Prudent-Underground — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.3%

Resolved

Trades

4,658

lifetime

Volume

$50.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-03 20:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% 25% $-3

Crypto

29% — —

Politics

13% 0% $-46

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	50	$5.3K	3,270	3,470	-200	open	—	02-27 16:15
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	71	$1.9K	4,050	4,050	+0	open	—	02-27 16:08
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	46	$1.9K	1,362	1,262	+100	open	—	02-24 16:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	165	$1.7K	38,892	2,770	+36,123	open	—	03-02 19:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	171	$1.5K	29,702	14,000	+15,701	open	—	03-04 17:39
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	101	$882	2,233	2,350	-117	open	—	02-28 06:18
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	9	$840	466	466	+0	open	—	02-23 16:06
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 40 64	16	$837	1,062	762	+300	open	—	03-04 15:49
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	11	$817	581	571	+10	open	—	04-15 18:06
another us government shutdown by february 14	142	$777	36,930	630	+36,300	open	—	02-15 05:25
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	123	$769	12,708	8,100	+4,608	open	—	03-04 15:24
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 65 89	56	$760	910	1,105	-195	open	—	02-28 14:43
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	15	$731	20,581	581	+20,000	open	—	02-02 21:53
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	15	$716	400	400	+0	open	—	02-25 16:16
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	17	$621	685	763	-78	open	—	02-24 16:21
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	80	$526	5,050	1,050	+4,000	open	—	04-06 19:49
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	5	$511	952	912	+41	open	—	04-12 20:58
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	1	$499	1,188	0	+1,188	open	—	04-07 20:51
btc updown 5m 1771445400	4	$475	362	357	+5	open	—	02-18 20:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	4	$471	306	301	+5	open	—	04-27 20:22
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	147	$468	6,465	968	+5,496	open	—	04-07 03:18
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	2	$411	357	349	+8	open	—	04-14 15:24
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	3	$405	326	326	+0	open	—	02-02 16:00
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 90 114	4	$389	745	713	+31	open	—	04-13 01:32
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	8	$364	358	354	+4	open	—	04-15 07:41
bl2 dyn svd 2026 02 27 total 3pt5	2	$350	250	250	+0	open	—	02-27 19:28
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 115 139	6	$339	600	0	+600	open	—	02-21 07:28
btc updown 5m 1772259000	3	$333	265	261	+4	open	—	02-28 06:15
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	18	$326	24,425	0	+24,425	open	—	02-28 07:11
btc updown 15m 1770155100	18	$316	264	164	+100	open	—	02-03 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 20:37:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,867	0¢	$48	0xe57f40…
05-23 07:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x795315…
05-23 07:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x81fa85…
05-23 07:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	24	73¢	$18	0xf0ae2c…
05-23 07:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb2e851…
05-23 07:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	220	23¢	$50	0x62a9d5…
05-23 07:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x978de1…
05-23 07:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x974703…
05-23 06:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x8bf188…
05-23 06:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	60	47¢	$28	0x59ad25…
05-23 06:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe69e9b…
05-23 06:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc63378…
05-23 06:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x33a9c4…
05-04 18:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa2559e…
05-04 18:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x124c73…
04-27 20:26:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0xd612db…
04-27 20:25:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x33aabf…
04-27 20:22:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	100¢	$144	0xe4bd1f…
04-27 06:45:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	76¢	$111	0x89d2ac…
04-27 06:45:22	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x4d5914…
04-27 06:44:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x8e7ee2…
04-27 06:44:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x84279c…
04-27 06:43:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x7e156a…
04-27 05:27:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x4f0052…
04-27 05:27:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9123c5…
04-27 05:25:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	11¢	$16	0x9da3ed…
04-27 05:25:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	78¢	$122	0xc0b328…
04-26 12:17:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	58¢	$93	0x34581e…
04-26 12:16:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0xb57ee1…
04-26 04:30:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5aa5c6…
04-25 04:50:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	73¢	$54	0x1b3d11…
04-25 04:50:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	25¢	$24	0xbdfcc0…
04-24 19:22:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x6a37ba…
04-24 19:21:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x393ef3…
04-24 19:21:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0x31a0f8…
04-24 19:21:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	15¢	$16	0x0a279f…
04-24 19:20:58	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x8ee984…
04-24 19:19:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	16¢	$11	0x6e695f…
04-24 19:19:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x6ad107…
04-24 19:19:22	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x3793f0…
04-24 08:17:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	90	39¢	$35	0x660ce9…
04-24 08:17:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	94	58¢	$54	0xa2f48c…
04-23 20:12:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x53deee…
04-23 20:12:12	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xb2dbe6…
04-23 20:11:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe937f6…
04-23 20:11:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe7b55a…
04-23 20:10:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0x322e7b…
04-23 20:09:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x7c7c32…
04-23 20:09:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5c0b6c…
04-23 20:08:52	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xcb3087…
04-23 20:08:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0x806144…
04-22 12:33:56	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0x589bb0…
04-22 12:33:20	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x9b32e7…
04-22 12:30:40	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb52e8d…
04-22 12:30:32	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x634e89…
04-22 12:30:04	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x2f59ec…
04-22 12:29:20	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	29	36¢	$11	0x1aa263…
04-21 20:00:36	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf7f969…
04-21 20:00:28	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x58157f…
04-21 20:00:18	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa012ca…
04-21 20:00:10	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1fe9fe…
04-21 19:59:40	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x4c9081…
04-21 19:59:30	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x809768…
04-21 19:58:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xbf70c8…
04-21 19:58:48	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x887c89…
04-21 19:58:44	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x3e5ecb…
04-21 19:58:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x427433…
04-18 09:21:24	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xccda7a…
04-18 08:44:56	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x3d0150…
04-18 08:08:38	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xec03c8…
04-18 08:00:12	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xbf64c4…
04-18 07:59:44	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xd951c4…
04-18 07:54:42	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xb0e062…
04-18 07:37:46	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x7f8029…
04-18 07:37:46	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x766c0e…
04-18 07:37:46	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x64ed5d…
04-18 07:37:46	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x5c94d9…
04-18 07:37:46	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x152457…
04-18 07:30:52	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x3d2c15…
04-18 07:04:14	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xa85812…
04-18 00:11:02	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc93f2d…
04-17 22:23:56	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xbccc45…
04-17 20:44:54	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x409857…
04-17 20:15:18	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x21ab17…
04-17 20:14:34	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x8727cf…
04-17 20:06:14	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0x95609b…
04-17 20:05:28	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x76eacb…
04-17 19:56:58	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xb17020…
04-17 19:31:40	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xa6250a…
04-17 19:30:12	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc65606…
04-17 19:29:42	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf12271…
04-17 19:29:24	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfe160d…
04-17 19:29:24	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xb8b96d…
04-17 19:29:16	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd2acad…
04-17 19:28:42	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xfdd13e…
04-17 19:28:42	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xde683d…
04-17 19:28:42	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 115 139	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xdce5e1…
04-17 19:28:40	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 115 139	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x15735e…
04-17 19:28:36	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x98c871…
04-17 19:28:36	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 115 139	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x647cf8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	532	$545	1,032	05-23 07:14
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	364	$1.21K	1,486	05-04 18:34
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	357	$595	1,006	05-23 07:14
(anonymous) 0x5487…a014	352	$89.4K	16,513	03-08 11:03
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	350	$85.2K	20,163	03-08 11:03
(anonymous) 0x0489…ee4d	345	$139.1K	55,924	03-08 11:03
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	342	$275.1K	38,621	03-08 11:02
(anonymous) 0x1d00…0313	336	$1.33M	51,062	03-01 16:29