	$1,093	0x4fb9d0…
03-03 03:00:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	No	BUY	1,092	100¢	$1,089	0x1534e4…
03-02 03:28:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	No	BUY	1,089	100¢	$1,087	0x807569…
03-01 06:52:55	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	No	BUY	1,087	100¢	$1,085	0x277f6c…
02-28 03:45:15	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 28	No	BUY	1,085	100¢	$1,082	0x87278d…
02-27 03:55:52	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,077	0xd2c40c…
02-25 03:32:20	ethereum above 1500 on february 25	Yes	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,072	0x6d7bfb…
02-24 07:16:58	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	Yes	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,068	0x97a360…
02-21 02:36:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	Yes	BUY	1,105	0¢	$3	0xdaf2e0…
02-21 02:35:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	Yes	BUY	1,099	0¢	$3	0x6ac908…
02-21 02:34:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	Yes	BUY	1,134	0¢	$3	0x0babfc…
02-14 08:26:31	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,136	0¢	$5	0x7f0145…
02-10 01:36:39	xrp above 1pt9 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,113	1¢	$7	0x5186df…
02-08 01:34:03	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	Yes	BUY	1,100	1¢	$9	0xb0c574…
02-06 02:58:35	ethereum above 2400 on february 6	Yes	SELL	493	0¢	$2	0x71a925…
02-06 02:53:19	ethereum above 2400 on february 6	Yes	SELL	632	0¢	$3	0xf45217…
02-06 02:19:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,084	1¢	$7	0xc41eb4…
02-06 02:13:01	ethereum above 2400 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,125	1¢	$7	0x60a1d3…
02-03 09:01:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	Yes	BUY	1,066	1¢	$12	0xd5d11d…
02-02 09:39:10	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x681808…
01-31 06:11:50	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x33218e…
01-30 07:34:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0dda89…
01-29 05:42:52	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x94bdb0…
01-27 03:50:39	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7627da…
01-26 08:31:43	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfc99cc…
01-26 03:59:26	will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt50 on january 26	Yes	BUY	1,059	0¢	$1	0x898076…