Informal-Biopsy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

Trades

479

lifetime

Volume

$3.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 05-24 04:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% $-19

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775694600	4	$135	80	79	+2	open	—	04-09 00:43
xrp updown 15m 1775692800	2	$122	63	62	+0	open	—	04-09 00:14
btc updown 5m 1772691000	2	$66	94	0	+94	open	—	03-05 06:12
btc updown 15m 1775446200	3	$58	43	41	+2	open	—	04-06 03:42
btc updown 5m 1772689200	4	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	03-05 05:44
btc updown 15m 1772778600	3	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	03-06 06:42
btc updown 15m 1772776800	4	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	03-06 06:14
btc updown 15m 1772802900	3	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	03-06 13:27
btc updown 15m 1772779500	4	$41	42	27	+16	open	—	03-06 06:53
btc updown 15m 1772781300	3	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	03-06 07:24
btc updown 15m 1772775900	3	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	03-06 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	6	$30	49	0	+49	Up	$-30	05-13 03:59
btc updown 5m 1772685000	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	03-05 04:33
btc updown 15m 1772780400	3	$26	27	27	+0	open	—	03-06 07:11
btc updown 15m 1772811900	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	03-06 15:55
btc updown 15m 1775371500	4	$25	31	20	+10	open	—	04-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 02:33
btc updown 15m 1774921500	3	$24	32	12	+20	open	—	03-31 01:57
btc updown 5m 1773837900	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	03-18 12:50
btc updown 5m 1773834900	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	03-18 11:59
btc updown 5m 1773837300	3	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	03-18 12:39
btc updown 5m 1773843000	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-18 14:13
btc updown 15m 1772777700	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-06 06:26
btc updown 5m 1772688900	3	$21	62	16	+46	open	—	03-05 05:39
btc updown 5m 1773830100	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-18 10:39
btc updown 5m 1773839700	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-18 13:19
btc updown 5m 1773843900	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-18 14:29
btc updown 15m 1772812800	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-06 16:14
btc updown 15m 1772773200	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	03-06 05:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 04:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xde8d9d…
05-24 04:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x9b9ff8…
05-24 04:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x1f6480…
05-24 04:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf027ce…
05-24 04:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x75fb09…
05-24 04:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x90b01f…
05-24 04:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x60c4e8…
05-24 04:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xaf031e…
05-24 04:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe19bcf…
05-24 04:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x973563…
05-24 04:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x316a1d…
05-24 04:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xfb516a…
05-24 04:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x6fd1f1…
05-24 04:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xa219c4…
05-24 04:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x68ea9c…
05-24 04:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0500c9…
05-24 04:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6ab7f4…
05-24 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x72ba8a…
05-24 03:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xfa8585…
05-13 03:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd37618…
05-13 03:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc66d38…
05-13 03:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x30f85f…
05-13 03:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x34b17d…
05-13 03:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5e0399…
05-13 03:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x118046…
05-13 03:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x32b4b6…
05-13 03:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x881122…
05-13 03:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc8a6ab…
05-13 03:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x407328…
05-13 03:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4a9e2f…
05-13 03:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x2487b7…
05-13 03:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x258858…
05-13 03:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x5c4882…
05-13 03:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc505cc…
05-13 03:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xf72e9d…
05-13 03:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x447a43…
05-13 03:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x21997a…
05-13 03:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc83144…
05-13 03:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xfc9ce2…
05-13 03:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xd1253b…
05-13 03:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x5bda9b…
05-13 03:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x2e406c…
05-13 03:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x906d15…
05-13 03:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x36d2a9…
05-13 03:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x320fd3…
05-13 02:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe01d1f…
05-13 02:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xcb0bfb…
05-13 02:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa925bb…
05-13 02:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x315436…
05-13 02:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x870b66…
05-13 02:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6fda00…
05-13 02:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfbdff9…
05-13 02:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x964440…
05-13 02:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xeadbca…
05-13 02:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd80130…
05-13 02:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc1cb1b…
05-13 02:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xd2ded8…
05-13 02:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x79af09…
05-13 02:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd8ad51…
05-13 02:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbff580…
05-13 02:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc4e460…
05-13 02:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x49bd37…
05-13 02:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7c43df…
05-13 02:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x37bc7c…
05-13 02:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xedf3b9…
05-13 02:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x783397…
05-13 02:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x78d1be…
05-13 02:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x60fc8a…
05-13 02:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe16c72…
05-13 02:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xeac34a…
05-13 01:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x518bb4…
05-13 01:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd999cc…
05-13 01:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa670ae…
05-06 01:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x68a07d…
05-06 01:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa2f1ce…
05-06 01:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0884e4…
05-06 00:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbb0c1b…
05-06 00:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe61c1d…
05-06 00:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa680b2…
05-06 00:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x9bd249…
05-06 00:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x949f16…
05-06 00:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x925c42…
05-06 00:40:36	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xfadef3…
05-06 00:38:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6e8445…
05-06 00:37:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x66b029…
05-06 00:30:50	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x922c87…
05-06 00:26:38	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xf1f205…
05-06 00:26:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8736e3…
05-06 00:25:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x46bf1a…
05-06 00:20:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x082fc5…
05-06 00:16:14	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x01c1e4…
05-06 00:15:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x256241…
05-06 00:14:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x79e3cc…
05-06 00:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4732c7…
05-06 00:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd00332…
05-06 00:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5ed372…
05-06 00:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8cc93d…
05-06 00:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x582065…
05-06 00:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x41229a…
05-06 00:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbd4c88…