Grotesque-Neighbor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-17 14:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 50% +$1

Sports

24% — —

Politics

11% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$1.5K	776	776	+0	open	—	03-18 08:45
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$1.4K	707	707	+0	open	—	03-19 02:32
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	8	$843	584	584	+0	open	—	03-18 19:54
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	4	$590	316	316	+0	open	—	03-19 01:30
will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	4	$552	303	303	+0	open	—	03-18 23:39
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	4	$327	662	661	+1	open	—	03-18 20:56
Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?	2	$285	150	150	+0	open	—	03-18 20:27
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$277	143	143	+0	No	+$0	03-18 22:31
nba mia cha 2026 03 17 1h total 120pt5	2	$176	366	0	+366	open	—	03-17 15:56
val t1a gena 2026 03 18	1	$123	168	0	+168	open	—	03-17 16:20
will venstre win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	2	$102	636	636	+0	open	—	03-18 09:28
will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$67	455	455	+0	open	—	03-18 08:24
will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	5	$34	314	314	+0	open	—	03-18 21:14
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$25	489	489	+0	No	$-1	03-19 00:24
col1 llf cdf 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	03-17 15:01
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 spread away 1pt5	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	03-17 15:19
Spread: Clube Náutico Capibaribe (-1.5)	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-30 11:37
itsb ven pad 2026 03 17 pad	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-17 15:09
fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 team total away 2pt5	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	06-17 14:38
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread away 1pt5	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	06-12 15:13
Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)	1	$12	13	0	+13	Hamburger SV	+$1	05-10 07:39
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-19 07:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 14:38:31	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x8ae7f1…
06-12 15:13:51	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread away 1pt5	Canada	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xd9286b…
05-30 11:37:02	Spread: Clube Náutico Capibaribe (-1.5)	SC Recife	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x264655…
05-19 07:23:35	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x00ed63…
05-10 07:39:02	Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)	Hamburger SV	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x12abc1…
03-19 02:32:19	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	707	97¢	$686	0x91aa76…
03-19 01:30:31	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	154	93¢	$144	0xedd757…
03-19 01:23:57	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	154	93¢	$143	0x2045de…
03-19 00:41:03	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	162	94¢	$152	0x5b14f6…
03-19 00:33:05	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	162	93¢	$150	0x277124…
03-19 00:24:25	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	203	2¢	$5	0x052cb8…
03-19 00:17:23	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	203	3¢	$5	0x5bf2d8…
03-18 23:54:41	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	286	2¢	$7	0x6abc21…
03-18 23:45:23	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	286	3¢	$7	0x012a4e…
03-18 23:39:39	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	151	90¢	$137	0x322cb6…
03-18 23:29:55	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	151	90¢	$136	0x13b2ce…
03-18 22:31:23	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	143	97¢	$138	0x399dcf…
03-18 22:23:45	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	143	97¢	$138	0x22acfa…
03-18 21:14:03	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	SELL	94	5¢	$5	0x4ca6ab…
03-18 21:05:03	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	94	6¢	$5	0xaa3adb…
03-18 20:56:59	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	510	3¢	$16	0x887668…
03-18 20:49:01	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	510	3¢	$16	0xbaaea7…
03-18 20:27:21	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	150	95¢	$143	0x7d5e50…
03-18 20:17:59	Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0xbbcc5e…
03-18 20:09:47	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	SELL	220	5¢	$12	0x49a576…
03-18 20:02:37	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	168	5¢	$9	0xf8198b…
03-18 20:02:37	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xcfdfa0…
03-18 19:54:33	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0x495c19…
03-18 19:46:39	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0x27d3a1…
03-18 19:22:57	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	98¢	$136	0x28cd45…
03-18 19:14:55	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0xbe52ca…
03-18 18:35:59	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	151	97¢	$146	0xc95a56…
03-18 18:27:33	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	152	97¢	$147	0x5ede68…
03-18 17:49:39	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	152	92¢	$140	0x14fd56…
03-18 17:40:03	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	152	92¢	$139	0x965f2a…
03-18 17:30:03	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	SELL	156	2¢	$4	0x71303e…
03-18 17:24:05	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	BUY	156	2¢	$4	0xbea96e…
03-18 17:16:39	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	98¢	$141	0x3e4e17…
03-18 17:08:39	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	98¢	$141	0xccc41d…
03-18 15:31:03	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	707	97¢	$686	0xdf8c4d…
03-18 09:28:37	will venstre win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	SELL	636	8¢	$51	0xe313a9…
03-18 09:23:15	will venstre win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	636	8¢	$51	0x0b3443…
03-18 08:45:07	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	776	97¢	$756	0x44fcc7…
03-18 08:35:25	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	776	97¢	$754	0x83e550…
03-18 08:24:57	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	455	7¢	$32	0x1d9769…
03-18 08:19:17	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	455	8¢	$35	0x01a463…
03-17 16:20:55	val t1a gena 2026 03 18	T1 Academy	BUY	168	73¢	$123	0x0d27ef…
03-17 15:56:07	nba mia cha 2026 03 17 1h total 120pt5	Over	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0x89578a…
03-17 15:56:07	nba mia cha 2026 03 17 1h total 120pt5	Over	BUY	261	48¢	$125	0x1f27ac…
03-17 15:19:57	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 spread away 1pt5	Sporting CP	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0xc2318d…
03-17 15:09:41	itsb ven pad 2026 03 17 pad	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xd26f05…
03-17 15:01:53	col1 llf cdf 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x8a29a8…