Warm-Backburn-Portfolio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.95K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved

9,775

Trades

26,280

lifetime

Volume

$154.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-16 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 55% -$3,784

Other

2% 46% -$168

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 3625 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 13:40 UTC	56	$1.4K	799	784	+15	Up	-$12	08-22 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 13:35 UTC	77	$282	373	0	+373	Down	+$86	08-22 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	17	$262	157	157	+0	Down	+$24	06-04 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:20 UTC	9	$259	258	221	+37	Down	-$61	08-24 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 12:40 UTC	27	$256	357	0	+357	Up	+$61	08-22 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:00 UTC	74	$254	310	250	+60	Down	-$6	08-19 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:35 UTC	25	$238	148	148	+0	Down	+$22	06-04 14:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 02:50 UTC	7	$225	267	0	+267	Down	+$15	08-23 02:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:25 UTC	19	$217	133	133	+0	Down	+$20	06-04 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	21	$210	322	0	+322	Down	-$108	08-23 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	16	$197	124	124	+0	Down	+$19	06-04 13:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:35 UTC	8	$188	129	109	+20	Up	+$6	06-04 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	13	$185	279	0	+279	Down	-$110	08-23 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:20 UTC	52	$183	366	40	+326	Down	-$3	08-20 01:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 08:45 UTC	22	$182	289	0	+289	Down	+$7	08-22 08:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 22:20 UTC	4	$182	198	0	+198	Up	+$4	08-22 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 11:10 UTC	36	$174	150	140	+10	Down	-$6	08-22 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:05 UTC	46	$164	330	0	+330	Up	-$4	08-20 00:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:40 UTC	42	$163	107	107	+0	Up	+$2	08-24 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:55 UTC	50	$161	326	0	+326	Up	-$5	08-20 01:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:10 UTC	5	$159	182	123	+59	Up	-$4	08-24 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:10 UTC	44	$158	320	0	+320	Down	+$2	08-20 00:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:25 UTC	43	$157	320	0	+320	Down	+$3	08-20 00:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:55 UTC	43	$157	320	0	+320	Down	+$3	08-20 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 04:20 UTC	40	$156	320	0	+320	Down	+$4	08-20 04:22
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:25 UTC	12	$156	97	97	+0	Up	+$15	06-04 12:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:00 UTC	49	$156	315	0	+315	Down	+$4	08-20 05:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:45 UTC	43	$156	317	0	+317	Up	-$3	08-20 02:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:20 UTC	10	$155	96	96	+0	Down	+$14	06-04 05:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 04:00 UTC	44	$154	320	0	+320	Up	+$6	08-20 04:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 14:45:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x55c766…
10-16 14:43:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd47adf…
10-16 14:36:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x756a64…
10-16 14:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2fb7e4…
10-01 07:55:23	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1890a4…
10-01 07:54:57	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xe33295…
10-01 07:45:30	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x29ed90…
10-01 07:45:30	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0be461…
10-01 07:40:12	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xb45ede…
10-01 07:40:09	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbc35d5…
10-01 07:40:08	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x93b660…
10-01 07:40:08	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2ff926…
10-01 07:40:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9c0ec2…
10-01 07:40:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xddf003…
10-01 07:30:11	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xe36c88…
10-01 07:30:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x49c6a1…
10-01 07:30:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbe994f…
10-01 07:30:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x88b841…
10-01 07:30:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x751ea0…
10-01 07:29:42	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd62f03…
10-01 07:24:57	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9d2390…
10-01 07:24:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xb1bed7…
10-01 07:24:48	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5f3019…
10-01 07:20:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xf2a8f5…
10-01 07:19:41	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb52832…
10-01 07:19:39	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc70a62…
10-01 07:19:39	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x03c0f5…
10-01 07:15:17	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x3aac8f…
10-01 07:15:14	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xa4708e…
10-01 07:15:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1f3f1e…
10-01 07:15:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x6e9bb0…
10-01 07:14:59	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x75c91a…
10-01 07:10:09	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf3ed5e…
10-01 07:10:09	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6808dd…
10-01 07:10:09	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x647886…
10-01 07:10:09	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x40f46a…
10-01 07:10:09	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x277e38…
10-01 07:09:53	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xda13da…
10-01 07:09:35	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x84c052…
10-01 07:05:30	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd1fe5c…
10-01 07:05:30	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x7a5231…
10-01 07:05:30	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x289f3c…
10-01 07:05:29	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xeba695…
10-01 07:05:24	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd245f9…
10-01 07:05:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x6f409b…
10-01 07:05:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x91d454…
10-01 07:05:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8e8695…
10-01 07:05:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x54d2d3…
10-01 07:00:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xe15dfc…
10-01 07:00:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc85226…
10-01 06:59:53	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x187524…
10-01 06:55:21	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x08c312…
10-01 06:55:17	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xff549f…
10-01 06:55:11	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xaf7d46…
10-01 06:55:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xbe7376…
10-01 06:55:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x03a8ed…
10-01 06:55:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe0ac76…
10-01 06:55:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x85ff73…
10-01 06:54:50	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3dc05e…
10-01 06:49:42	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8914df…
10-01 06:49:39	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5fdd3d…
10-01 06:44:54	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x08f63e…
10-01 06:44:50	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x37f098…
10-01 06:44:50	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1a5405…
10-01 06:39:59	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x0cf25a…
10-01 06:39:54	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9d74ef…
10-01 06:39:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x2689ed…
10-01 06:39:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x022ecf…
10-01 06:35:33	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1be80e…
10-01 06:35:32	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd870c6…
10-01 06:35:32	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x8249cd…
10-01 06:35:32	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x557bae…
10-01 06:35:32	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x1d3897…
10-01 06:35:27	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x95eefb…
10-01 06:35:27	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x397791…
10-01 06:35:27	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x20e127…
10-01 06:34:48	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xa3108d…
10-01 06:30:33	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x947fc8…
10-01 06:30:33	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3a341d…
10-01 06:30:32	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8a7f41…
10-01 06:30:32	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x60ea88…
10-01 06:30:32	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x082b0f…
10-01 06:30:27	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9acbe4…
10-01 06:24:54	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xad18b1…
10-01 06:24:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x560d7a…
10-01 06:24:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x28eacd…
10-01 06:20:09	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x660b49…
10-01 06:20:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe99613…
10-01 06:20:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe03915…
10-01 06:20:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xd72941…
10-01 06:20:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc2c3fc…
10-01 06:20:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x55f0a7…
10-01 06:20:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x060378…
10-01 06:15:09	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x288f3f…
10-01 06:10:23	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa89fb5…
10-01 06:10:14	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xf44d2f…
10-01 06:10:14	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xecdbc2…
10-01 06:09:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x55a207…
10-01 06:09:47	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x554b53…
10-01 06:05:18	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf18e7e…