Wretched-Thesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

20 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$8.59K lifetime

Avg / trade

$430

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-29 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

45% 62% -$1,099

Sports

44% 60% -$23

Crypto

11% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mem gsw 2026 02 09	2	$2.4K	1,544	1,529	+16	Warriors	-$214	02-10 05:21
will stray kids the dominate experience opening weekend box office be greater than 3pt25m	1	$1.3K	1,284	0	+1,284	Yes	+$2	02-08 06:28
lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15	1	$1.2K	1,760	0	+1,760	BNK FEARX	-$1,244	02-15 08:38
nba okc lal 2026 02 09	1	$1.1K	1,244	0	+1,244	Thunder	+$174	02-10 05:28
por ton aro 2026 01 04 ton	1	$942	943	0	+943	Yes	+$1	01-04 04:44
cs2 aur1 gl1 2026 01 28	1	$530	869	0	+869	Aurora Gaming	+$339	01-27 12:48
will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be less than 0	1	$181	181	0	+181	No	+$0	04-19 13:39
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	1	$180	222	0	+222	Invictus Gaming	-$180	05-12 12:02
nba cle mem 2026 04 06	1	$176	181	0	+181	Cavaliers	+$5	04-07 01:35
nba den uta 2026 04 01	1	$164	176	0	+176	Nuggets	+$12	04-02 00:50
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	06-25 11:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$75	75	0	+75	No	+$0	05-27 07:00
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	07-28 15:47
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by August 31?	1	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	08-29 03:04
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	05-27 06:56
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$44	0	45	-45	No	-$1	07-06 11:19
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?	1	$10	752	0	+752	No	-$10	07-13 16:04
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 7pt5	1	$3	356	0	+356	Under	-$3	07-06 16:30
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 5pt5	1	$3	280	0	+280	Morocco	-$3	07-06 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 03:04:49	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by August 31?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xb0cdbe…
07-28 15:47:17	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xa0eaf6…
07-13 16:04:49	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	752	1¢	$10	0x205b6e…
07-06 16:30:55	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	356	1¢	$3	0xe290a4…
07-06 16:26:52	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 5pt5	France	BUY	280	1¢	$3	0xa78259…
07-06 11:19:55	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x1c7d33…
06-25 11:42:25	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xdc5be5…
05-27 07:00:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xabdef3…
05-27 06:56:10	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x0cd2b7…
05-12 12:02:23	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	222	81¢	$180	0x740099…
04-19 13:39:48	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be less than 0	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x1c7462…
04-07 01:35:07	nba cle mem 2026 04 06	Cavaliers	BUY	181	97¢	$176	0x266287…
04-02 00:50:57	nba den uta 2026 04 01	Nuggets	BUY	176	93¢	$164	0xcce48a…
02-15 08:38:53	lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15	T1	BUY	1,760	71¢	$1,244	0x7eca76…
02-10 05:28:01	nba okc lal 2026 02 09	Thunder	BUY	1,244	86¢	$1,070	0x0e2bc6…
02-10 05:21:05	nba mem gsw 2026 02 09	Grizzlies	SELL	1,529	70¢	$1,070	0xa11057…
02-10 04:55:09	nba mem gsw 2026 02 09	Grizzlies	BUY	1,544	83¢	$1,284	0x3463ed…
02-08 06:28:15	will stray kids the dominate experience opening weekend box office be greater than 3pt25m	Yes	BUY	1,284	100¢	$1,282	0xee01a5…
01-27 12:48:29	cs2 aur1 gl1 2026 01 28	Aurora Gaming	BUY	869	61¢	$530	0xdc5fc3…
01-04 04:44:59	por ton aro 2026 01 04 ton	Yes	BUY	943	100¢	$942	0xd412b8…