Paltry-Escalator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,156

lifetime

Volume

$8.72M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$7.54K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-04 00:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$963

Other

34% 100% +$2,209

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	105	$965.5K	966,460	+966,460	open	—	05-21 09:24
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$963.1K	964,113	+964,113	open	—	05-12 00:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	51	$962.1K	963,053	+963,053	Yes	+$963	05-09 17:59
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	169	$954.4K	955,331	+955,331	open	—	05-18 01:09
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	70	$912.3K	914,458	+914,458	Yes	+$2,114	05-04 03:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	78	$839.6K	846,218	+846,218	open	—	06-03 03:10
iran closes its airspace by june 15	117	$508.4K	509,211	+509,211	open	—	06-09 02:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	73	$492.0K	492,765	+492,765	open	—	04-23 12:40
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	102	$409.4K	410,917	+410,917	open	—	06-16 07:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	56	$359.4K	359,995	+359,995	open	—	04-23 12:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	60	$243.2K	243,481	+243,481	open	—	06-01 19:52
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	55	$235.2K	235,400	+235,400	open	—	06-29 11:10
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	56	$189.9K	190,214	+190,214	open	—	06-08 20:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	19	$103.1K	103,222	+103,222	open	—	06-29 02:58
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	1	$99.9K	100,000	+100,000	open	—	06-25 02:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	4	$94.3K	94,469	+94,469	open	—	06-26 03:33
us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	14	$60.5K	60,594	+60,594	open	—	06-15 18:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	12	$50.3K	50,371	+50,371	open	—	06-28 15:36
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	5	$49.9K	50,000	+50,000	open	—	06-30 04:45
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	18	$47.1K	47,226	+47,226	Yes	+$94	05-03 23:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	15	$30.3K	30,347	+30,347	open	—	06-30 00:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?	8	$29.0K	28,991	+28,991	open	—	06-30 06:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$23.8K	23,941	+23,941	open	—	06-16 16:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	13	$19.7K	19,679	+19,679	open	—	05-30 21:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	6	$16.5K	16,473	+16,473	open	—	07-01 02:00
will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	3	$15.9K	16,006	+16,006	open	—	06-29 07:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	2	$10.6K	10,599	+10,599	open	—	06-29 02:44
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	3	$7.3K	7,290	+7,290	open	—	06-15 15:58
us and iran sign an agreement by july 31 2026 20260611221049854	1	$6.4K	6,433	+6,433	open	—	06-15 15:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	7	$6.4K	6,422	+6,422	open	—	06-28 05:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 00:26:47	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf3d82e…
07-04 00:05:52	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3837a7…
07-04 00:01:49	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0bb8bc…
07-01 02:00:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	627	100¢	$626	0x25cc4c…
06-30 11:00:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x0b3174…
06-30 10:59:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,150	100¢	$1,149	0x540908…
06-30 06:48:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xb60b2c…
06-30 06:34:38	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x786f86…
06-30 04:45:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47,004	100¢	$46,910	0x153aa4…
06-30 04:16:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x5640db…
06-30 03:42:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3a519c…
06-30 03:36:34	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xffa2a7…
06-30 03:32:37	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,962	100¢	$1,959	0x63cfc1…
06-30 02:37:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x9a7d7d…
06-30 00:55:32	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x968eed…
06-29 13:58:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,238	100¢	$1,237	0x3372f2…
06-29 12:21:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb79f10…
06-29 12:11:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,049	0x21be2b…
06-29 12:10:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	3,421	100¢	$3,417	0xe9a9a2…
06-29 11:10:31	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89,901	100¢	$89,811	0x3cde51…
06-29 11:08:49	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf4b98e…
06-29 11:04:47	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x9a0efa…
06-29 11:04:37	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x71b339…
06-29 11:04:34	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	751	100¢	$750	0xef1dca…
06-29 10:53:49	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf552fd…
06-29 10:42:43	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,342	100¢	$3,339	0x03efba…
06-29 10:36:52	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe01287…
06-29 09:56:59	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5166e6…
06-29 09:56:07	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x6fad42…
06-29 09:50:38	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1d92c7…
