Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

1,377

Trades

2,578

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-05

last 10-28 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

82% 47% +$38

Politics

12% 65% +$21

Sports

3% 32% -$26

Tech

2% 0% -$5

Crypto

2% 39% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 577 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+95	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	10-28 00:15
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+591	$7	0¢	$1	-$6	09-13 07:32
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	09-24 01:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Red Bull Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award?	14	$251	353	353	+0	open	—	09-24 10:48
will satya nadella attend the white house state dinner for xi jinping	16	$236	131	131	+0	Yes	-$4	09-22 02:26
Will Sporting CP vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?	11	$230	301	301	+0	Yes	+$211	09-19 21:21
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	11	$200	198	198	+0	open	—	09-24 01:55
dota2 nemiga lynx 2026 09 17	3	$155	95	89	+6	Team Lynx	+$22	09-17 19:28
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	7	$118	94	94	+0	open	—	09-24 10:48
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	9	$116	77	77	+0	No	-$4	09-23 18:02
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?	8	$113	206	206	+0	No	-$5	09-24 10:46
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	7	$113	133	133	+0	open	—	09-24 02:04
Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?	6	$92	86	86	+0	open	—	09-24 10:45
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?	4	$86	110	110	+0	open	—	09-24 10:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	6	$84	84	84	+0	open	—	09-24 03:08
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	4	$81	92	92	+0	open	—	09-24 10:45
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$80	56	56	+0	No	+$0	09-24 10:45
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5	4	$79	308	308	+0	Over	-$1	09-20 01:42
Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	7	$79	73	73	+0	No	+$39	09-22 17:15
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner	3	$72	84	32	+51	Team Synapse	-$8	09-18 10:11
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC?	2	$71	69	69	+0	Yes	+$67	10-24 18:52
Cali: Valerio Aboian vs Miguel Tobon	2	$71	69	69	+0	Valerio Aboian	+$67	10-23 20:54
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	2	$70	362	362	+0	open	—	09-24 10:44
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	3	$68	124	28	+95	Team Synapse	-$12	09-18 11:15
Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?	4	$68	243	243	+0	No	-$12	09-24 10:44
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	4	$67	77	77	+0	open	—	09-24 10:44
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C on September 22?	2	$65	56	56	+0	Yes	+$45	09-22 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 20?	2	$62	53	53	+0	Yes	+$42	09-20 23:29
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?	2	$60	50	50	+0	Yes	+$40	09-21 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C on September 21?	2	$60	50	50	+0	Yes	+$40	09-21 10:04
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	4	$59	278	28	+250	Yes	-$6	09-22 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 19?	2	$57	51	51	+0	Yes	+$44	09-19 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20?	3	$56	36	36	+0	Yes	+$16	09-20 13:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:08:43	Will CD Numancia win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xe4d9cf…
10-28 15:08:43	Chelsea FC vs. AS Roma: AS Roma O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x93aba6…
10-28 15:08:43	Will SK Brann vs. Czarni Sosnowiec end in a draw?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x0c2ba1…
10-28 15:08:43	Spread: FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda (-3.5)	FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x02461c…
10-28 15:08:41	FC Košice vs. FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda: FC Košice O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xebb36a…
10-28 15:08:41	Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)	CD Leganés	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x52521a…
10-28 15:08:34	Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xd0875f…
10-28 15:08:34	Will the New York Giants make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x4d3695…
10-28 15:08:34	Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x40566a…
10-28 15:08:34	Will the Indianapolis Colts win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 7.5	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x3f7d96…
10-28 15:08:34	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x12e0ee…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Roma reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xfa5af1…
10-28 15:08:32	Will the Boston Bruins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0xe2cfe5…
10-28 15:08:32	Will the Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0xb90e00…
10-28 15:08:32	Will the Indianapolis Colts make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xb7d089…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xac4939…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x919191…
10-28 15:08:32	Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x8ccacc…
10-28 15:08:32	Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x8a0e69…
10-28 15:08:32	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x809e73…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x78e60a…
10-28 15:08:32	Will the New York Islanders make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x77fb1e…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0x77ea47…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Oregon have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0x6ce780…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0x5f1805…
10-28 15:08:32	Will the San Jose Sharks make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x53d084…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x4cd7f7…
10-28 15:08:32	Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x2f61e7…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Sporting CP reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x1f5c71…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0x1eb096…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	63	3¢	$2	0x1ce70e…
10-28 15:08:32	Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0x0359b6…
10-28 11:36:14	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska	Dayana Yastremska	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xfd8d44…
