Fat-Working — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

Trades

715

lifetime

Volume

$4.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-16 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 70% +$10

Sports

12% 50% $-7

Other

12% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$108	93	93	+0	open	—	05-29 08:39
btc updown 5m 1781585400	6	$107	155	109	+46	open	—	06-16 04:54
will trump attend ufc 327	11	$106	1,135	0	+1,135	open	—	04-10 16:08
btc updown 5m 1781583900	2	$102	138	138	+0	open	—	06-16 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	8	$99	74	74	+0	open	—	05-31 23:51
btc updown 5m 1781583300	3	$98	128	93	+35	open	—	06-16 04:16
btc updown 5m 1781586900	5	$95	59	59	+0	open	—	06-16 05:20
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	4	$92	177	177	+0	open	—	04-03 04:55
atp noguchi tunglin 2026 03 29	3	$92	117	55	+62	open	—	03-31 07:09
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	4	$88	156	156	+0	open	—	04-03 15:17
btc updown 5m 1781585100	2	$88	48	48	+0	open	—	06-16 04:50
btc updown 5m 1781584500	2	$83	73	73	+0	open	—	06-16 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	5	$71	115	100	+15	open	—	05-29 10:59
btc updown 5m 1781583000	5	$71	66	66	+0	open	—	06-16 04:11
btc updown 5m 1781586300	4	$69	56	56	+0	open	—	06-16 05:07
nba por lac 2026 03 31	3	$67	97	96	+1	open	—	03-31 05:31
btc updown 5m 1781584800	4	$60	62	40	+22	open	—	06-16 04:43
btc updown 5m 1774824000	3	$60	2,554	0	+2,554	open	—	03-29 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	6	$54	81	36	+45	open	—	05-29 08:44
btc updown 5m 1776000000	2	$49	31	30	+1	open	—	04-12 13:26
btc updown 5m 1774821900	2	$49	333	333	+0	open	—	03-29 22:07
btc updown 5m 1776005400	2	$49	37	35	+2	open	—	04-12 14:55
nba lal dal 2026 04 05	3	$47	33	32	+1	open	—	04-06 02:35
btc updown 5m 1774600200	2	$44	28	28	+0	open	—	03-27 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	14	$43	32	32	+0	open	—	05-29 00:35
nba lac ind 2026 03 27	7	$43	46	41	+4	open	—	03-28 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	6	$43	42	42	+0	open	—	05-31 23:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$41	970	970	+0	open	—	04-10 22:38
btc updown 5m 1774820700	2	$41	87	86	+1	open	—	03-29 21:47
btc updown 5m 1774824300	1	$40	358	0	+358	open	—	03-29 22:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 05:47:54	btc updown 5m 1781588700	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xed560d…
06-16 05:42:46	btc updown 5m 1781588400	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xcf1e2d…
06-16 05:22:49	btc updown 5m 1781587200	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xaf0282…
06-16 05:21:09	btc updown 5m 1781587200	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4b5e2f…
06-16 05:20:21	btc updown 5m 1781586900	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x65f404…
06-16 05:18:40	btc updown 5m 1781586900	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfcadcf…
06-16 05:18:01	btc updown 5m 1781586900	Down	SELL	54	86¢	$47	0x2f8fb5…
06-16 05:16:10	btc updown 5m 1781586900	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x5daeac…
06-16 05:16:07	btc updown 5m 1781586900	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xaf1a49…
06-16 05:07:04	btc updown 5m 1781586300	Down	SELL	23	81¢	$19	0x298844…
06-16 05:06:28	btc updown 5m 1781586300	Down	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0x15e5bf…
06-16 05:05:36	btc updown 5m 1781586300	Down	SELL	33	57¢	$19	0xdf6653…
06-16 05:04:22	btc updown 5m 1781586300	Down	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x14a770…
06-16 05:00:31	btc updown 5m 1781586000	Up	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0xe64dcb…
06-16 05:00:28	btc updown 5m 1781586000	Up	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x46ac44…
06-16 04:59:16	btc updown 5m 1781585700	Down	SELL	93	19¢	$18	0xa27d1a…
06-16 04:59:07	btc updown 5m 1781585700	Down	BUY	93	14¢	$13	0x0fa365…
06-16 04:54:19	btc updown 5m 1781585400	Down	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x5ee5ad…
06-16 04:54:16	btc updown 5m 1781585400	Down	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x3cc575…
06-16 04:53:16	btc updown 5m 1781585400	Up	SELL	56	29¢	$16	0x9d37ff…
06-16 04:52:18	btc updown 5m 1781585400	Up	BUY	56	32¢	$18	0xcff363…
06-16 04:52:04	btc updown 5m 1781585400	Up	SELL	53	35¢	$19	0xca8fad…
06-16 04:51:48	btc updown 5m 1781585400	Up	BUY	53	34¢	$18	0x604531…
06-16 04:50:03	btc updown 5m 1781585100	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xf5ecda…
06-16 04:49:22	btc updown 5m 1781585100	Down	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xd6305b…
06-16 04:43:22	btc updown 5m 1781584800	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8c3c27…
06-16 04:43:18	btc updown 5m 1781584800	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x11316f…
06-16 04:42:19	btc updown 5m 1781584800	Up	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0xe06114…
06-16 04:40:33	btc updown 5m 1781584800	Up	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x1c57fc…
06-16 04:37:21	btc updown 5m 1781584500	Down	SELL	73	63¢	$46	0x39dbd8…
06-16 04:37:15	btc updown 5m 1781584500	Down	BUY	73	51¢	$37	0xd9a783…
06-16 04:27:15	btc updown 5m 1781583900	Down	SELL	138	44¢	$61	0xf211d7…
06-16 04:27:07	btc updown 5m 1781583900	Down	BUY	138	30¢	$41	0x9ee085…
06-16 04:16:54	btc updown 5m 1781583300	Down	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x43d879…
06-16 04:15:37	btc updown 5m 1781583300	Up	SELL	93	36¢	$33	0x2b6b0f…
06-16 04:15:15	btc updown 5m 1781583300	Up	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0xf2b51a…
06-16 04:11:57	btc updown 5m 1781583000	Up	SELL	22	57¢	$13	0x4b0e14…
