Wrong-Promotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$227.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

51,336

Trades

467,822

lifetime

Volume

$11.5M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-23 10:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Other

92% 48% -$200,542

Crypto

6% 39% -$26,680

Sports

2% 50% +$142

Politics

0% 50% -$115

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 11253 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 bca og1 2026 06 24	734	$35.2K	46,603	13,392	+33,211	Betclic Apogee Esports	+$7,884	06-24 22:24
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	235	$35.1K	22,280	21,080	+1,200	No	+$7,215	06-23 22:00
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	443	$31.9K	42,063	10,649	+31,414	Argentina	+$4,855	07-04 00:44
Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?	553	$29.2K	27,686	15,369	+12,318	Yes	+$7,032	07-19 05:14
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	208	$21.4K	13,802	13,802	-0	Yes	+$5,936	06-25 02:47
crint wst4 sco5 2026 06 18	313	$20.6K	24,150	8,394	+15,756	West Indies	+$3,999	06-18 20:55
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	442	$20.2K	30,570	0	+30,570	Paraguay	-$16,269	06-29 23:24
lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	184	$18.9K	20,904	8,633	+12,271	Hanwha Life Esports	-$1,681	08-08 10:31
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-07-21?	190	$18.6K	12,781	11,747	+1,033	Yes	+$4,623	07-22 02:59
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-22?	146	$18.5K	11,354	11,196	+158	Yes	+$3,687	07-23 04:08
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?	114	$18.3K	12,203	12,199	+4	Yes	+$5,826	06-24 00:54
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	237	$17.7K	20,452	9,779	+10,673	Argentina	+$7,052	07-15 21:01
dota2 lgd tr7 2026 08 13	140	$17.6K	14,676	9,984	+4,691	LGD Gaming	+$2,373	08-13 14:06
lol jdg al 2026 07 23	175	$17.0K	15,091	9,197	+5,894	Anyone's Legend	+$1,398	07-23 12:22
lol ns t1 2026 08 03	94	$16.6K	11,592	10,163	+1,429	Nongshim Red Force	+$3,743	08-03 12:49
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	261	$16.2K	28,453	0	+28,453	Argentina	-$6,801	07-07 17:56
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?	99	$16.0K	10,456	10,406	+50	Yes	+$4,767	09-17 21:24
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	163	$16.0K	13,339	8,525	+4,815	Yes	+$3,336	06-30 18:59
cs2 bb3 nem 2026 07 03	166	$15.6K	13,464	8,724	+4,741	BetBoom Team	+$1,835	07-03 20:10
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 4pt5	278	$15.3K	11,236	9,433	+1,803	Portugal	+$3,519	06-23 19:00
cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	244	$15.3K	20,491	4,582	+15,908	Spirit	+$1,756	06-19 19:15
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	397	$15.1K	28,233	450	+27,783	England	-$5,056	07-06 03:04
crint nzl6 lka3 2026 06 16	170	$15.0K	13,913	10,347	+3,566	Sri Lanka	+$5,695	06-16 16:45
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	92	$14.7K	10,528	7,703	+2,825	Team Spirit	+$684	08-23 07:21
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	146	$14.7K	8,998	8,998	+0	IR Iran	+$3,314	06-21 21:11
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	157	$14.6K	10,750	8,796	+1,953	Over	+$3,989	07-18 22:50
dota2 flc liquid 2026 08 05	193	$14.4K	20,110	3,191	+16,919	Team Liquid	-$8,063	08-05 21:17
lol ts kc 2026 07 15	165	$14.2K	12,183	6,677	+5,506	Karmine Corp	+$1,323	07-15 16:54
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	265	$14.2K	29,335	0	+29,335	Argentina	+$918	07-12 03:41
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	103	$14.2K	11,284	9,954	+1,330	Mumbai Indians	+$6,369	05-04 17:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 10:40:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xf11020…
10-23 10:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4b3f2d…
10-23 10:37:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd006a7…
10-23 10:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x00ee17…
10-23 10:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x06ad22…
10-23 10:21:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc6b0db…
10-23 10:21:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xff9083…
10-23 09:57:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x483438…
10-23 09:55:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd50c42…
10-23 09:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x55c384…
10-23 09:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd161d8…
10-23 09:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0511b2…
10-23 09:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2dd5e2…
10-23 08:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x75113c…
10-23 08:52:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x427933…
10-23 08:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb31759…
10-23 08:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x09293b…
10-23 08:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0cc66c…
10-23 08:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd1d729…
10-23 08:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5e7e65…
10-23 08:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2b3ca9…
10-23 08:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x68f45a…
10-23 07:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x09bd3c…
10-23 07:47:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6d520a…
10-23 07:47:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x20ece3…
10-23 07:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1a6558…
10-23 07:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x59009f…
10-23 07:31:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1f3769…
10-23 07:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6990cd…
10-23 07:24:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8dbac6…
10-23 07:24:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x45dd09…
10-23 07:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x74579e…
10-23 06:50:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd5e6b1…
10-23 06:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x15024d…
10-23 06:39:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2816b4…
10-23 06:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x83e8cb…
10-23 06:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe1fec2…
10-23 06:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc4c34a…
10-23 06:21:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x190473…
10-23 06:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x73e6c8…
10-23 06:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x21f44f…
10-23 06:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa6ac1a…
10-23 06:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9fb3dc…
10-23 06:06:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xdee930…
10-23 06:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9070c0…
10-23 05:56:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf2c689…
10-23 05:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1ce470…
10-23 05:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9cc813…
10-23 05:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xdd7fbe…
10-23 05:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x5e1a13…
10-23 05:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc2a05b…
10-23 05:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6ccaeb…
10-23 04:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1a6893…
10-23 04:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x1dafb6…
10-23 04:48:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc00b3e…
10-23 04:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xae603d…
10-23 04:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xacf683…
10-23 04:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2decc1…
10-23 04:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x0cd509…
10-23 04:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc3a663…
10-23 04:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe3b78b…
10-23 04:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5a4a65…
10-23 04:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x0594ac…
10-23 04:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6bf719…
10-23 04:01:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x937b73…
10-23 03:39:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9df0cb…
10-23 03:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6fa127…
10-23 03:34:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9ff448…
10-23 03:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9815c4…
10-23 02:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x27488a…
10-23 02:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6d49e9…
10-23 02:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x146eb8…
10-23 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x199117…
10-23 02:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x18e58b…
10-23 02:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1eff2e…
10-23 02:20:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xadb1db…
10-23 02:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x94980b…
10-23 02:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x960432…
10-23 02:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x844de3…
10-23 02:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe81432…
10-23 02:06:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1213ed…
10-23 02:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7c1f2c…
10-23 02:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2efe6b…
10-23 01:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x749b39…
10-23 01:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x65a18c…
10-23 01:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x7b3342…
10-23 01:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb20f8a…
10-23 01:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x83db9d…
10-23 01:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xff45be…
10-23 01:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x95d04c…
10-23 01:40:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x061234…
10-23 01:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcb7446…
10-23 01:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf4e8c3…
10-23 01:26:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x01ed68…
10-23 01:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbce908…
10-23 01:26:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x2bb809…
10-23 01:18:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x32bc7e…
10-23 01:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xeddb74…
10-23 01:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x16792e…
10-23 01:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x38c9c7…