Vengeful-Venison — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-28 18:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

100% 83% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$181	97	97	+0	No	+$8	03-14 14:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$180	101	101	+0	No	-$7	03-09 21:45
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	1	$111	120	0	+120	No	+$8	04-16 10:37
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	3	$102	3,180	0	+3,180	No	-$102	07-14 18:04
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	2	$100	65	65	+0	No	+$30	08-28 09:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$95	111	0	+111	No	+$17	03-14 14:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$93	102	0	+102	No	+$9	05-29 11:41
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$88	94	0	+94	Yes	+$6	02-26 09:37
will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	01-21 10:11
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	1	$82	88	0	+88	No	+$6	01-09 02:19
Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	1	$65	71	0	+71	No	+$6	08-28 18:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$55	32	32	+0	No	+$2	05-31 07:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 18:04:15	Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0xfb8628…
08-28 09:46:13	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x82b39f…
07-16 08:02:44	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	65	53¢	$35	0xd71beb…
07-14 18:04:34	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	1,380	3¢	$44	0xdaf1e2…
07-14 17:52:46	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	1,642	3¢	$53	0x1df983…
07-14 17:24:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	159	3¢	$5	0xd74e18…
05-31 07:50:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	32	87¢	$28	0x7bcbc3…
05-29 11:41:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x04507f…
05-29 11:41:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	91¢	$93	0x32e9ba…
04-16 10:37:34	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	120	93¢	$111	0x5a82a2…
03-14 14:11:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	111	85¢	$95	0x64ff0a…
03-14 14:02:25	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	97	97¢	$95	0x482083…
03-10 01:16:59	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	97	89¢	$87	0xaf7b27…
03-09 21:45:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	101	86¢	$87	0x6141e0…
03-08 08:58:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	101	93¢	$94	0x3b4baa…
02-26 09:37:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	94	94¢	$88	0x2fb51e…
01-21 10:11:54	will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x6be2d4…
01-09 02:19:40	us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	No	BUY	88	93¢	$82	0xdd91c3…