06-16 04:11:45	btc updown 5m 1781583000	Up	SELL	44	57¢	$25	0xe7064e…
06-16 04:10:01	btc updown 5m 1781583000	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xd526d9…
06-16 04:09:55	btc updown 5m 1781583000	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x5b7c6a…
06-16 04:09:49	btc updown 5m 1781583000	Up	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x92877a…
06-16 04:08:58	btc updown 5m 1781582700	Up	SELL	122	1¢	$1	0xd055e6…
06-16 04:08:06	btc updown 5m 1781582700	Up	BUY	122	9¢	$11	0x265f0d…
06-16 03:55:55	btc updown 5m 1781582100	Down	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x0fca99…
06-16 03:55:21	btc updown 5m 1781582100	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x63e108…
06-16 03:51:00	btc updown 5m 1781581800	Up	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0x4bd520…
06-16 03:50:39	btc updown 5m 1781581800	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xe466a9…
06-16 03:47:09	btc updown 5m 1781581500	Down	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0xc02f6e…
06-16 03:46:25	btc updown 5m 1781581500	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x7876cc…
06-16 03:45:00	btc updown 5m 1781581500	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x4ef088…
06-16 03:34:06	btc updown 5m 1781580900	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xacdc38…
06-16 03:34:06	btc updown 5m 1781580900	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x028796…
06-16 03:32:13	btc updown 5m 1781580600	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xcc3072…
06-16 03:30:54	btc updown 5m 1781580600	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1898df…
06-16 03:30:51	btc updown 5m 1781580600	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdac897…
06-16 03:14:28	btc updown 5m 1781579400	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8f7605…
06-16 02:15:12	btc updown 5m 1781576100	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2d2b59…
06-16 02:15:12	btc updown 5m 1781576100	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x130d16…
06-16 01:37:54	btc updown 5m 1781573700	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4ce114…
06-16 01:37:54	btc updown 5m 1781573700	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x027b08…
06-16 01:37:34	btc updown 5m 1781573700	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x28d13c…
06-16 01:37:15	btc updown 5m 1781573700	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x67d441…
06-16 00:48:22	btc updown 5m 1781570700	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xaa4540…
06-16 00:48:19	btc updown 5m 1781570700	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xff19a7…
06-16 00:47:46	btc updown 5m 1781570700	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xb1498a…
06-16 00:46:42	btc updown 5m 1781570700	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x468aa3…
06-16 00:37:31	btc updown 5m 1781570100	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x808f8e…
06-16 00:32:24	btc updown 5m 1781569800	Up	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x16afee…
06-16 00:26:00	btc updown 5m 1781569500	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbcabb0…
06-16 00:19:01	btc updown 5m 1781568900	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x32b7b1…
06-16 00:19:00	btc updown 5m 1781568900	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x1c1019…
06-16 00:18:58	btc updown 5m 1781568900	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa5af03…
06-16 00:18:57	btc updown 5m 1781568900	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x8472c1…
06-16 00:18:40	btc updown 5m 1781568900	Up	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x2686fa…
06-16 00:16:58	btc updown 5m 1781568900	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x594bbc…
06-16 00:16:24	btc updown 5m 1781568900	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc4eb1c…
06-16 00:01:12	btc updown 5m 1781568000	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa44665…
06-16 00:01:12	btc updown 5m 1781568000	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x6c9cb9…
06-16 00:01:10	btc updown 5m 1781568000	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x483e87…
06-01 06:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x764f55…
06-01 06:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5678f6…
06-01 06:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x656003…
06-01 06:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcb54ec…
06-01 06:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa18b62…
06-01 06:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x326cac…
06-01 04:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x423b71…
06-01 02:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x530ee7…
06-01 02:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xe96ba9…
06-01 02:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6a8139…
06-01 02:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x25cdee…
06-01 02:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc276a9…
06-01 01:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x595a02…
06-01 01:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcf3dab…
06-01 00:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe0b87d…
05-31 23:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x0e57f6…
05-31 23:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x1cba3c…
05-31 23:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xaf69b0…
05-31 23:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xa6aeae…
05-31 23:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x589616…
05-31 23:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0xd851e3…