Plain-Quiche — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$384

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

401

Trades

872

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-24 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Sports

57% 67% -$184

Crypto

23% 76% -$26

Other

14% 69% -$46

Politics

7% 50% -$130

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	10	$400	626	500	+126	No	-$75	05-29 07:13
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	11	$369	586	357	+229	Yes	-$197	04-26 02:00
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	9	$323	197	197	+0	No	+$57	04-24 05:17
nba phx ind 2026 03 12	4	$295	155	155	+0	Suns	+$16	03-13 01:28
nba cle orl 2026 03 11	4	$282	191	191	+0	Magic	-$5	03-12 02:08
nba hou den 2026 03 11	2	$260	149	149	+0	Nuggets	+$37	03-12 04:12
nba den sas 2026 03 12	4	$226	240	240	+0	Nuggets	-$181	03-13 03:28
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	10	$182	242	242	+0	No	+$55	05-26 15:50
nba den okc 2026 03 09	3	$175	94	94	+0	Thunder	+$12	03-10 02:42
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)	4	$155	183	37	+146	Lakers	+$63	04-25 02:41
nba den lal 2026 03 14	6	$150	165	165	+0	Lakers	-$66	03-15 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	11	$149	79	79	+0	Yes	+$8	05-27 15:27
nba sas det 2026 02 23 spread home 2pt5	2	$133	86	86	+0	Spurs	+$39	02-24 03:14
Rockets vs. Spurs	1	$133	225	0	+225	Rockets	-$133	10-24 03:00
nba lac mem 2026 03 07 spread away 7pt5	2	$130	84	84	+0	Grizzlies	+$37	03-08 03:58
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	6	$124	204	202	+2	Yes	-$1	04-24 13:47
nba sas lac 2026 03 16	3	$124	101	45	+56	Spurs	+$15	03-17 04:08
nba bos lal 2026 02 22	5	$123	161	161	+0	Celtics	-$32	02-23 01:29
nba bos mem 2026 03 20	2	$122	71	71	+0	Celtics	+$20	03-21 02:26
nba phx min 2026 03 17	2	$122	62	62	+0	Timberwolves	+$1	03-18 02:33
nba phx tor 2026 03 13	2	$118	102	102	+0	Raptors	-$32	03-14 01:50
nba bos cle 2026 03 08	4	$117	72	72	+0	Celtics	+$26	03-08 22:03
nba okc orl 2026 03 17	3	$116	61	61	+0	Thunder	+$5	03-18 01:45
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$103	58	58	-0	No	+$10	04-22 03:55
nba min lal 2026 03 10	3	$100	137	0	+137	Lakers	+$36	03-11 04:49
nba por sas 2026 04 19	2	$100	52	52	+0	Spurs	+$3	04-20 03:09
wbc cht jap 2026 03 06	2	$100	52	52	+0	Japan	+$5	03-06 11:47
nba gsw det 2026 03 20 spread home 4pt5	4	$97	51	51	+0	Pistons	+$5	03-21 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 28?	4	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$4	05-28 06:10
nba ind lal 2026 03 06	2	$95	53	53	+0	Lakers	+$12	03-07 05:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 03:00:14	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	225	59¢	$133	0xe67638…
06-02 10:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x124943…
06-02 10:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1f82e2…
06-02 09:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4eaaae…
06-02 09:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xafbeb7…
06-02 09:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa34601…
06-02 09:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x97490a…
06-02 09:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x962cfa…
06-02 09:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xd0c519…
06-02 09:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe4e68d…
06-02 09:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x0e7e89…
06-02 09:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0e3ced…
06-02 09:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4cf481…
06-02 09:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8a6aeb…
06-02 09:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x54ef1a…
06-02 09:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xfca1fb…
06-02 09:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x6575dd…
06-02 09:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x74b281…
06-02 09:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x6c8e9c…
06-02 09:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd8b9ee…
06-02 06:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0xd06c73…
06-02 06:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xddc6d3…
06-02 06:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9c6be4…
06-02 06:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x7ca7b8…
06-02 06:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x876f54…
06-02 05:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xaf8ffb…
06-02 05:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xd4b257…
06-02 05:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5fde54…
06-02 05:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x044745…
05-29 07:13:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xfedd72…
05-29 01:49:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	77¢	$66	0x7e9d58…
05-29 01:43:37	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0xe1844e…
05-29 01:35:15	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0x128e19…
05-29 00:52:56	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x6876cc…
05-29 00:48:00	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xaf96b2…
05-28 17:49:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	65¢	$105	0x439272…
05-28 09:06:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x73bd42…
05-28 07:47:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	57¢	$86	0x50a4a7…
05-28 07:47:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2729a1…
05-28 06:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 28?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xbedb9b…
05-28 06:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 28?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x605d34…
05-28 05:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 28?	No	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0xd99a9b…
05-28 03:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xc737ac…
05-28 03:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3a91e7…
05-28 03:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x84c956…
05-28 02:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 28?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$19	0xc54f4e…
05-28 02:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 28?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$15	0x98b2d6…
05-28 02:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x07e957…
05-28 02:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xba7eff…
05-27 16:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	338	17¢	$58	0x32b31f…
05-27 15:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc04ed2…
05-27 13:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xea1d1a…
05-27 13:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xede2e3…
05-27 12:46:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd447a3…
05-27 12:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$33	0xd225a6…
05-27 11:34:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	15¢	$15	0x4788c3…
05-27 06:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	19	88¢	$16	0x23d2b1…
05-27 06:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe4fbfc…
05-27 06:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xa87d75…
05-27 05:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x6e82cb…
05-27 05:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x94bcdc…
05-27 05:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x6c38f4…
05-27 03:09:39	Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	Thunder	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x1c037b…
05-27 03:09:36	Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	Thunder	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xa5cc9e…
05-27 03:08:42	Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	Thunder	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x808f3b…
05-27 02:18:25	Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	Thunder	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x691c4e…
05-26 15:50:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x189134…
05-26 15:44:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6f6319…
05-26 15:25:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x12352c…
05-26 15:11:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x6a167c…
05-26 14:09:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0xa1b3a8…
05-26 13:49:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9fcb89…
05-26 13:28:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xbbe535…
05-26 13:27:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0xfa8342…
05-26 13:27:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	40¢	$35	0x4df255…
05-26 11:49:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	26¢	$29	0xeb70b1…
05-07 03:26:41	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	49	86¢	$42	0x25755f…
05-07 03:17:47	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x144b23…
05-07 03:00:59	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb5286c…
05-07 02:04:08	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x4ebcaa…
05-07 02:04:06	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xce487f…
05-07 01:54:15	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xcc3f2b…
05-06 23:57:24	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0x501374…
05-06 14:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfde5f4…
05-06 13:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x2aa100…
05-06 13:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	40¢	$5	0x889a8d…
05-06 13:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x1060eb…
05-06 13:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x823932…
05-06 13:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xaf5079…
05-06 13:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfbf888…
05-06 13:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe4ba9a…
05-06 13:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x04f136…
05-06 11:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcadb2d…
05-06 11:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x43d5d7…
05-06 11:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9737da…
05-06 11:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xcf1420…
05-06 11:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcc823f…
05-06 03:03:36	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x392b2d…
05-06 03:01:18	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x4acf44…
05-06 02:14:34	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0xb2f081…