06-29 09:50:34	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0x6ff806…
06-29 09:35:02	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc5cbd7…
06-29 09:34:59	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,255	100¢	$5,250	0x2c9c5f…
06-29 09:19:01	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,000	100¢	$10,989	0x7a9c35…
06-29 09:09:04	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xcb94f0…
06-29 09:09:01	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0x73b09c…
06-29 09:08:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbef4e9…
06-29 08:57:50	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x4aa84c…
06-29 08:43:29	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,570	100¢	$1,568	0x629bbc…
06-29 08:36:29	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7efcdc…
06-29 08:17:44	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,000	100¢	$14,985	0x4137bf…
06-29 08:11:53	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5af65e…
06-29 08:10:34	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x1f04b3…
06-29 08:01:41	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd2309c…
06-29 07:46:17	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x4a6632…
06-29 07:36:50	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x724ab4…
06-29 07:36:49	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x67978d…
06-29 07:30:07	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	10,006	100¢	$9,966	0xe0d05c…
06-29 07:29:58	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xdc729f…
06-29 07:29:28	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,980	0x9943a1…
06-29 07:29:19	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xbbaf4c…
06-29 07:27:07	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0xa1c918…
06-29 07:26:29	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xa80a38…
06-29 07:10:38	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xcfc8d7…
06-29 06:53:59	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x95b0a2…
06-29 06:46:10	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3794ee…
06-29 06:45:02	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0xda56bc…
06-29 06:37:37	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xe666e3…
06-29 06:14:41	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x729008…
06-29 05:49:02	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb36be7…
06-29 05:35:49	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x19dc8c…
06-29 04:59:35	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x9e23a7…
06-29 04:29:14	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xcc7183…
06-29 04:28:44	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x691772…
06-29 03:48:59	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,910	100¢	$3,906	0x3a0fd2…
06-29 02:58:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$351	0xcb9540…
06-29 02:55:34	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,360	100¢	$4,356	0x963196…
06-29 02:44:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x91a857…
06-29 02:44:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	No	BUY	10,420	100¢	$10,410	0x83f540…
06-29 02:43:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	5,416	100¢	$5,410	0x685c40…
06-29 02:42:17	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	681	100¢	$680	0x2e6f1e…
06-29 02:25:52	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x1819fc…
06-29 02:17:31	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe67639…
06-29 02:08:10	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x9b260a…
06-29 01:52:08	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe46773…
06-29 01:42:35	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd22e8e…
06-29 01:37:59	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2538b5…
06-29 01:37:59	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c0375…
06-29 01:37:55	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xff79d1…
06-29 01:37:53	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5eef80…
06-29 01:37:52	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdbb5d3…
06-28 15:36:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c8778…
06-28 15:28:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc2d58d…
06-28 15:26:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xfcb48a…
06-28 15:08:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb37817…
06-28 15:07:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,039	100¢	$1,038	0xd94c2f…
06-28 14:37:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3e3e5e…
06-28 12:58:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf42dba…
06-28 12:53:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	860	100¢	$858	0x83dc65…
06-28 12:41:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0xce0f29…
06-28 05:23:35	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,170	100¢	$1,169	0x9e720d…
06-28 04:00:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,156	100¢	$1,155	0xa4a7a6…
06-27 21:21:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	5,683	100¢	$5,678	0xb76d5b…
06-27 17:10:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x31a46d…
06-27 15:59:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	4,238	100¢	$4,233	0xc28c15…
06-27 15:49:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x07bcce…
06-27 12:51:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa69f25…
06-27 11:20:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5bd9a8…
06-27 10:47:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,129	100¢	$1,128	0x459a63…
06-27 10:13:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,522	100¢	$1,521	0x5e81d4…