10-28 11:35:41	Will FC Pohang Steelers win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1b255f…
10-28 11:15:44	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson	Talia Gibson	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x818df9…
10-28 11:15:25	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Harriet Dart	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x947931…
10-28 10:54:20	Will SK Brann vs. Czarni Sosnowiec end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x02a535…
10-28 10:53:35	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Harriet Dart	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf8774d…
10-28 10:53:26	Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)	CD Leganés	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xaab631…
10-28 10:53:20	Will CD Numancia win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xcf3a43…
10-28 10:52:34	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	54	14¢	$8	0x860137…
10-28 09:48:17	Exact Score: Gamba Osaka 0 - 0 Buriram United?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x1d55b3…
10-28 09:48:11	Will FC Pohang Steelers win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x589f80…
10-28 09:47:11	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x45b03e…
10-28 09:04:40	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xf35a16…
10-28 08:17:34	FC Košice vs. FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda: FC Košice O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2b091d…
10-28 08:17:32	Chelsea FC vs. AS Roma: AS Roma O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf99b39…
10-28 08:17:29	Spread: FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda (-3.5)	FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x2532e6…
10-28 07:23:19	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x83eb35…
10-28 06:54:40	Will Sporting CP reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6ccb99…
10-28 06:35:25	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xf148cf…
10-28 04:35:19	Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x3593da…
10-28 04:22:28	Senators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9dacfb…
10-28 03:42:40	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x60a588…
10-28 03:35:28	Will the San Jose Sharks make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf65241…
10-28 03:20:33	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0xe47133…
10-28 02:58:14	Will the Indianapolis Colts make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x339210…
10-28 02:50:39	Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x756fcb…
10-28 02:40:00	Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc971f8…
10-28 02:24:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x229196…
10-28 02:22:57	Will Roma reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2831e3…
10-28 02:13:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x96f5f2…
10-28 02:13:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x28b9ef…
10-28 01:34:05	Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x27dc4e…
10-28 01:05:45	Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xcba092…
10-28 00:21:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc04a51…
10-28 00:18:02	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x3d4108…
10-28 00:15:26	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x2afd79…
10-28 00:14:44	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x33f52b…
10-27 22:54:26	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6a518c…
10-27 22:39:41	Will the Indianapolis Colts win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 7.5	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x864e37…
10-27 22:39:35	Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0xf4f904…
10-27 22:33:11	Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x15ecc5…
10-27 21:55:35	Arosa SC vs. Pontevedra CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x89a545…
10-27 21:55:29	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Fleetwood Town FC	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7d713f…
10-27 21:34:27	Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Cambridge United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3880f1…
10-27 21:34:20	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Valencia	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf9eb51…
10-27 21:34:12	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe3591b…
10-27 21:17:33	Will the Boston Bruins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x9ea995…
10-27 21:06:21	Will FC Eindhoven vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6ae077…
10-27 21:06:15	Queretaro: Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano vs Carmen Andreea Herea	Carmen Andreea Herea	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9716ac…
10-27 21:06:08	Spread: Almere City FC (-1.5)	Almere City FC	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd04d29…
10-27 20:45:21	Will UD Castellonense win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x30081d…
10-27 20:45:14	Will Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xa6aab7…
10-27 20:25:15	Will UD Castellonense win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x57a6f7…
10-27 20:25:11	Will FC Eindhoven vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc432f0…
10-27 20:25:05	Spread: Almere City FC (-1.5)	Almere City FC	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x4f9907…
10-27 20:25:03	SHL: Frölunda HC vs. Rögle	Rögle	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbeb0ff…
10-27 20:24:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xc740ca…
10-27 20:09:00	Senators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3dcf85…
10-27 20:08:53	Will AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x19dfad…
10-27 20:06:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb64164…
10-27 20:03:09	FC Eindhoven vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x45d53d…
10-27 19:00:23	Queretaro: Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano vs Carmen Andreea Herea	Carmen Andreea Herea	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x743dd1…
10-27 19:00:17	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x66536a…
10-27 18:59:47	Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x644ddf…
10-27 18:59:39	SHL: Malmö vs. Linköping	Malmö	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x11fb82…
10-27 15:13:44	Arosa SC vs. Pontevedra CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe6f5ba…
10-27 15:13:38	Will Dorking Wanderers win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x744330…
10-27 15:12:41	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Jerome Kym	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x87c4ea…