Realized P&L (30d)
+$18
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
91.4%
Resolved (30d)
8
Trades (30d)
0
188,445 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$1.86M lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$481
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-11 11:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Other
79% 65% +$2,542
Sports
10% 75% +$1,518
Politics
9% 68% +$550
Tech
1% 64% +$340
Crypto
1% 59% -$89
Pop-Culture
0% 69% +$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +200 $140 97¢ $194 +$54 06-27 00:34
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -108 -$83 77¢ $-83 +$0 06-23 21:56
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -63 -$55 98¢ $-62 -$6 06-27 14:35
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +100 $70 60¢ $60 -$11 06-27 02:24
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $28 40¢ $40 +$12 06-27 02:24
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -23 -$20 94¢ $-22 -$1 06-28 05:27
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +174 $44 4¢ $7 -$37 06-27 20:12
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +200 $58 3¢ $6 -$52 06-27 02:50
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No -42 -$32 10¢ $-4 +$27 07-02 10:44
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date Yes +20 $11 10¢ $2 -$9 06-24 05:04
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +4 $1 43¢ $2 +$1 06-27 03:10