Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$73

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 10-30 01:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

81% 58% +$5

Politics

18% 33% -$4

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	10-27 19:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-22 12:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	10-30 01:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	09-19 07:45
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	09-09 20:43
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	2	$2	6	+6	No	-$1	09-14 23:17
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-14 15:04
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-10 15:23
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-10 07:15
Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-24 15:41
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 08:46
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-28 03:57
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-08 18:15
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-16 00:23
will hood dip to 107 50 by october 5 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-05 15:42
will ewy reach 187 by september 7 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-10 23:32
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-21 22:57
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	09-18 03:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-27 11:41
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-21 06:53
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 12:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-22 18:58
will pltr dip to 177 by september 28 2026	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-29 01:20
will trump say million 20 times remarks in north carolina	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-16 09:29
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-21 14:54
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-11 01:16
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-13 00:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 02:10
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	10-27 19:47
will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-15 05:59
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-23 03:11
spx up or down on october 14 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	10-14 09:58
will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-24 07:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:51:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd93a8a…
10-29 17:16:50	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf6abc7…
10-28 03:57:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3cc6c1…
10-27 19:47:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xaa41ba…
10-27 11:41:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0d228d…
10-27 03:36:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x92cdd4…
10-25 02:06:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x29a3c9…
10-23 17:18:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5a05e5…
10-23 07:24:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9dcf80…
10-22 23:23:14	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc33bdb…
10-22 12:09:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1d9cde…
10-18 06:58:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf9f2b5…
10-17 19:39:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd39885…
10-17 08:46:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xad13a4…
10-16 08:23:49	will rklb reach 58 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x54f233…
10-16 00:23:33	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x492733…
10-15 14:32:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xade724…
10-15 14:31:49	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 19?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb84f79…
10-15 05:59:31	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb8e9cc…
10-14 09:58:05	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcdc551…
10-14 01:54:50	meta close above 750 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x54060c…
10-11 01:16:14	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5a1ca5…
10-09 09:48:07	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc9c21c…
10-09 01:00:11	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x494eb5…
10-05 15:42:02	will hood dip to 107 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xef92f7…
10-04 23:24:08	will mu dip to 1050 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x192dba…
10-02 05:38:21	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3afa94…
10-01 15:37:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 1?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd220b5…
09-29 01:20:47	will pltr dip to 177 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x86c424…
09-28 16:21:09	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd49a04…
09-26 19:06:26	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x63580e…
09-26 10:39:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4f2ffe…
09-26 02:10:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x871a5d…
09-25 02:56:17	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xec07c1…
09-25 02:13:29	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x101c52…
09-24 15:41:12	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe529fd…
09-24 07:39:24	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbf1262…
09-23 11:38:50	wti up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x13f0d0…
09-23 11:36:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc4bed7…
09-23 03:11:52	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8409cd…
09-23 03:02:46	wti closes above 91 on september 23 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3fc4ea…
09-22 18:58:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb6f9ff…
09-21 22:57:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8c0b4a…
09-21 14:54:47	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe898c6…
09-21 14:54:29	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd51e9e…
09-21 06:53:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xffa676…
09-20 22:11:08	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xad9787…
09-19 07:45:13	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdaa1db…
09-19 07:21:13	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8e7f2b…
09-18 03:15:25	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x34664c…
09-17 17:41:39	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x840d29…
09-16 09:29:13	will trump say million 20 times remarks in north carolina	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x42c172…
09-16 01:13:01	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9a853e…
09-15 17:12:49	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6aab45…
09-15 08:08:04	wti up or down on september 15 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0af2f1…
09-14 23:17:30	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb0ec46…
09-14 23:15:27	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa0ba56…
09-14 23:12:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb5ca91…
09-14 15:04:33	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x27e23d…
09-14 07:01:43	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6c39fe…
09-13 23:00:51	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa2721c…
09-13 00:17:48	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe05617…
09-11 08:57:22	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x744b21…
09-10 23:32:58	will ewy reach 187 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6f7a8b…
09-10 15:23:46	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb44a81…
09-10 07:15:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd1689a…
09-09 20:43:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3eb879…
09-09 12:28:46	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8a5055…
09-09 04:28:03	spx up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xed44f6…
09-08 18:15:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x59d87b…
09-08 04:19:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcacd82…
09-08 01:11:46	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf7fde6…
09-07 16:03:42	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5a7103…