Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$150

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-04

last 11-04 19:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$1

Other

40% 45% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?	Yes	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	11-04 12:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6% or more?	Yes	+7	$7	97¢	$7	+$0	11-04 12:32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	+5	$5	97¢	$5	$0	11-04 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 19:18:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2c76cb…
11-04 19:16:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x179b3d…
11-04 19:16:22	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7da998…
11-04 19:15:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x30995c…
11-04 12:34:28	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c355a…
11-04 12:33:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x84fb82…
11-04 12:32:54	Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x66cf1d…
11-04 12:32:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6% or more?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xabe3dc…
11-04 12:31:55	Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x206901…
11-03 12:09:54	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd8126d…
11-03 12:09:24	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 27.5-30%?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x54eaf4…
11-03 09:36:16	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 27.5-30%?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xadb870…
11-03 09:31:40	Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x208035…
11-01 22:56:22	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb4434d…
11-01 10:59:45	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b6926…
11-01 10:58:52	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb47aca…
10-30 11:35:33	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x80ff0a…
10-30 11:32:21	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc16c28…
10-30 11:31:40	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf6c0b9…
10-30 11:31:10	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf5aabb…
10-30 11:00:19	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8984ae…
10-30 10:55:15	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x997dea…
10-30 10:50:34	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x18a471…
10-30 10:50:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x932f9b…
10-30 10:49:15	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4796ca…
10-30 10:47:27	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1f0a66…
10-08 18:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x918cc9…
10-08 06:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8491cf…
10-05 21:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6f3a63…
10-04 22:16:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xae2533…
10-04 22:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xaaa53b…
10-04 21:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x546d83…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	1	$10	10	+10	Yes	+$0	11-01 10:59
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	2	$10	10	+10	open	—	11-04 12:34
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 27.5-30%?	2	$10	10	+10	Yes	+$0	11-03 12:09
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$10	10	+10	Yes	+$0	10-30 11:35
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	11-04 12:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 5%-10%?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	11-04 19:18
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?	1	$10	10	+10	Yes	+$0	11-04 12:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 3%-6%?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	11-04 19:16
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 10%-15%?	1	$9	10	+10	open	—	11-04 19:15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6% or more?	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	11-04 12:32
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	11-01 10:58
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 11:00
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 10:47
Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 11:31
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	10-30 11:32
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 10:49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	11-04 12:33
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-30 11:31
Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	11-03 09:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	11-04 19:16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-04 22:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6?	1	$1	8	+8	No	-$1	10-05 21:27
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-08 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-04 22:15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 5?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-04 21:52
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	11-01 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8?	1	$1	1	+1	No	-$1	10-08 06:30