Kaleidoscopic-Trick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$769

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-12 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 34% $-27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	5	$61	55	55	+0	Up	+$11	05-10 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$47	33	33	+0	Up	+$17	05-11 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	5	$39	41	41	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	8	$30	78	0	+78	Down	$-30	05-12 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	Down	+$8	05-12 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	3	$24	16	16	+0	Up	+$8	05-12 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$10	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$10	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	4	$17	14	14	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$16	14	14	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	05-10 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$13	114	14	+100	open	—	05-04 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$12	23	23	+0	open	—	05-04 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-10	05-11 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$9	0	10	-10	open	—	05-04 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$8	11	5	+6	open	—	05-04 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$8	25	1	+24	open	—	05-04 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$8	18	0	+18	Up	$-8	05-12 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$8	25	0	+25	Down	$-8	05-05 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 07:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 05:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x854bce…
05-12 05:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x4e8278…
05-12 05:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x7725be…
05-12 05:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa66daf…
05-12 05:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xff16fc…
05-12 05:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x930fff…
05-12 05:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1ea43e…
05-12 05:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x818f11…
05-12 05:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xcbb959…
05-12 05:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xea6252…
05-12 05:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7d9e74…
05-12 05:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1468fa…
05-12 05:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x7d8ea5…
05-12 04:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0244a7…
05-12 04:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xee83d6…
05-12 04:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x6da149…
05-12 04:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe6e73f…
05-12 04:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x165cc3…
05-12 04:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x74499a…
05-12 04:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb424fd…
05-12 04:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x302858…
05-11 22:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xddfd3b…
05-11 22:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x1ff31f…
05-11 22:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x004594…
05-11 22:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x6a68ac…
05-11 22:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x63ec6b…
05-11 22:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x70d991…
05-11 22:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x7e6048…
05-11 22:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xd98355…
05-11 22:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xb3371e…
05-11 22:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xaa49cf…
05-11 22:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcea2e7…
05-11 22:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x09ab51…
05-11 22:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0383d2…
05-11 05:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2fe81c…
05-11 05:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xa0de46…
05-11 05:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x308cb7…
05-11 05:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1867a3…
05-11 03:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xddc482…
05-11 03:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x1fe5ba…
05-11 03:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xd3c97d…
05-11 03:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5e3ba9…
05-10 23:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe19e98…
05-10 23:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x0df48b…
05-10 23:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xdcafcf…
05-10 23:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd07895…
05-10 23:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x133afe…
05-10 23:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x8171cc…
05-10 23:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xa8f471…
05-10 23:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1770de…
05-10 23:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1b4af5…
05-10 23:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x0c92bb…
05-10 22:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x532702…
05-10 22:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xc7e2d6…
05-10 22:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xddd882…
05-10 22:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xabed8a…
05-10 19:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x3e9269…
05-10 19:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9cb15a…
05-07 05:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8d8c24…
05-06 15:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x68eee4…
05-05 07:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x18e506…
05-05 06:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd7fefc…
05-05 06:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x35cbd3…
05-05 06:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x75681a…
05-05 06:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc2318e…
05-05 05:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x5a3ecf…
05-05 05:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb18a9e…
05-05 05:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x4445ba…
05-05 05:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xcd0e3b…
05-05 05:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf79fe2…
05-05 04:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5a951c…
05-05 04:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xdeb287…
05-05 04:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb40a00…
05-05 04:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x422cd9…
05-05 04:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc8699e…
05-05 04:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x116c6a…
05-05 04:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9c4871…
05-05 04:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd74a6a…
05-05 04:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x30320f…
05-05 04:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x92f3c3…
05-05 04:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x478f5f…
05-05 04:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe6d866…
05-04 10:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xc4b641…
05-04 10:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1ec628…
05-04 10:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa7fd45…
05-04 10:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x41052c…
05-04 10:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xe3a7a2…
05-04 10:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe9221e…
05-04 10:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x58b91c…
05-04 10:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7eebd9…
05-04 10:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd529cf…
05-04 10:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9b2c38…
05-04 10:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4f1bef…
05-04 10:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x67f4ec…
05-04 10:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xcba5e0…
05-04 09:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3d0bc4…
05-04 09:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x966d17…
05-04 09:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x9984cb…
05-04 09:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x09a4ec…
05-04 09:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	23	41¢	$9	0xf6d41a…